Need advice on this pick for tomorrow

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  • iceman02
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-05-12
    • 736

    #1
    Need advice on this pick for tomorrow
    Guys need some advice...

    My accounts down $770 which is about 15% of my account.

    I have a $5,000 Bankroll and down 770 so $4,230 current balance.

    Im thinking of putting $500 (10% of my original Bankroll) on the OKC thunder money line +170 to win 1350.

    Whats your input and advice on making this move?
  • Cuse0323
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-09-09
    • 30169

    #2
    All-in on the Rangers. Make a nice 2400 or so.
    Comment
    • iceman02
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-05-12
      • 736

      #3
      Originally posted by Cuse0323
      All-in on the Rangers. Make a nice 2400 or so.

      The ranger should destroy Montreal tomorrow.
      Comment
      • konck
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-17-06
        • 12554

        #4
        Montreal will push it to game 7
        Comment
        • STAX
          SBR MVP
          • 11-01-13
          • 3718

          #5
          Originally posted by iceman02
          Guys need some advice...

          My accounts down $770 which is about 15% of my account.

          I have a $5,000 Bankroll and down 770 so $4,230 current balance.

          Im thinking of putting $500 (10% of my original Bankroll) on the OKC thunder money line +170 to win 1350.

          Whats your input and advice on making this move?
          If you are gonna make a big play, put $500 on the over 206.5
          Comment
          • Cuse0323
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-09-09
            • 30169

            #6
            Originally posted by iceman02
            The ranger should destroy Montreal tomorrow.
            Yessir, there you go. Go big or go home and put it all on Blue.
            Comment
            • WalkingLuckCharm
              SBR MVP
              • 06-07-10
              • 4197

              #7
              Originally posted by iceman02
              Guys need some advice...

              My accounts down $770 which is about 15% of my account.

              I have a $5,000 Bankroll and down 770 so $4,230 current balance.

              Im thinking of putting $500 (10% of my original Bankroll) on the OKC thunder money line +170 to win 1350.

              Whats your input and advice on making this move?
              If you have a 5k bankroll and you are betting 500 dollars and you win, I guarantee you you will get cleaned out sooner or later. Not 99% sir; a guarantee.

              Expect a 0-10 run sooner or later no matter how good you are.
              Comment
              • iceman02
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-05-12
                • 736

                #8
                Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                If you have a 5k bankroll and you are betting 500 dollars and you win, I guarantee you you will get cleaned out sooner or later. Not 99% sir; a guarantee.

                Expect a 0-10 run sooner or later no matter how good you are.
                last 3 days i went 1-9 which put me in the $770 hole. Thats why i wanted to bet big to get back to green.
                Comment
                • sergiudec
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 06-03-12
                  • 959

                  #9
                  HEAT Live ML at home in gm6 is what I'd recommend if you're getting a good number in-play. By good I mean around -400.
                  Comment
                  • WalkingLuckCharm
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-07-10
                    • 4197

                    #10
                    Originally posted by iceman02
                    last 3 days i went 1-9 which put me in the $770 hole. Thats why i wanted to bet big to get back to green.
                    It might in the short term. But like I said it's a guarantee that every time u get into a 770 hole if u chase with a 500 bet you'll get buried. I've been gambling since I've been 13 years old man. I can promise you every person apart from me that has responded in this thread is a losing player just from listening to wgat advice they offer you. They only see the next short term play vwry much like yourself.

                    But what does it matter I can't stop ya. You won't understand. BOL man I hope you learn faster than I did about BRM
                    Comment
                    • WalkingLuckCharm
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-07-10
                      • 4197

                      #11
                      Why you won't understand?

                      Well you want to win your nnext bet and that's your ultimate goal.

                      My ultimate goal is to be constantly better and better. And if that causes me to lose $700 I'd pay it every day till it changes me.

                      How interestingly different our perspectives of that -770 is
                      Comment
                      • KRIT
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-11-14
                        • 12884

                        #12
                        Here are is a really square parlay that should hit, not sure on the pay-out though: Heat ML (gm6) + OKC ML (gm6 on Saturday).

                        If you want something for tomorrow, I like Spurs -4. So no, I do not like your OKC ML play. Gl with whatever you decide to play.
                        Comment
                        • TwoWays
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 13145

                          #13
                          okc all games vs. spurs that ibaka plays in.
                          Comment
                          • iceman02
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-05-12
                            • 736

                            #14
                            Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                            It might in the short term. But like I said it's a guarantee that every time u get into a 770 hole if u chase with a 500 bet you'll get buried. I've been gambling since I've been 13 years old man. I can promise you every person apart from me that has responded in this thread is a losing player just from listening to wgat advice they offer you. They only see the next short term play vwry much like yourself.

                            But what does it matter I can't stop ya. You won't understand. BOL man I hope you learn faster than I did about BRM

                            What would you advice me? iam in this for the long run

                            What type of money management do you recommend?

                            Instead of risking $500 on the okc moneyline i decided to diversify it

                            245721224-1 5/29/14 3:08am $58.85 $55.00 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder +4 -107* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> San Antonio Spurs
                            245721224-2 5/29/14 3:08am $64.65 $112.49 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder +174* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> San Antonio Spurs
                            245721224-3 5/29/14 3:08am $60.50 $55.00 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101½ -110* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> San Antonio Spurs
                            245721119-1 5/29/14 3:00am $100.00 $132.00 Pending 5/29/14 8:15pm MLB Baseball 953 San Francisco Giants +132* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> St. Louis Cardinals (R Vogelsong - R must Start J Garcia - L must Start)
                            245721119-2 5/29/14 3:00am $116.00 $100.00 Pending 5/29/14 7:05pm MLB Baseball 964 Toronto Blue Jays -116* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Kansas City Royals (J Shields - R must Start R Dickey - R must Start)
                            245721119-3 5/29/14 3:00am $100.00 $116.00 Pending 5/29/14 8:10pm MLB Baseball 966 Houston Astros +116* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Baltimore Orioles (U Jimenez - R must Start B Peacock - R must Start)
                            Totals: $500.00 $570.49
                            Comment
                            • WalkingLuckCharm
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-07-10
                              • 4197

                              #15
                              Originally posted by iceman02
                              What would you advice me? iam in this for the long run

                              What type of money management do you recommend?

                              Instead of risking $500 on the okc moneyline i decided to diversify it

                              245721224-1 5/29/14 3:08am $58.85 $55.00 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder +4 -107* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> San Antonio Spurs
                              245721224-2 5/29/14 3:08am $64.65 $112.49 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder +174* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> San Antonio Spurs
                              245721224-3 5/29/14 3:08am $60.50 $55.00 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101½ -110* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> San Antonio Spurs
                              245721119-1 5/29/14 3:00am $100.00 $132.00 Pending 5/29/14 8:15pm MLB Baseball 953 San Francisco Giants +132* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> St. Louis Cardinals (R Vogelsong - R must Start J Garcia - L must Start)
                              245721119-2 5/29/14 3:00am $116.00 $100.00 Pending 5/29/14 7:05pm MLB Baseball 964 Toronto Blue Jays -116* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Kansas City Royals (J Shields - R must Start R Dickey - R must Start)
                              245721119-3 5/29/14 3:00am $100.00 $116.00 Pending 5/29/14 8:10pm MLB Baseball 966 Houston Astros +116* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Baltimore Orioles (U Jimenez - R must Start B Peacock - R must Start)
                              Totals: $500.00 $570.49
                              My advice? Dump your current thinking or understanding of capping. It makes no sense whatsoever to step up your bet size to 500$ if u are on a losing streak. Hence chasing bets always lose.

                              If you told me at the start you were on a 10-0 run, it wouldn't be that bad to bet 500 as you are in your zone and your head is in the game atm.

                              Go back to 50$ bets. You have the rest of your life to win money. More importantly, you have to become a gambler that is capable of making money. Take my word for it man, the posters in here, 99% of them are all losing cappers, and 90% of these lovers are losing due to brm. (Like your decision of chasing with 500). There's only 2 cappers that are good on thus site imo

                              I understand you want your money back. I don't know if this will make any sense, but betting 50$ to chase your 770 has more than double the chance to recover or learn rather than stepping up your bets.
                              Comment
                              • WalkingLuckCharm
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-07-10
                                • 4197

                                #16
                                Look at all the posters above. They actually fail to even notice the problem in your bet sizing.

                                I'm 25 now and I've started gambling since 12 or 13. That's half my life sitting in casinos with sharks. Half my life staring at lines and analysing gambling mentality. Every single poster that has responded to you is a losing capper. They think the next bet will help you. I think the result of your next bet is irrelevant; if I was you I'd go back to your 1-7 run, think why u went wrong and what factors would have changed your mind. Apply for next game for 50. Eat sleep rave repeat.


                                Take care man
                                Comment
                                • TwoWays
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 13145

                                  #17
                                  Walking is sharp. Let us strive to be more like him. I need to have the experience.
                                  Comment
                                  • IamsoBurnt
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-09-13
                                    • 363

                                    #18
                                    Young reckless and broke boy
                                    Comment
                                    • IamsoBurnt
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-09-13
                                      • 363

                                      #19
                                      I do like the thunder and over and the rangers tomorrow all in
                                      Comment
                                      • Cuse0323
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-09-09
                                        • 30169

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by TwoWays
                                        Walking is sharp. Let us strive to be more like him. I need to have the experience.


                                        25, he knows it all.

                                        Comment
                                        • WalkingLuckCharm
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-07-10
                                          • 4197

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Cuse0323


                                          25, he knows it all.

                                          Yup I'm young. But if I were to choose between which of two cappers was better, age would not be a factor at all. Rather his net worth, his plays, and his playing style.

                                          I repeat once again OP; these posters are not winning EV players. Just this response should be testament. He replies with pride; he puts pride before winning. I only care about getting better.
                                          Comment
                                          • Cuse0323
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-09-09
                                            • 30169

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                            Yup I'm young. But if I were to choose between which of two cappers was better, age would not be a factor at all. Rather his net worth, his plays, and his playing style.
                                            Yes, you are superior to us all. Except those two other successful handicappers here, or the one if you include yourself.
                                            Comment
                                            • WalkingLuckCharm
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-07-10
                                              • 4197

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                              Yes, you are superior to us all. Except those two other successful handicappers here, or the one if you include yourself.
                                              I don't care at all brother. If it makes u feel better I think you are better at sports capping than I am. I am merely trying to help a fellow capper. BOL
                                              Comment
                                              • TwoWays
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-24-10
                                                • 13145

                                                #24
                                                Walker I'm not wise as u. I want an apprenticeship if u are offering.
                                                Comment
                                                • Cuse0323
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-09-09
                                                  • 30169

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                                  I don't care at all brother. If it makes u feel better I think you are better at sports capping than I am. I am merely trying to help a fellow capper. BOL
                                                  Just busting your balls, you take yourself pretty seriously. I hope you continue to smash the books and live a long prosperous professional gambling life.

                                                  I'm trying to help him too, make some big change on one play with them Rangers baby.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WalkingLuckCharm
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-07-10
                                                    • 4197

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                                    Just busting your balls, you take yourself pretty seriously. I hope you continue to smash the books and live a long prosperous professional gambling life.

                                                    I'm trying to help him too, make some big change on one play with them Rangers baby.
                                                    I'm a very serious person man. When I'm sober
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TwoWays
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                      • 13145

                                                      #27
                                                      If u show me the light I would fall in a dark hole
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Cuse0323
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                        • 30169

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                                        I'm a very serious person man. When I'm sober
                                                        Not sure what that's like, sobriety. For the record, I'm 26...gambling since 4 so age/experience is definitely not a factor. Good on you for being smart.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • z-doggie
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-09-14
                                                          • 1014

                                                          #29
                                                          not good money management..

                                                          your chasing..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sergiudec
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 06-03-12
                                                            • 959

                                                            #30
                                                            go with the heat ml at home this is just one of those moments. you'll get your $770 back and rethink everything fresh.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • iceman02
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 03-05-12
                                                              • 736

                                                              #31
                                                              Whats the best money management.
                                                              Same units on all the bets or different units based on the confidence of the game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bryant81
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 03-23-10
                                                                • 326

                                                                #32
                                                                I won't say which side to bet on, because I truly don't know. However, if you believe OKC will tonight, do you believe they will close the series out in game 6? It's hard to imagine them not doing so if they win tonight. So why not bet on OKC to win series 4-2 at +400 rather than just putting money on OKC ML tonight. If you believe OKC wins tonight, you have to believe the close it out at home in game 6. More value in 4-2 series bet IMO.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SSSuperSergSSS
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 02-05-14
                                                                  • 115

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by iceman02
                                                                  Guys need some advice...

                                                                  My accounts down $770 which is about 15% of my account.

                                                                  I have a $5,000 Bankroll and down 770 so $4,230 current balance.

                                                                  Im thinking of putting $500 (10% of my original Bankroll) on the OKC thunder money line +170 to win 1350.

                                                                  Whats your input and advice on making this move?

                                                                  When end listening to people make sure the advice is positive, you can make it back gradually. Think straight and don't chase. I've been doing this for years, I know what I'm talking about. Always remember you aren't up or down if you lost 770 then forget it. You are now at 4230 so your unit shouldn't be 500 it should be 423. Never bet more than unit unless it's what you want to do. Never take any tips you aren't happy with taking or you end up being a hater and angry at everyone. Best of luck and stay disciplined. You will get there mate ;-)

                                                                  incase se you want to know what I like: spurs O206.5 (I believe they will put up at least 27 a Q) and OKH will be close if not win . Like I said only do what you are happy with
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Seto
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-16-11
                                                                    • 12906

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                                                    Look at all the posters above. They actually fail to even notice the problem in your bet sizing.

                                                                    I'm 25 now and I've started gambling since 12 or 13. That's half my life sitting in casinos with sharks. Half my life staring at lines and analysing gambling mentality. Every single poster that has responded to you is a losing capper. They think the next bet will help you. I think the result of your next bet is irrelevant; if I was you I'd go back to your 1-7 run, think why u went wrong and what factors would have changed your mind. Apply for next game for 50. Eat sleep rave repeat.


                                                                    Take care man
                                                                    This is SBR, people are here to post plays. They post plays in any random thread for any random reason, including myself, because, well, that's what a gambling forum is. It doesn't mean they genuinely think that the bet they are suggesting is the cure, or that any one bet is.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Seto
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                                      • 12906

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                                                      Yup I'm young. But if I were to choose between which of two cappers was better, age would not be a factor at all. Rather his net worth, his plays, and his playing style.

                                                                      I repeat once again OP; these posters are not winning EV players. Just this response should be testament. He replies with pride; he puts pride before winning. I only care about getting better.
                                                                      Agree here. Why do people make out age to be a factor?
                                                                      Comment
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