VCU +1.5 over UMass on Friday

[LT Profits]

VCU is the best unranked mid-major in the country. It really surprises me that Saint Louis is ranked 10th in the country right now and yet VCU received hardly any Top 25 votes. Those two teams are not far apart, as evidenced by Billikens beating Rams by just two points in St. Louis last week. Biggest key to this game is VCU is on its way to leading the country in defensive turnover percentage for the third straight year under Shaka Smart, as their current 26.5 percent is obliterating the national average of 18.5 percent, and Massachusetts is 236th in offensive turnover percentage at 19.6 percent. Minutemen are just treading water right now going 4-4 in their last eight Atlantic 10 games including a bad home loss to George Mason.

Do not bet against this man in a statement game like this:

[LT Profits]

FYI, I bet this game early before there were any Money Lines posted. I didn't want to wait for the MLs because this game could go to Pick or maybe even VCU -1.

[crustyme]

1-10 how much u like this play?

i may return to vegas just to bet it.

[THam12]

LT, it scares me that we are on the same side tonight.

[LT Profits]

1-10 how much u like this play?

I may return to vegas just to bet it.

2.75 . Just a hair above normal unit.

[LT Profits]

LT, it scares me that we are on the same side tonight.

Yeah VCU and Manhattan.

[THam12]

Yeah VCU and Manhattan.

im ok with it $$$

[Smoke]

Why is umass a fave then and why did line move a point?

[crustyme]

umass -2 now.

is the whole world fading lt?

[THam12]

Vegas likes us todsy

[LT Profits]

Why is umass a fave then and why did line move a point?

I see 59% of bets on UMass. Fact that UMass opened -1 and is still just -2 at home still says a lot. Looks like I was wrong about line direction though unless sharps are waiting to pounce.

[Darkside Magick]

UMass is the play

[TakeMyMoneyYo]

This kind of scares me, I want to put some big money on VCU, but they are a not a good road team. But then again, they're coming off a loss... So is VCU -2 a safe pick?

[jessetk313]

Save big money for Kansas and Louisville Tom. I may even hit Mia fla hard. After bc knocked Syracuse off they are ready for the season to end.

[Big Bear]

Why is umass a fave then and why did line move a point?

best UMASS team since Calippari left

[crustyme]

would back vcu if it goes to 3 but doubt it.

[THam12]

best UMASS team since Calippari left

havent been impressed even slightly

[THam12]

would back vcu if it goes to 3 but doubt it.

buy a point

[Big Bear]

Save big money for Kansas and Louisville Tom. I may even hit Mia fla hard. After bc knocked Syracuse off they are ready for the season to end.

how much do u anticipate kansas being favored by?

i was going to parlay louisville, st johns, duke and maybe a few others

[Smoke]

buy a point

[crustyme]

buy a point

nah, never buy pts on a dog. not worth it.

[THam12]

nah, never buy pts on a dog. not worth it.

ok... so you'd take them at +3 but wont buy a point to get it there cause its not worth it? well ill be, mister I guess you really wont take them at +3

[LT Profits]

This kind of scares me, I want to put some big money on VCU, but they are a not a good road team. But then again, they're coming off a loss... So is VCU -2 a safe pick?

VCU is +2, not -2. And they are not a bad road team, they are 4-4 with wins at Virginia, Dayton and La Salle. Even the fourth road win at Belmont wasn't terrible, Belmont did win at North Carolina after all. Their worst road loss was at Northern Iowa, the other three were all to good teams and two of them (Saint Louis, George Washington) were to teams ranked much higher than UMass (43rd) on Pomeroy.

But nothing is EVER a "safe" pick, there are never any guarantees.

[LT Profits]

ok... so you'd take them at +3 but wont buy a point to get it there cause its not worth it? well ill be, mister I guess you really wont take them at +3

No he is 100% right, there is a BIG difference between +3 -110 (or less) and +3 -130.

[LT Profits]

best UMASS team since Calippari left

Maybe but VCU is still better.

[THam12]

No he is 100% right, there is a BIG difference between +3 -110 (or less) and +3 -130.

a little juice this time of year is nothing that should scare you off a Bet

[LT Profits]

a little juice this time of year is nothing that should scare you off a Bet

Laying -130 on any spread in a sport where there are no real key numbers is not advisable.

[LT Profits]

how much do u anticipate kansas being favored by?

i was going to parlay louisville, st johns, duke and maybe a few others

Kansas -9.5

[crustyme]

ok... so you'd take them at +3 but wont buy a point to get it there cause its not worth it? well ill be, mister I guess you really wont take them at +3

i see the value in +3, but not if i have to pay extra for it.

[THam12]

Laying -130 on any spread in a sport where there are no real key numbers is not advisable.

I dont mind. lines are tight.

[THam12]

i see the value in +3, but not if i have to pay extra for it.

I understand. id rather take a win with a little less reward, especially when I feel strongly about it

[THam12]

I see it like insurance... noone likes to pay for it, but when you need it, you're sure glad you had it!

[Smoke]

-130 is a good way to go broke

[THam12]

-130 is a good way to go broke

everyone is a critic. ill stick to what is working

[crustyme]

I understand. id rather take a win with a little less reward, especially when I feel strongly about it

if buying pts guaranteed wins everybody would be doing it.

dont necessarily feel strongly about 3.... thats just when i feel it tips the scales from a no bet to 51/49. so paying -130 or higher would be stupid.