100% chance this parlay hits tonight

[The Kraken]

Houston -115
Portland -190
Cleveland -125



You're welcome

[ChalkyDog]

The predicted hit percentage of this play is a little too low for me. Only play parlays that are over 100% of hitting.

Good luck.

[Chi_archie]

Chalky, I mis-spoke

it is actually 102.7% chance of hitting. I re-ran the numbers after checking the injury reports

[The Kraken]

Factor in this

I was sitting in a Mcdonalds drive thru the other day when this thought hit me like a load of big macs

It's a loop hole that allows you to never lose money when gambling

All you have to do is make a 3-teamer

Bet the spread on the dog and take the ML on the favorite in addition to the parlay. Also it seems to make sense to also take the dog ML. So you end up with Fav and Dog ML, 3-team parlay and dog spread.

You never lose. Probably get booted quick doing this so start small

[Chi_archie]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/105762-lad-backers-why-not-parlay-series-price.html

Here is something I thought of at the drive thru of McDonalds.

If I was on the Dodgers ML tonight (I didnt bet it), why not parlay with the series price? Now I know the price had to be super chalky, but wouldnt it basically give you a few extra few points? Understand what Im saying?

[44 Mag]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...ies-price.html

ONe of you guys should change your avatar, they are identical. LOL

[The Kraken]

Unreal. Never noticed that

[Chaz22]

I would go opposite way....

Pelicans game is a coin flip....Cavs suck lately

and Houston won't win it. Spurs haven't lost 2 games in a row this season and after that loss to Miami they are sure gonna kicks ass tonight...oh yes, and those 2 H2H wins will also make it hard for Rockets.

Portland's game also a coin flip. Grizz are back are full strength and Blazers are just a good offense team. They don't defend well.

[Chi_archie]

Thanks 44! I hadn't seen that Kraken and I had the same one

ok Kraken time to change your avatar!

[No coincidences]

Thanks 44! I hadn't seen that Kraken and I had the same one

ok Kraken time to change your avatar!

[TheMetsSuck]

with moneylines that small just lay the spreads and go for the much bigger payout.

[No coincidences]

I normally like your plays, Arcken, but I think this one has a better chance of going 0-3 than 3-0.

Good luck though. Hope you hit it. At least you didn't say "your welcome."

[kaijunn]

verejao and deng though...

[jjgold]

Houston slumping
Cabs real bad

40 chance of it winning

[Chi_archie]

I normally like your plays, Arcken, but I think this one has a better chance of going 0-3 than 3-0.

Good luck though. Hope you hit it. At least you didn't say "your welcome."

165% chance it goes 2-1

-35% chance it goes 1-2

if it were to go 0-3 the world would blow up

[16kredit]

y but in a parlay it doesnt matter if you go 2-1 or 1-2 or even 0-3.

[beantown34]

My parlay is similar just got the warriors instead of Houston

[Chi_archie]

y but in a parlay it doesnt matter if you go 2-1 or 1-2 or even 0-3.

102.7% chance all 3 hit

how you like dem apples?

[No coincidences]

165% chance it goes 2-1

-35% chance it goes 1-2

if it were to go 0-3 the world would blow up

Personally, I like the Cavs -- even though they pissed on my face with that collapse Sunday.

I think SA/HOU is 50/50. Rockets are all over the map. Spurs don't beat anyone with winning records.

Of course Portland on a short home line makes sense, but Memphis is a much better defensive team and a deeper team than the Blazers. I think that one's going down to the wire and it wouldn't surprise me at all if the Grizz pulled off the "upset" (if you could even call it that).

[spendingmoney]

Factor in this

I was sitting in a Mcdonalds drive thru the other day when this thought hit me like a load of big macs

It's a loop hole that allows you to never lose money when gambling

All you have to do is make a 3-teamer

Bet the spread on the dog and take the ML on the favorite in addition to the parlay. Also it seems to make sense to also take the dog ML. So you end up with Fav and Dog ML, 3-team parlay and dog spread.

You never lose. Probably get booted quick doing this so start small

Explain?.

[The Kraken]

love it

[The Kraken]

Houston slumping
Cabs real bad

40 chance of it winning

I'll take it!!!!

[Ted Sheckler]

Houston Rockets/Virginia/Kentucky.

[Tkost051]

Portland is probably your closest win

[Jarman]

Factor in this

I was sitting in a Mcdonalds drive thru the other day when this thought hit me like a load of big macs

It's a loop hole that allows you to never lose money when gambling

All you have to do is make a 3-teamer

Bet the spread on the dog and take the ML on the favorite in addition to the parlay. Also it seems to make sense to also take the dog ML. So you end up with Fav and Dog ML, 3-team parlay and dog spread.

You never lose. Probably get booted quick doing this so start small

I assume there are no sports betting sites that will allow this?

[No coincidences]

love it

I think Arch is sharper than Kraken though. Posts more winners. Not sure if that's a subconscious thing, or if it's done intentionally.

[Chi_archie]

just random, I think

[The Kraken]

Thanks 44! I hadn't seen that Kraken and I had the same one

ok Kraken time to change your avatar!

I will immediately begin looking through our saved photos and photo bucket accounts for a new avatar.

I normally like your plays, Arcken, but I think this one has a better chance of going 0-3 than 3-0.

Good luck though. Hope you hit it. At least you didn't say "your welcome."

This doesn't bode well for Arch and I. Honestly, I actually feel good about these 3 games. They are all chalk. If I go 0-3, it's may be time to fade like Lang.

Explain?.

You probably aren't factoring in half time lines, quarter lines, LIVE IN-GAME bets and the hedging and arbing possibilities that open up.
Plug those numbers in and you should see

[pavyracer]

You can't go 0-3 in a parlay. You are either going 1-0 or 0-1.

[Chi_archie]

round robin

[konck]

Archie your chances of hitting a 3 teamer are 1.89 gl

[konck]

But I Like the parlay minus Portland Grizz are playing hard ball right now no value in that minus

[b1slickguy]

165% chance it goes 2-1

-35% chance it goes 1-2

if it were to go 0-3 the world would blow up

Good to see you and OP running numbers/thinking alike.

[The Kraken]

Portland was my #1

[blerpblerp]

Spurs haven't beaten anyone? Well as someone else mentioned, they haven't lost 2 in a row this year.

And.

Spurs are 9-1 ATS after a loss. Those wins after a loss have come at Denver, Atlanta twice, at PHX, at LAC, Toronto twice, and at Dallas.

I'm not sure if I'm touching this game, but the above stat makes betting SAS tempting.