Anyone who bets the celtics or louisville tonight are idiots.

[daggerkobe]

Bimmer!

[cocknocker]

The Boston/Denver line started out today in pacific standard time

10:19am Denver-1 at the LVSC (1st listing of line)
10:36am Denver/Boston (PK)
11:36am Boston-2
1:10pm Boston-1.5

Consensus numbers (Sportsinsights) show that Boston enjoys a 62% to 38% majority among bettors at this point. For a team to control a 3.5 point line move with only 62% from being a +1 underdog to being a 1.5 point favorite shows that the line is doing what it's supposed to do when the public has lined up as a majority on one side. The moneyline plays are 42% for Boston and 58% for Denver. So that my friend is where the real consensus is when a game is considered to be in a projected close game. And that is where the books will get their money. On moneyline plays for Denver. Boston moneyline is the right call, homes.

God Bless you.

[pat venditto]

You know your god you speak of didn't approve of gambling?

[holdplz]

You guys don't always need to thump your chests every time you disagree with the public money... A humble and modest attitude can go a long way...

[treece]

Venditto knows what he's talking about.

[Cloak & Dagger]

Iwin you don't work because your parents left you a house and money.Not because you are an educated sports gambler whos going to win long term. You are a story teller living in your own fantasy world.

[smoke a bowl]

Iwin don't you understand thats the sports betting market is fairly efficent with its odds and lines especially in big market sports such as nba and college basketball? boston -2 and louisville -1 are not solid bets, for they are just coin flips at -110.

If these 2 bets are coinflips (as you say they are)then how come the thread title doesn't read "Anyone who bets Gtown or Denver tonight are idiots"?

[Jshap1515]

Actually in theory you could make bad bets for years and still turn a profit.

ie -110 coinflips

I dont care if I make bad bets. Its the profit that tells you how good of a gambler you are.

[pat venditto]

Because you can get +110 for denver and +118 for georgetown.

+110 coinflip = long term going to win
+118 coinflip = long term going to win

[pat venditto]

jshap the profit over 10,000 bets not 10.

[smoke a bowl]

Because you can get +110 for denver and +118 for georgetown.

+110 coinflip = long term going to win
+118 coinflip = long term going to win

You said they were coin flips laying -1 and -2 at -110.

[Brad90956]

Seems like trap game.

[BobHarvey]

Louisville worry's me although I'm taking the Cards. Even John Thompson the third says this season sucks. It sounds like he's thrown in the towel. Louisville wins. No coin toss needed,

[VegasDave]

I'm confused Pat...

My Philosophy Picks had another great year this year, and are over 60% over the last 4 years.

But when I explained going against the public, you consistently called me a square, among other things, and said only an idiot who thinks games are fixed cares what the public bets.

Now you are making that argument?

[Chi_archie]

? Patty changes his strategy every 1-3 weeks...

[The Seer]

ironic coming from a broke fcvk

funny isn't it?

[frostno98]

I already know why the nuggets will win. People hammering the Celts are basically just looking at Denver last two losses against two bad teams. Since I had the luxury of watching virtually every Denver game, Boston backer's are going to be in for a surprise.

And for that Louisville game. These kind of upsets happens every single year in a big time conference, where the desperate team always pulls an upset that has you thinking whatafuk!

[Jshap1515]

jshap the profit over 10,000 bets not 10.

Profit is profit. Profit over 10 days is a good ten days. I dont care about if I make good bets or bad bets because obviously if I'm making a profit, they're good bets and for you to say a loss is a good bet, is moronic. I take those 1000 days you were talking about and break them up into 100 10 day intervals, therefore, I don't get cocky, I dont lose my mind (like OMG I'm down so much money). I'm a cool, calm, and collective gambler.

[pat venditto]

Dave I actually agree with you but only in certain situations which i will talk to you in pm or something. I've just become more open minded and i've seen the light. Archie when i make a video tommorow i'm going to bury you in it.

[pat venditto]

The ammount of money you have doesn't measure the ammount of knowledge you have.

[suckatmyjob]

man i guess i'm a half idiot

[Jshap1515]

The ammount of money you have doesn't measure the ammount of knowledge you have.

For a gambler it does.

[cocknocker]

It's not about the action it's about building up your bankroll

[Jshap1515]

It's not about the action it's about building up your bankroll

Exactly Pat, it doesnt mean anything if you don't win. So therefore, to a gambler, money shows how knowledgable you are.

[pat venditto]

Clueless.Absolutely clueless.

[diogee]

Unreal Patty...thanks for f*cking my Denver and G'Town bets.

[losturmarbles]

patty youre assuming that the true odds are 50/50

no way georgetown has a 50% chance to win.

if you go by stats then on paper georgetown looks almost 50/50, however georgetown has been very inconsistent. they will play like the best team in the country against an inferior team, however anytime they face a top tier team they play like the worst team in the country. their backs are against the wall here but no way they have a 50% chance to win. 40% at best i would guess, so anything below +150 you are getting ripped off.

i agree with fading boston though

[cocknocker]

Denver is the wrong call

[mick]

Georgetown has the "G"

[BCaldwell32]

Venditto knows what he's talking about.

I might respect your opinion if you didn't have that ass clown Sammy Farha as your avatar!!! I ****ing can't stand that jagoff, wish he would go kill himself.

[onthewhat]

Louisville backers getting burried

[daggerkobe]

I want to personally thank patty for talking me off of Georgetown and possibly the Nuggets also.

[konck]

PV look why gripe man just look for my top 5 fakes here and bet the other side. They cant bet any more there all busted so they just post. It's like there lifeline they think if they make a pk here the have action . I love DENVER TONIGHT you got the stains all on Boston Tony Toilets -JJ-Bobbyfk- Samsaloser The only better lock would be for CockLanders or Casperwaits to have Boston also hahhahhaa it's still a great night to have Denver mark my word.

[Jshap1515]

Clueless.Absolutely clueless.

You really gotta stop thinking you know everything and are right 100% of the time. If someone thinks one team is going to win that isn't your team, then there an idiot right? If someone like me prefers money over losing then there stupid right? I like to win and youre calling me clueless.

[element1286]

Georgetown down only 10 at half, even though they played god awful. Wouldn't be surprised if they covered.