NBA 2014/15 Tracking Thread

[Filmoz]

Rockets/Warriors U218 -107 1x

[Woyha]

Filmoz thanks for the picks I am on tonight .. Do you bet for a living ?

[Filmoz]

Filmoz thanks for the picks I am on tonight .. Do you bet for a living ?

No sir, I do not bet for a living but it does represent a nice supplemental income for me.

[Filmoz]

Are the Kings serious right now?

[leetreaper]

Are the Kings serious right now?

They are the bottom team, how they were favs is beyond me...

[Filmoz]

They are the bottom team, how they were favs is beyond me...

That's part of what motivated me to bet them - line just seemed strange, and public all over Brooklyn (although I'm not sure this game necessarily took a lot of volume overall anyways). I mean, I suppose the game isn't over yet, but it pretty much is. Looking back at it, Brooklyn on several days rest...

[leetreaper]

That's part of what motivated me to bet them - line just seemed strange, and public all over Brooklyn (although I'm not sure this game necessarily took a lot of volume overall anyways). I mean, I suppose the game isn't over yet, but it pretty much is. Looking back at it, Brooklyn on several days rest...

Also, Brooklyn plays well vs .500 teams or below.

[Filmoz]

Also, Brooklyn plays well vs .500 teams or below.

Yup. And if I look back through my thread I know there are at least a couple spots where I took Brooklyn based partially on this knowledge and cashed easily. Funny how we make ourselves forget truly useful information when we think we are being sharp. Whatever, I've already written this one off. If the Warriors game can stay under I'll break even on NBA today and up 2 units in college hoops, so not bad. If not, I just wash out on the whole day.

[leetreaper]

Yup. And if I look back through my thread I know there are at least a couple spots where I took Brooklyn based partially on this knowledge and cashed easily. Funny how we make ourselves forget truly useful information when we think we are being sharp. Whatever, I've already written this one off. If the Warriors game can stay under I'll break even on NBA today and up 2 units in college hoops, so not bad. If not, I just wash out on the whole day.

Cheers.

[Filmoz]

lol 76 point third quarter

[Filmoz]

1/21/15 Results

Pacers +11 -108 2x L
Heat/Hornets U184.5 -102 1x W
Jazz/Cavs O193.5 -105 1x W
Kings -5.5 -102 1x L
Rockets/Warriors U218 -107 1x L

2-3-0, -2.25x

Overall 120-99-4, +39.10x

[Filmoz]

1/22/15

Bucks -8.5 -101 1x
Bulls +5.5 -108 1x

[Filmoz]

Celtics +7 -109 1x
Nets/Clipps U202.5 -105 1x

[Filmoz]

1/22/15 Results

Bucks -8.5 -101 1x L
Bulls +5.5 -108 1x W
Celtics +7 -109 1x W
Nets/Clipps U202.5 -105 1x L

2-2-0, -.06x

Overall 122-101-4, +39.04x

[Filmoz]

1/23/15

Knicks +2.5 -103 1x
Thunder +3.5 -107 2x
Celtics/Nuggets O204.5 -105 1x

[Filmoz]

Kings/Warriors U218 -105 2x

[Filmoz]

Eventually I'll learn to stop betting the Under in Warriors games.

[Filmoz]

1/23/15 Results

Knicks +2.5 -103 1x W
Thunder +3.5 -107 2x L
Celtics/Nuggets O204.5 -105 1x L
Kings/Warriors U218 -105 2x L

1-3-0, -4.29x

Overall 123-104-4, +34.75x

[eddycash]

Eventually I'll learn to stop betting the Under in Warriors games.

auto over vs no defense teams

[Filmoz]

auto over vs no defense teams

Two games in a row now the Under has looked, at the very least, like a decent live bet by the end of the first half, and then they go crazy in the 3rd quarter. Game before last they had a combined 76 point 3rd. And last night Klay Thompson went beast.

[Filmoz]

1/24/15

Bucks +2.5 -103 2x
Pistons/Bucks U194 -105 2x

[Filmoz]

Nets +4 -108 1x
Wizards/Blazers U195.5 -102 1x

[Slanina]

Nice 4th quarter in the Bucks game. Cash town.

[Slanina]

Back to back fouls on 3 pointers with a minute to go? These guys have IQs of college players. 41 points in final 6 minutes. That's a joke.

[Filmoz]

Back to back fouls on 3 pointers with a minute to go? These guys have IQs of college players. 41 points in final 6 minutes. That's a joke.

Lol its the worst of both worlds. They have the IQs of college players to make the foul. But unlike college players, they actually make all 3 free throws. It is a goddamn joke. Wow, didn't realize 41 points in the final 6 mins. 14 points in the final 1:30 alone. Whatever. Works both ways - I needed the Bucks game to slow down like crazy and it did. I'll take my 2 unit profit on the day and fight again another day.

[Filmoz]

1/24/15 Results

Bucks +2.5 -103 2x W
Pistons/Bucks U194 -105 2x W
Nets +4 -108 1x L
Wizards/Blazers U195.5 -102 1x L

2-2-0, +1.9x

Overall 125-106-4, +36.65x

[Slanina]

Lol its the worst of both worlds. They have the IQs of college players to make the foul. But unlike college players, they actually make all 3 free throws. It is a goddamn joke. Wow, didn't realize 41 points in the final 6 mins. 14 points in the final 1:30 alone. Whatever. Works both ways - I needed the Bucks game to slow down like crazy and it did. I'll take my 2 unit profit on the day and fight again another day.

Yeah I shouldnt complain. Would've been nice to start and finish with a win. ill take 2 units though. Good job today.

[Filmoz]

Yeah I shouldnt complain. Would've been nice to start and finish with a win. ill take 2 units though. Good job today.

Thanks man. Just trying to keep grinding. I saw you give me props in another thread, I appreciate that, and thanks for following along.

[Filmoz]

1/25/15

Heat/Bulls O185 -105 1x
Thunder/Cavs U211.5 -105 1x

[Slanina]

Thanks man. Just trying to keep grinding. I saw you give me props in another thread, I appreciate that, and thanks for following along.

No problem. I'll probably keep doing it too. I like that you're not throwing around 5-10 unit bets and actually skip days. No forced action. Missed plays today due to work. Good luck on the Under.

[Filmoz]

No problem. I'll probably keep doing it too. I like that you're not throwing around 5-10 unit bets and actually skip days. No forced action. Missed plays today due to work. Good luck on the Under.

If you're confident that you can pick more winners than losers over the long run, there is no need to chase. I give in to my weaker instincts now and then, there's probably a documented history of it in my threads from past seasons. Not proud of it. But this season I feel like I've been a lot better about it, especially in basketball betting. When you manage your bankroll, winning still feels great, but losing is easier to handle.

[eddycash]

any feel on denver tonight?

[Filmoz]

Suns +2.5 -103 1x
Raptors -8 -102 1x

[Filmoz]

Rockets/Lakers O207 -105 2x

[Filmoz]

1/25/15 Results

Heat/Bulls O185 -105 1x L
Thunder/Cavs U211.5 -105 1x W
Suns +2.5 -103 1x L
Raptors -8 -102 1x L
Rockets/Lakers O207 -105 2x L

1-4-0, -4.2x

Overall 126-110-4, +32.45x