Favorites 13-2 ATS so far tonight in hoops

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  • James D
    SBR MVP
    • 01-03-13
    • 2040

    #36
    ^^^^^^^

    that nash data says wed/fri have significant favorite leans

    Originally posted by Seto
    The only fave that didn't cover in the NBA is Miami who blew an 11-point lead with 4 minutes to go.

    So essentially, it could have easily been a 100% day
    I watched that game, they fell asleep late. Is this Monday favorite data accurate ? Does anyone have hard numbers?
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #37
      Originally posted by No coincidences
      Well, just briefly looking back over the last two months in the NBA, favorites on Mondays are (ATS)....

      3-24: 8-1
      3-17: 3-4
      3-10: 4-3
      3-3: 6-2
      2-24: 4-1
      2-17: no games
      2-10: 4-2
      2-3: 7-4

      So that's 36-17 for starters.
      College hoops:

      3-24: 8-1
      3-17: 0-1
      3-10: 8-5
      3-3: 2-4
      2-24: 2-3
      2-17: 5-3
      2-10: 4-8
      2-3: 9-4

      That's 38-29 overall since the beginning of February. Added to the NBA totals, and you get 74-46 ATS overall for favorites, or over 61 percent.
      Comment
      • nash13
        SBR MVP
        • 01-21-14
        • 1122

        #38
        http://sportsdatabase.com/nba/query?...ubmit=S+D+Q+L+!
        Comment
        • nash13
          SBR MVP
          • 01-21-14
          • 1122

          #39
          38-25 in 2014.
          Comment
          • Jikos
            SBR MVP
            • 04-28-13
            • 1663

            #40
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            Well, just briefly looking back over the last two months in the NBA, favorites on Mondays are (ATS)....

            3-24: 8-1
            3-17: 3-4
            3-10: 4-3
            3-3: 6-2
            2-24: 4-1
            2-17: no games
            2-10: 4-2
            2-3: 7-4

            So that's 36-17 for starters.
            That doesn't count. You flat bet all favorites every Monday from here on out to the end of the season and use those results. You've found a profitable trend right? It makes logical sense to you? The rational thing to do is bet it. Go on. If you truly believe it you will bet it.
            Comment
            • nash13
              SBR MVP
              • 01-21-14
              • 1122

              #41
              681-614 from January to March in the whole database
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #42
                NBA favorites on Mondays are 80-63 ATS for the season, or 56 percent.

                Favorites are 526-510 overall on the season, or 51 percent.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Jikos
                  That doesn't count. You flat bet all favorites every Monday from here on out to the end of the season and use those results. You've found a profitable trend right? It makes logical sense to you? The rational thing to do is bet it. Go on. If you truly believe it you will bet it.
                  What do you mean it "doesn't count"? Dude, I'm a stubborn dog bettor. I've already admitted as much. And I get killed on Mondays more than any other day of the week, whether it's MLB or college hoops/NBA. That much I do know. Yeah, it does make logical sense to back favorites on Mondays from my experiences. I just can't bring myself to do it. But it's not some kind of dream I've concocted to make myself feel better. Favorites cover on Mondays much more often than not, for whatever reason.
                  Comment
                  • Killer_Demo
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-15-08
                    • 8409

                    #44
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    and by in large, I get absolutely crushed on Mondays. Period.

                    Look at the loser try to make excuses to why he bets losers. "mondays crush me" NO you bury yourself. Dont blame mondays you lying fukk
                    Comment
                    • Jikos
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-28-13
                      • 1663

                      #45
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      NBA favorites on Mondays are 80-63 ATS for the season, or 56 percent.

                      Favorites are 526-510 overall on the season, or 51 percent.
                      But you're not going to bet it like I said because you know it's penetrating retarded.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Killer_Demo
                        Look at the loser try to make excuses to why he bets losers. "mondays crush me" NO you bury yourself. Dont blame mondays you lying fukk
                        I would invite you to check my in-season threads in every sport. All documented. If you think I "bury myself" and "bet losers" on a regular basis, you really struggle as much as I think you do with reading comprehension, Muggsy.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Jikos
                          But you're not going to bet it like I said because you know it's penetrating retarded.
                          So that's your response? You ask me to provide data to back this theory up, I do, and this is the best counter you can come up with? It's "penetrating retarded"?
                          Comment
                          • Killer_Demo
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-15-08
                            • 8409

                            #48
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            I would invite you to check my in-season threads in every sport. All documented. If you think I "bury myself" and "bet losers" on a regular basis, you really struggle as much as I think you do with reading comprehension.
                            where is your spreadsheet? I dont see shit posted but made up numbers
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Killer_Demo
                              where is your spreadsheet? I dont see shit posted but made up numbers
                              "Made up numbers"? What do you mean?
                              Comment
                              • Killer_Demo
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-15-08
                                • 8409

                                #50
                                NoCoin... quit lying to SBR...post a spreadsheet without edited plays or shut your lying ass up. You wanted to flap your gums about me earlier now Im gonna expose your fraud-ass.
                                Comment
                                • Jikos
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-28-13
                                  • 1663

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  What do you mean it "doesn't count"? Dude, I'm a stubborn dog bettor. I've already admitted as much. And I get killed on Mondays more than any other day of the week, whether it's MLB or college hoops/NBA. That much I do know. Yeah, it does make logical sense to back favorites on Mondays from my experiences. I just can't bring myself to do it. But it's not some kind of dream I've concocted to make myself feel better. Favorites cover on Mondays much more often than not, for whatever reason.
                                  No. That's not true at all. You've found a small stretch, a very small stretch, where a bet that should hit between 48%-52% has hit 55.9%. This is called variance. This is a very simple concept. No you absolutely do not believe it. I am 100% sure. Your ego is holding you back from accepting that, and you want to win this futile argument. Your brain remembers Mondays and losing days, and guess what, for the past few Mondays, the bets you've made (you said yourself you bet mostly dogs) have been losing because favorites have been winning. It happens. Not all the time. You did not make this thread last year, nor will you remember it next year. Goodnight. Please read a book.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Killer_Demo
                                    NoCoin... quit lying to SBR...post a spreadsheet without edited plays or shut your lying ass up. You wanted to flap your gums about me earlier now Im gonna expose your fraud-ass.
                                    "Without edited plays"? What?

                                    My plays are all there and posted before gametime in every sport I bet. My record is tracked in these in-season threads. What's the difference between having them in an in-season thread vs. a spreadsheet?

                                    Only at SBR can a 5-foot-1 wigger midget with no leg to stand on -- both literally and figuratively -- recklessly post a bunch of drivel that makes zero sense like this toward a completely transparent poster. Classic.
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Jikos
                                      No. That's not true at all. You've found a small stretch, a very small stretch, where a bet that should hit between 48%-52% has hit 55.9%. This is called variance. This is a very simple concept. No you absolutely do not believe it. I am 100% sure. Your ego is holding you back from accepting that, and you want to win this futile argument. Your brain remembers Mondays and losing days, and guess what, for the past few Mondays, the bets you've made (you said yourself you bet mostly dogs) have been losing because favorites have been winning. It happens. Not all the time. You did not make this thread last year, nor will you remember it next year. Goodnight. Please read a book.
                                      So 74-46 in college and pro ball since the beginning of February -- i.e., blindly betting straight dogs every Monday for eight weeks straight over the course of 120 plays nets a win % of .617 -- isn't significant enough to note? Umm, OK.

                                      I've been complaining about Mondays for the last three years, so yeah, I have. And yes, I will.
                                      Comment
                                      • Killer_Demo
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 06-15-08
                                        • 8409

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        "Without edited plays"? What?

                                        My plays are all there and posted before gametime in every sport I bet. My record is tracked in these in-season threads. What's the difference between having them in an in-season thread vs. a spreadsheet?

                                        Only at SBR can a 5-foot-1 wigger midget with no leg to stand on -- both literally and figuratively -- recklessly post a bunch of drivel that makes zero sense like this toward a completely transparent poster. Classic.
                                        Hows that princecton play working for ya queer?
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #55
                                          I just randomly looked up two months during the 2013 MLB season -- August and September, when dogs typically rule the roost -- and here are the Monday records for favorites:

                                          9-30: 1-0
                                          9-23: 9-3
                                          9-16: 7-3
                                          9-9: 5-5
                                          9-2: 9-6
                                          8-26: 6-3
                                          8-19: 8-4
                                          8-12: 8-3
                                          8-5: 4-5

                                          That's 57-32 ATS, or 64 percent.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                            I just randomly looked up two months during the 2013 MLB season -- August and September, when dogs typically rule the roost -- and here are the Monday records for favorites:

                                            9-30: 1-0
                                            9-23: 9-3
                                            9-16: 7-3
                                            9-9: 5-5
                                            9-2: 9-6
                                            8-26: 6-3
                                            8-19: 8-4
                                            8-12: 8-3
                                            8-5: 4-5

                                            That's 57-32 ATS, or 64 percent.
                                            July....

                                            7-29: 6-3
                                            7-22: 7-6
                                            7-15: no games
                                            7-8: 7-6
                                            7-1: 6-1
                                            Totals: 26-16 ATS for favorites (62 percent)
                                            Totals from July-September: 83-48 for favorites (64 percent)
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #57
                                              Obviously baseball is different because there is no "spread" on games, but you get the picture.
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #58
                                                College basketball much more "balanced", though there was technically only one losing day for favorite bettors in December and January:

                                                12-2: 5-5
                                                12-9: 1-1
                                                12-16: 4-2
                                                12-23: 10-4
                                                12-30: 11-10
                                                1-6: 4-4
                                                1-13: 6-4
                                                1-20: 7-7
                                                1-27: 3-5
                                                Total ATS for favorites in December/January on Monday: 51-42 (55 percent)
                                                Total ATS for favorites in December-March on Monday: 89-71 (56 percent)

                                                Add that bottom number to the NBA (80-63 for the year), and you have 169-134 total in 2013-14 for basketball, or a solid 56 percent if you'd blindly bet favorites ATS every Monday.
                                                Comment
                                                • oldshoebox72
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 05-09-13
                                                  • 104

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Killer_Demo
                                                  where is your spreadsheet? I dont see shit posted but made up numbers
                                                  he can't do spreadsheet because almost half of those picks are live betting. I do live betting, and own bets that 500 or 600 plus all the time, if I was gonna track my record, I wouldn't included in there.
                                                  in NFL, if team A -7, and scored a TD on first drive, live line would probably team A -10 or 10.5 depend to the book.
                                                  if he takes team B +10, and claim 10.5, and final score is 20-10. team A won. How one can go back and verify his record?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                    Add that bottom number to the NBA (80-63 for the year), and you have 169-134 total in 2013-14 for basketball, or a solid 56 percent if you'd blindly bet favorites ATS every Monday.
                                                    Adding college basketball in November (32-26), and it's 201-160 (.556) ATS for favorites on Mondays in 2013-14 including all college and NBA games, start to finish.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ramones951
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-23-08
                                                      • 2356

                                                      #61
                                                      This should just about end the thread. No coincidence further burying himself by referencing 2 months worth of data like a fukkin rookie
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ramones951
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-23-08
                                                        • 2356

                                                        #62
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          Adding college basketball in November (32-26), and it's 201-160 (.556) ATS for favorites on Mondays in 2013-14 including all college and NBA games, start to finish.
                                                          Favorites are 1920-1834 in college basketball this season overall ATS, and 526-511 in the NBA. So that's 2466-2345 overall for favorites, or .512 percent. So on Tuesdays-Sundays, favorites are 2265-2185 -- or only .509 -- compared to the .556 ATS % on Mondays.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by ramones951
                                                            This should just about end the thread. No coincidence further burying himself by referencing 2 months worth of data like a fukkin rookie
                                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                            Favorites are 1920-1834 in college basketball this season overall ATS, and 526-511 in the NBA. So that's 2466-2345 overall for favorites, or .512 percent. So on Tuesdays-Sundays, favorites are 2265-2185 -- or only .509 -- compared to the .556 ATS % on Mondays.
                                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                            Adding college basketball in November (32-26), and it's 201-160 (.556) ATS for favorites on Mondays in 2013-14 including all college and NBA games, start to finish.
                                                            There's the entire season of data for college and pro basketball combined, with Mondays compared to overall ATS.

                                                            Anything else?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jikos
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-28-13
                                                              • 1663

                                                              #65
                                                              Holy shit thank you I just saw this. There's a size sample for you man!!
                                                              1134-1126 and 50.2%
                                                              Any edge at all would be apparent over a sample that large.
                                                              Now please stop this bullshit.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ramones951
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-23-08
                                                                • 2356

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                There's the entire season of data for college and pro basketball combined, with Mondays compared to overall ATS.

                                                                Anything else?
                                                                Sooooo someone posts a sample size larger than yours, nearly 10x larger, yet you continue to reference your SMALLER sample size and treat it as fact... Classic. Guy shows you would be DOWN money by blindly betting these favorites, or underdogs for that matter.

                                                                Not much else to see here
                                                                Comment
                                                                • paco
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-07-09
                                                                  • 62873

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by Killer_Demo
                                                                  Fresno > Detroit.

                                                                  Isnt time for u to cop some black tar on 8-mile u junkie detroit fukk. Fukkin TWEAKER
                                                                  I must have missed all the Fresno Stanley cups. World Series, and nba championships
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Killer_Demo
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 06-15-08
                                                                    • 8409

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by paco
                                                                    I must have missed all the Fresno Stanley cups. World Series, and nba championships
                                                                    Paco I need $20 on pump #4
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #69
                                                                      9-3 last Monday in MLB.
                                                                      4-0 today.

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • tony_come
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 03-31-10
                                                                        • 21695

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Thx for the stats

                                                                        Great infor
                                                                        Comment
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