I Guess I Am In The Running For Best NCAA Hoops Capper Of The Year

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    I Guess I Am In The Running For Best NCAA Hoops Capper Of The Year
  • Smoke
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-09-09
    • 48111

    #2
    Dont get too cocky corbin

    The tourney could be your downfall

    Stay humble son
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Thanks Smokey

      Sound advice
      Comment
      • Smoke
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-09-09
        • 48111

        #4
        No problem holmes but yes nice work
        Comment
        • shaunovery
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-15-07
          • 18143

          #5
          Give us the tourney winner coach
          Comment
          • dlunc3
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-31-09
            • 9129

            #6
            Nice record. But all that work for only $1500?
            Comment
            • Doughboy22
              SBR MVP
              • 02-01-12
              • 4189

              #7
              Originally posted by dlunc3
              Nice record. But all that work for only $1500?
              This guys only showing 100 for unit size. He's betting a grand a game so you do the math chief. Dudes up 15k. Aaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhh
              Comment
              • Dirty Sanchez
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-01-10
                • 16031

                #8
                Originally posted by jjgold
                Thanks Smokey

                Sound advice
                Comment
                • manny24
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-22-07
                  • 20046

                  #9
                  Smokey is right though about the tourney

                  you can go from wrinkle release slacks to rooster hole sweats in no time flat
                  Comment
                  • James D
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-03-13
                    • 2040

                    #10
                    Very very good record JJ. I did a quick look at it and it's about 109-84 when you factor in money lines and juice (-8) still up like 17 units on a pretty large sample size. Also with flat bets it's a lot more accurate. Bet sizes can vary but when bet sizes go from 1 unit to 10 or 15 regularly it makes stats pretty worthless.
                    Comment
                    • Russian Rocket
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-02-12
                      • 43910

                      #11
                      I don't care if he won a dollar or $1500...you definitely know your sport if you hit over 60% after almost 200 picks
                      Comment
                      • BIGDAY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 02-17-10
                        • 48245

                        #12
                        Comment
                        • byronbb
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-08
                          • 3067

                          #13
                          Originally posted by dlunc3
                          Nice record. But all that work for only $1500?
                          That's 15 units or 15% bankroll growth. You have to gamble big to actually make money.
                          Comment
                          • James D
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-03-13
                            • 2040

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                            I don't care if he won a dollar or $1500...you definitely know your sport if you hit over 60% after almost 200 picks
                            What's up rocket . Actually this is off some. Because of money lines. When you have -400 faves losing, even rarely, it affects the numbers a lot. I did a quick calculation and his numbers are around 109-84 . Still a very very strong 56.4%
                            Comment
                            • Russian Rocket
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-02-12
                              • 43910

                              #15
                              Originally posted by James D
                              What's up rocket . Actually this is off some. Because of money lines. When you have -400 faves losing, even rarely, it affects the numbers a lot. I did a quick calculation and his numbers are around 109-84 . Still a very very strong 56.4%
                              Hey James I didn't look closely at his sheet, but I totally agree with you about big favs affecting the overall percentage.
                              56% is not bad either
                              Comment
                              • James D
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-03-13
                                • 2040

                                #16
                                56.4 is super strong anyway. Just pointing out it's not 61 which is insane . I would even say his -10 is way above 56% from my casual look. His ML ROI is Lower. Either way it's a great job .

                                The MOST important part is the flat bet aspect . ANYONE can show a profit over a month or two if they vary bets more that 1-6 or 7 units. If someone allows me have a betting range of 1-10 units I would lay 3-1 I can show a profit during entire tournament . I would even accept a huge minimum plays number of like 50 . ( no I am not trying to book action I am just pointing out simple mathematical principles)
                                Comment
                                • InTheDrink
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-23-09
                                  • 23983

                                  #17
                                  jjer settin us up to go fukkin tout

                                  jjer unrale
                                  Comment
                                  • artyfudgepacker
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-06-13
                                    • 2205

                                    #18
                                    True dat
                                    Originally posted by russian rocket
                                    i don't care if he won a dollar or $1500...you definitely know your sport if you hit over 60% after almost 200 picks
                                    Comment
                                    • mcdonae101
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-02-14
                                      • 3646

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                                      I don't care if he won a dollar or $1500...you definitely know your sport if you hit over 60% after almost 200 picks

                                      Not when a lot of bets r moneyline favs
                                      Comment
                                      • THam12
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-12-13
                                        • 12640

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by mcdonae101
                                        Not when a lot of bets r moneyline favs
                                        winning is winning.
                                        money is money.
                                        if a job is easy do you complain about the pay? hell naw.
                                        Comment
                                        • James D
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-03-13
                                          • 2040

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by mcdonae101
                                          Not when a lot of bets r moneyline favs

                                          I did the numbers it is discussed a few posts up. He is about 56.4% even with those ML plays calculated properly. Still very impressive.
                                          Comment
                                          • Bcatswin
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-21-10
                                            • 13931

                                            #22
                                            As slick as his bald ass head, keep it up Corbin!
                                            Comment
                                            • Russian Rocket
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-02-12
                                              • 43910

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mcdonae101
                                              Not when a lot of bets r moneyline favs
                                              You're more than welcome to count his ML favs, but I can assure you it's not a big number
                                              Comment
                                              • byronbb
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-08
                                                • 3067

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by mcdonae101
                                                Not when a lot of bets r moneyline favs
                                                Load his SS and select Sides from bet type drop down. 59% on coinflips.
                                                Comment
                                                • James D
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-03-13
                                                  • 2040

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by James D

                                                  What's up rocket . Actually this is off some. Because of money lines. When you have -400 faves losing, even rarely, it affects the numbers a lot. I did a quick calculation and his numbers are around 109-84 . Still a very very strong 56.4%
                                                  Originally posted by mcdonae101


                                                  Not when a lot of bets r moneyline favs
                                                  As posted above I did a quick look at numbers and when a -400 fav lost it counted as 4 units, a -170 was 1.7 etc etc.... Still had a 56.4 % win rate. 109-84 factoring in ML faves correctly. I did this quickly just passing time in traffic but it is very very close to the exact number


                                                  Originally posted by byronbb

                                                  Load his SS and select Sides from bet type drop down. 59% on coinflips.

                                                  That doesn't surprise me, it seemed like the ML plays were the weaker part of his menu. He was smashing the typical point spread
                                                  Comment
                                                  • InTheDrink
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-23-09
                                                    • 23983

                                                    #26
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                      • 52143

                                                      #27
                                                      JJer Nice work pal

                                                      JJer except your looking up to Team Lkidder

                                                      Although Nothing to prove posting plays on here anymore

                                                      I hope you all win

                                                      Cuz we are
                                                      Comment
                                                      • homie1975
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-24-13
                                                        • 15452

                                                        #28
                                                        excellent picks Sir,

                                                        i hope to see you a lot at the window this tourney cashing tickets
                                                        Comment
                                                        • InTheDrink
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-23-09
                                                          • 23983

                                                          #29
                                                          jjer I might be willing to make you an offer to take your plays private

                                                          jjer call me
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #30
                                                            Comment
                                                            • James D
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-03-13
                                                              • 2040

                                                              #31
                                                              JJ running the book over at the perfect time. You are capping great and winning the coin flips, deadly combo, keep it up and Good luck his weekend sir
                                                              Comment
                                                              • THam12
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-12-13
                                                                • 12640

                                                                #32
                                                                THam12
                                                                5 wins and a push last two days..

                                                                good stuff jjer
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jayvegas420
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 03-09-11
                                                                  • 28213

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Deuce
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 01-12-08
                                                                    • 29843

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Corbin really lost his ass. Spreadsheet is opposite of real picks. Don't think he'd throw the board winner do you?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388179

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Deuce back off

                                                                      I have been giving the board winners since January 1 of 2014
                                                                      Comment
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