I just read an article by one of the cappers from SBR. I believe Justin is his name. He is obviously an intelligent guy and talked about systems, services and touts etc.
First of all I will compliment him on talking about the Morrison System. That is a progressive system that wants you to buy up to 3 points a game. Progressive systems are doomed for failure right from the start!!! Everytime you buy a 1/2 point or more you not only buy the rated value but you pay an additional 10% commission. Therefore 10% becomes 11% (10% 0f 10 %=1 +10 =11). This adds up to a whooping 15% + commission when buying 3 points. You are now asked to overcome 15%+. When you lose your 3rd game you are in the hole in a big way. You will be risking a lot to make a little and will feel foolish doing so. In the long run expect to have some sessions with Dr. Phil . Einstein, among others, proved no system can increase the odds of winning , systems only make it worse or keep it the same at best. Of course money management systems are a different subject matter. If they promote a logical and conservative pathway they will enhanse the ability to win. A good method wil keep you from " tapping out" during a bad run.
Point # 2.
He talked about cappers and betting systems unrelated to progressive betting . If you are looking for a good service he is correct that cappers with a long term proven record are normally the best. He is also correct in stating that you should stay away from cappers who have no track record , claim unsubstanciated records, and ask for money in unconventional forms. Stay away from these guys. Anybody worth while should have a track record or should explain how they arrive at a play. It should make sense and they should not make you commit a lot.
Point# 3
This I take exception to. He suggested that ALL services and ALL cappers are incapable of hitting 60% in the long run. He said that 55% was about the best you could expect. Of course proving a negative is impossible to do. What he should say is he knows nobody who hits 60%. I do know handicappers who average 60%. When Thomas Edison was attempting to find the filament for the light bulb he failed 10,000 times. Does that mean he would not find the answer in the next attempt? If you are familiar to 10,000 cappers who never reach the 60% plateau that does not mean the next one will experince the same results.
The big problem with most handicappers is thet USE THE SAME INFORMATION AS THE LINE MAKERS. You can not expect to have a 60% + winning record when doing this. You must find data that is uncommonly known and apply it in a systematic and mechanical format. The Wright Brothers threw away conventional wisdom when attempting to fly an air plane. In so doing so they created 3 separete entities of aerodynamics that caused them to successfully fly a plane.
I wrote an article about using impact values. Not one of you will use it. 99% of you gamble because you have a hidden desire to lose. You are undisciplined, scatter brained in your thinking processes, and lazy. I showed you all a spot play that kickes ass all year and only 2 of you bothered to pursue it. It hit 90%!!!!!!!!
Here is my challenge to anybody willing to take it. You put up $10,000 (none of yoy wil do it)and I will go over the the method with you that YOU will be able to do. If it does not hit 60%, oops cross that out and make it 62 1/2% ( 5 of 8 games) you get your money back. We will put it in a holding trust so there will be no risk. If it does hit 62!/2% oops cross that out and make that 65% you will have learned a system that will make you rich. I will tell you straight up I hit 65% + of my plays. To my surprise using this mechanical form of handicapping it get a lot of plays. I spent 5000+ hours perfecting it. I have a 40,000 game data base in football and basketball proving that it works. I believe I could get a few well known handicappers who will confirm my ability to handicap. Two of them call me everyday to pick my brain. Neither one has ever seen anything like it and having explained the logic they understand why it works.
That is all I have to say. I will not be posting plays any more but will answer handicapping questions. If you have any post them. The one guy who responded to my spot play system is getting my plays daily now. We have hit 10 straight NBA games with 2 pending tonight. I reward people who work at handicapping. I think he is a happy person.
Cheers
First of all I will compliment him on talking about the Morrison System. That is a progressive system that wants you to buy up to 3 points a game. Progressive systems are doomed for failure right from the start!!! Everytime you buy a 1/2 point or more you not only buy the rated value but you pay an additional 10% commission. Therefore 10% becomes 11% (10% 0f 10 %=1 +10 =11). This adds up to a whooping 15% + commission when buying 3 points. You are now asked to overcome 15%+. When you lose your 3rd game you are in the hole in a big way. You will be risking a lot to make a little and will feel foolish doing so. In the long run expect to have some sessions with Dr. Phil . Einstein, among others, proved no system can increase the odds of winning , systems only make it worse or keep it the same at best. Of course money management systems are a different subject matter. If they promote a logical and conservative pathway they will enhanse the ability to win. A good method wil keep you from " tapping out" during a bad run.
Point # 2.
He talked about cappers and betting systems unrelated to progressive betting . If you are looking for a good service he is correct that cappers with a long term proven record are normally the best. He is also correct in stating that you should stay away from cappers who have no track record , claim unsubstanciated records, and ask for money in unconventional forms. Stay away from these guys. Anybody worth while should have a track record or should explain how they arrive at a play. It should make sense and they should not make you commit a lot.
Point# 3
This I take exception to. He suggested that ALL services and ALL cappers are incapable of hitting 60% in the long run. He said that 55% was about the best you could expect. Of course proving a negative is impossible to do. What he should say is he knows nobody who hits 60%. I do know handicappers who average 60%. When Thomas Edison was attempting to find the filament for the light bulb he failed 10,000 times. Does that mean he would not find the answer in the next attempt? If you are familiar to 10,000 cappers who never reach the 60% plateau that does not mean the next one will experince the same results.
The big problem with most handicappers is thet USE THE SAME INFORMATION AS THE LINE MAKERS. You can not expect to have a 60% + winning record when doing this. You must find data that is uncommonly known and apply it in a systematic and mechanical format. The Wright Brothers threw away conventional wisdom when attempting to fly an air plane. In so doing so they created 3 separete entities of aerodynamics that caused them to successfully fly a plane.
I wrote an article about using impact values. Not one of you will use it. 99% of you gamble because you have a hidden desire to lose. You are undisciplined, scatter brained in your thinking processes, and lazy. I showed you all a spot play that kickes ass all year and only 2 of you bothered to pursue it. It hit 90%!!!!!!!!
Here is my challenge to anybody willing to take it. You put up $10,000 (none of yoy wil do it)and I will go over the the method with you that YOU will be able to do. If it does not hit 60%, oops cross that out and make it 62 1/2% ( 5 of 8 games) you get your money back. We will put it in a holding trust so there will be no risk. If it does hit 62!/2% oops cross that out and make that 65% you will have learned a system that will make you rich. I will tell you straight up I hit 65% + of my plays. To my surprise using this mechanical form of handicapping it get a lot of plays. I spent 5000+ hours perfecting it. I have a 40,000 game data base in football and basketball proving that it works. I believe I could get a few well known handicappers who will confirm my ability to handicap. Two of them call me everyday to pick my brain. Neither one has ever seen anything like it and having explained the logic they understand why it works.
That is all I have to say. I will not be posting plays any more but will answer handicapping questions. If you have any post them. The one guy who responded to my spot play system is getting my plays daily now. We have hit 10 straight NBA games with 2 pending tonight. I reward people who work at handicapping. I think he is a happy person.
Cheers
You have nothing to
