Big on Wichita St -1600

[Cookie Monster]

If they went 34-0, no way they could lose to a a 13-19 regular season team.

P. S. I am not that dumb. But all my numbers point to a -3500 fair line, so it is a good value. I am "small" on it ($800 tw $50)

[thekoreanmang]

Do it all for the cookie.

[Smoke]

You can't be serious

[jtoler]

You put up 800 to win 50? Lets see game last at least 2 hours, my math says you could panhandle at a freeway exit for an hour and a half and get 50 bucks.

[Bet10Heinekens]

Is this real

[TeeRose]

You put up 800 to win 50? Lets see game last at least 2 hours, my math says you could panhandle at a freeway exit for an hour and a half and get 50 bucks.

HAHAHAHA Panhandle like Yogi bro, on the other hand HAHAHA don't be a punk take Shockers -16.

[Vegas39]

800 to make 50

[Dirty Sanchez]

If they went 34-0, no way they could lose to a a 13-19 regular season team.

P. S. I am not that dumb. But all my numbers point to a -3500 fair line, so it is a good value. I am "small" on it ($800 tw $50)

Dude you can't be serious...and if you are...stop gambling immediately and take up a musical instrument

[TeeRose]

Earlier today a guy on here lost $5500 on Duke ML to win $1000, he thought it was easy win.

[drfunkmaster]

easy money

[nyyanks773]

Nice hit

[TonyTall]

they win this game more than 16 of 17 times..........good value

[ReconSnarff]

If they went 34-0, no way they could lose to a a 13-19 regular season team.

P. S. I am not that dumb. But all my numbers point to a -3500 fair line, so it is a good value. I am "small" on it ($800 tw $50)

Way to handicap a game....not

[jtoler]

Not sure what would hurt worse, Wichita to lose or knowing you could have dumped on the spread and won alot more.

[ACoochy]

lol at the dumbfukks here who dont know what OP is about...

Guys showing off their 'noobness' still...

[Cuse0323]

enjoy yo 50 spot

[Cookie Monster]

Not sure what would hurt worse, Wichita to lose or knowing you could have dumped on the spread and won alot more.

Not sure what would hurt worse, being a net loser on a bond investment or knowing you could have won "alot" more on a derivative.

[JMon]

WTF, with all the upsets, enough said

[ThaddeusB]

"Juice only matters if you lose"

[RMStanley]

Dude that's a 6% return. some people are content with that for an entire YEAR and you get it in 2.2 hours?

I say it's a great bet and congrats. I wish my book had offered the same.

[bob6199]

i mean chalk bets aren't smart, but this was as guarantee as you were going to get.

[Drew0585]

You could have just gone big on -17 you know. -110 a lot better than -1600

[PlusUltra]

You're a pretty good capper. Got anything tomorrow? I want to tail.

[georgek118]

I wished i followed wichita st from the start... arnt they like 85% at covering the spread? Better's wet dream team

[The Kraken]

New guys here don't know about the cookie monster and his EPIC run

[Cookie Monster]

You're a pretty good capper. Got anything tomorrow? I want to tail.

Liked Michigan -195 at opening, but it is gone.

I like to post such big moneylines, and most people answers show little undestanding of probabilities. If you are offered in a 2 dice roll under 10.5 -1000 you should jump at it every time. Probabilities are 33/3 = -1100, so it is a solid bet. But most bettors are afraid of laying such large chalk. Some poster suggested "with some upsets today it is a bad bet", as if Duke game has anything to do with Wichita St.

Speaking of upsets, I was hit by Duke, offered it at Matchbook at 900, and only a guy had the balls to bought $12. So I lost all of $108. Some other guy bought me $100 of Kansas 900. I my model fair line had Duke as -1300 and KS as -1200, so both bets were +EV for me (and most importantly, expected growth is great). AZ had no value, and VA was free money, as a guy offered it at -3000 Matchy while 5dimes had Coastal Car +3425. Yesterday I had FL estimated at -30000, but placed very little at -5750.

People are surprised of such large risk for an small gain. Do you know the expected gain of $220 to win $200 with a good +EV of 2%? It is just $4. And do not ask for expected growth, chalky moneylines beat it easily in the few cases when there is +EV on them. No surprise books charge more juice on the moneyline dog on most cases.

Do not get me wrong, I also bet spreads and dog moneylines. Whatever has the best +EG is kosher. And never second guess "I should had taken the spread instead". Just take the best number and stick to your guns.

[ap1ftw]

why wouldn't you play the spread?? 1h 2h whole game


i should read the post above this. duh...explanation

[ZetaPsi808]

You could have just gone big on -17 you know. -110 a lot better than -1600

thats terrible logic

what happens when the team is a lock to win the game and wins by 16??

[ZetaPsi808]

Liked Michigan -195 at opening, but it is gone.

I like to post such big moneylines, and most people answers show little undestanding of probabilities. If you are offered in a 2 dice roll under 10.5 -1000 you should jump at it every time. Probabilities are 33/3 = -1100, so it is a solid bet. But most bettors are afraid of laying such large chalk. Some poster suggested "with some upsets today it is a bad bet", as if Duke game has anything to do with Wichita St.

Speaking of upsets, I was hit by Duke, offered it at Matchbook at 900, and only a guy had the balls to bought $12. So I lost all of $108. Some other guy bought me $100 of Kansas 900. I my model fair line had Duke as -1300 and KS as -1200, so both bets were +EV for me (and most importantly, expected growth is great). AZ had no value, and VA was free money, as a guy offered it at -3000 Matchy while 5dimes had Coastal Car +3425. Yesterday I had FL estimated at -30000, but placed very little at -5750.

People are surprised of such large risk for an small gain. Do you know the expected gain of $220 to win $200 with a good +EV of 2%? It is just $4. And do not ask for expected growth, chalky moneylines beat it easily in the few cases when there is +EV on them. No surprise books charge more juice on the moneyline dog on most cases.

Do not get me wrong, I also bet spreads and dog moneylines. Whatever has the best +EG is kosher. And never second guess "I should had taken the spread instead". Just take the best number and stick to your guns.

thats the smartest post i have seen in players talk in a long time

[ZetaPsi808]

cookie monster what country are you from?

[GiveMeaBJ]

Probslwm is these fucksn think tey kno everydthing cuz they dnt have 00800 to riska if itsa good bet make it thats y w e r here

[DALLASROB]

cookie monster what country are you from?

I think he lives in a garbage can

[ZetaPsi808]

Probslwm is these fucksn think tey kno everydthing cuz they dnt have 00800 to riska if itsa good bet make it thats y w e r here