Conspiracy Theory Bookmakers (CTB)

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  • GiveMeaBJ
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-08-09
    • 8449

    #36
    Originally posted by Vaughany
    No idea what you are sayin
    Couldn't have said it better.
    Comment
    • Betman vs. Book
      SBR Rookie
      • 12-19-13
      • 40

      #37

      link to screen.
      I described his method of analysis, based on historical data.
      Certainly not a detailed analysis of the algorithm, but this material is enough to start.
      Everyone who plans to work with historical data I wish success.
      Comment
      • SportsMushroom
        SBR MVP
        • 09-28-10
        • 4177

        #38
        impressive figure bateman, keep us updated
        Comment
        • allin1
          SBR MVP
          • 11-07-11
          • 4555

          #39
          if you have -4, 0, 6 for odds movement values and no big favorite in the match do you consider betting on it?

          or do you need at least a difference of 3? like -3, 0, 6
          Comment
          • Betman vs. Book
            SBR Rookie
            • 12-19-13
            • 40

            #40
            the movement - not the general criterion
            you need - balance all criterions.
            Comment
            • kfranz31
              SBR MVP
              • 02-09-10
              • 1186

              #41
              is this just for soccer and is this for baseball also
              Comment
              • Betman vs. Book
                SBR Rookie
                • 12-19-13
                • 40

                #42
                ...and baseball, and tennis, and snoocer, and basketball.... - this is sport easier to analyze, because only two probabilities.
                I checked tennis, extracted data on WTA,
                baseball data was too lazy to extract, Data Baseball - 60 000 matches - for extract all data need one week.
                Comment
                • allin1
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-07-11
                  • 4555

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Betman vs. Book
                  the movement - not the general criterion
                  you need - balance all criterions.
                  so the movement is just one parameter

                  payout is another

                  but how about the type of movement and the rest of the parameters?
                  Comment
                  • Betman vs. Book
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 12-19-13
                    • 40

                    #44
                    Originally posted by allin1
                    so the movement is just one parameter

                    payout is another

                    but how about the type of movement and the rest of the parameters?
                    I use historical data from three bookmakers. Box-in-box.
                    Parameters - mevement, type movement, odds, payout, and other (without name)
                    Comment
                    • Betman vs. Book
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 12-19-13
                      • 40

                      #45
                      theoretically possible making profit without database.
                      Today I begin a test of the simplest method of analysis without database
                      Only on the basis of opening lines - check out how lucrative this simple method, just for fun
                      Comment
                      • Betman vs. Book
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 12-19-13
                        • 40

                        #46
                        who made ​​a bet on this match - Manchester - Sunderlend?
                        this's match very good example.
                        Comment
                        • allin1
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-07-11
                          • 4555

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Betman vs. Book
                          theoretically possible making profit without database.
                          Today I begin a test of the simplest method of analysis without database
                          Only on the basis of opening lines - check out how lucrative this simple method, just for fun
                          I was thinking about the same thing. Don't know if it's possible but what I can say is that the basic idea is very interesting so thank you for sharing.
                          Comment
                          • allin1
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-07-11
                            • 4555

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Betman vs. Book
                            who made ​​a bet on this match - Manchester - Sunderlend?
                            this's match very good example.
                            Are you looking at asian handicap for this one?
                            Comment
                            • Betman vs. Book
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 12-19-13
                              • 40

                              #49
                              No, I bet only Match Odds (1x2).
                              Just ending all stake Easy metod analyze - without database.
                              for testing I change England Chempionship, One League, France Second League.
                              Amount stakes - 26 matches * 10$= 260 $
                              Profit + 172$ , I think it's good result

                              26 bets is not an indicator, so I will check on the weekend
                              but I can already see that it is possible to make a profit on the rates even without a base
                              Comment
                              • allin1
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-07-11
                                • 4555

                                #50
                                I see the change in payout on the man city - sunderland match but I don't see the odds movement criterion

                                pinny OL: 1.19 7.9 18.21
                                pinny CL: 1.13 10 20
                                odds movement: +6 -11 -4
                                BMS: 6-11-4=-9

                                using price increments:
                                6-10 ->0.2
                                10-20 ->0.5

                                What made you pick draw or away team? Did you use different price increments?
                                Comment
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