100% chance this parlay hits tonight

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  • Hot Jerry
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-16-13
    • 5545

    #36
    Originally posted by The Kraken
    Houston -115
    Portland -190
    Cleveland -125



    You're welcome
    Wish u good luck !! I don't like NBA today - money are in NCAAB today !!
    Comment
    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82839

      #37
      Originally posted by Chi_archie
      round robin
      You do not want to do a round robin parlay with a -190 ML. I'd take your action.
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #38
        Like Houston more now with Harden out.
        Comment
        • Plaza23
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-29-13
          • 7392

          #39
          Originally posted by The Kraken
          Factor in this

          I was sitting in a Mcdonalds drive thru the other day when this thought hit me like a load of big macs

          It's a loop hole that allows you to never lose money when gambling

          All you have to do is make a 3-teamer

          Bet the spread on the dog and take the ML on the favorite in addition to the parlay. Also it seems to make sense to also take the dog ML. So you end up with Fav and Dog ML, 3-team parlay and dog spread.

          You never lose. Probably get booted quick doing this so start small
          I think the computer software is good enough at most books to not allow arbitrage situations in the scenarios you describe. Otherwise, everyone would be on it. The only time I've seen arbitrage is when the lines rapidly move and you got in on it early. Sometimes the differences between the starting line and ending line can represent arbitrage opportunities
          Comment
          • Plaza23
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-29-13
            • 7392

            #40
            I'll test this right now at Bovada

            3 team parlay:
            Knicks (-250) $10 wins $4
            Pistons (-275) $10 wins $3.64
            Blazers (-220) $10 wins $4.55

            Dog ML
            Celtics (210) $10 wins $21
            Magic (235) $10 wins 23.5
            Grizzlies (180)$10 wins 18

            Bet $10 ML Favorite parlay to win is 17.77

            Betting dog spread yields (assuming 1.10 vig)
            $10 to win 9.09

            Say the Knicks/Pistons/Blazers all win in routs (all covering the spread)

            You hit your parlay winning $17.77
            You also win your 3 individual ML games totaling 12.19.
            Total winnings = 29.96.

            But you lose all 3 dog spreads (-30) and all 3 dog ML (-30). Total losses -60.

            Even if you decide to take out the 3 dog ML, you still come out losing.

            There's no arbitrage in gambling spreads.
            Comment
            • The Kraken
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-25-11
              • 28918

              #41
              Comment
              • vasilli07
                SBR MVP
                • 05-08-11
                • 3955

                #42
                Cavs are horrible.
                Comment
                • Chi_archie
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-22-08
                  • 63172

                  #43
                  Comment
                  • The Kraken
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-25-11
                    • 28918

                    #44
                    Boys this is a goldmine, these parlays

                    I went 1-2 but only counted as 0-1
                    Comment
                    • ChicagoCover
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-11-10
                      • 661

                      #45
                      You still lost. 100% chance it'll hit really backfired.
                      Comment
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