Dollars2Donuts Daily NBA, NHL and NFL wagers

**WhatALoser** · 01-24-14, 10:15 AM

Good handicappers achieve long term results. This guy is good. I have come across a lot of "I am the best, I am this, I am that " in many of the threads here at SBR lately and it's quite sad. These are the guys who come and go and more than likely have no clue what it really takes to achieve long term results. Dollars2Donuts knows what it takes. Remember, you don't have to play all his games. Handicap your own and compare/contrast? There's always different methods to skin a cat. I think that's how it goes?

**alpinepetey** · 01-24-14, 06:50 PM

Anything for tonight Donut. Youre due for a big night

**Dollars2Donuts** · 01-24-14, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by alpinepetey

Anything for tonight Donut. Youre due for a big night

Hey. I have made my wagers but am going to take a day or two away from posting my wagers.

See you boys next week.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 01-24-14, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by DenDoc

D2D, I followed and mostly tailed last year and this year. I've always enjoyed your thread and picks. This year it seems quite a few of the losses have come in games that are having reverse line movement. This year I have actually started going with your picks except if there is RLM I have gone with the moving line and not your pick. This has seen to do well and turned those losing days to some small winning days. The times your picks have gone with RLM I have doubled up and they have hit almost every time. Just an observation to think about when trying to find holes in our picks. I haven't tracked any numbers with it yet but something to think about. Thanks for posting.

Thanks. Over the next few days I am going to do a better analysis of this. I definitely have been fighting myself this year.

I appreciate the input.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 01-24-14, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by WhatALoser

Good handicappers achieve long term results. This guy is good. I have come across a lot of "I am the best, I am this, I am that " in many of the threads here at SBR lately and it's quite sad. These are the guys who come and go and more than likely have no clue what it really takes to achieve long term results. Dollars2Donuts knows what it takes. Remember, you don't have to play all his games. Handicap your own and compare/contrast? There's always different methods to skin a cat. I think that's how it goes?

Thanks. Great post.

**treyg85** · 01-25-14, 01:02 AM

So I am new here and to sports betting wondering if anyone can give me some tips?

**mikejamm** · 01-25-14, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by treyg85

So I am new here and to sports betting wondering if anyone can give me some tips?

Yeah, don't tail this douche bag or you'll in up the fuk'in poor house, or in his case the donut shit house!

Learn to do proper research and don't listen to the idiots on here, because they're dart throwers.

**ItsMeMrMattE** · 01-25-14, 05:07 PM

D2D, i dont see the dallas stars or the minnesota wild finding their way to a win tonight. parlaying pittsburgh with san jose. what do you think?

**dugdogg** · 01-25-14, 06:08 PM

why do people suggest taking time off? you'll fall out of the loop if you do that.. if pro athletes are in a slump are they told to not practice for some time? that's supposed to make them better? ummm. OK

**DenDoc** · 01-25-14, 08:00 PM

I think there is a difference between physical and mental. With the mental aspect, I firmly believe taking time off helps. From whatever it may be.

**l3randonf** · 01-26-14, 12:31 PM

Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE

D2D, i dont see the dallas stars or the minnesota wild finding their way to a win tonight. parlaying pittsburgh with san jose. what do you think?

yea i went 3 units on pits last night and got destroyed.

**treyg85** · 01-26-14, 01:05 PM

Any good bets for today a lot of tough looking match ups

**twestacott** · 01-26-14, 01:18 PM

I personally like taking the Devils and the UNDER in an outdoor game. Outdoors means less than perfect ice conditions which normally translates into a slower paced game and a defensive battle which lends itself to the Devils style of play. They also mentioned Lundqvist is testing out new pads today which means larger rebounds especially in the cold where they will be more solid and have more bounce.

**twestacott** · 01-26-14, 01:21 PM

Also kind of hard to pass up a fairly inexpensive line on Nashville beating an awful Edmonton team that has lost 6 in a row and 8 of their last 10.

**treyg85** · 01-26-14, 01:59 PM

Appreciate it haven't followed hockey as close as basketball

**JayLA** · 01-26-14, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by dugdogg

why do people suggest taking time off? you'll fall out of the loop if you do that.. if pro athletes are in a slump are they told to not practice for some time? that's supposed to make them better? ummm. OK

taking time from posting plays? Because its a thankless task. All you get is degens itching for more plays and hating trolls. Whats the point? Posting on the internet should be fun...

**dugdogg** · 01-27-14, 12:29 AM

I meant time off from actual capping. not paying attention to what each team is doing for many days. seems counter intuitive

**labones00** · 01-27-14, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by dugdogg

I meant time off from actual capping. not paying attention to what each team is doing for many days. seems counter intuitive

Everyone has their own way of doing things, you don't have to be ok with his decision but why question it? I'm guessing most people who are opposed to D2D taking a break aren't able to cap games on their own therefore are lost without him. Do your own homework and get more satisfaction out of betting on sports games, if you can't do it on your own then give it up all together

**Dollars2Donuts** · 01-27-14, 05:18 PM

Hey boys.

First off, I never said I was taking time off from capping. I said I was taking some time off from posting. I just needed a bit of a mental break.....and I spent the entire weekend with my girlfriend....and didn't want to have to think about posting picks.

And Dugger....if you think I take time away from being a sports fan....lol....doesn't happen. 41 year old fanatic here.

I will be back and posting plays again tomorrow.

GL tonight

**dugdogg** · 01-27-14, 06:49 PM

gotcha. but there certainly is a specific level of detail that you pay attention to while handicapping above what a general fan does. taking a capping break IN GENERAL would mean you would fall out of touch about teams covering, games going over/under, player injuries,etc. just my opinion. i was just asking if other cappers here actually take breaks from capping, not entirely watching sports. just capping. you fall out of the loop i imagine. i do, at least. GL

**Dollars2Donuts** · 01-28-14, 01:26 PM

Here are our plays for the day...GL everyone.

225025789-1	1/28/14 1:25pm	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	1/28/14 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 505 Orlando Magic +7 -105* <small>vs</small> Detroit Pistons
225025789-2	1/28/14 1:25pm	$102.00	$100.00	Pending	1/28/14 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 507 San Antonio Spurs/Houston Rockets Under 211 -102*
225025789-3	1/28/14 1:25pm	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	1/28/14 10:05pm Reduced Basketball 509 Memphis Grizzlies +5 -105* <small>vs</small> Portland Trailblazers
225025789-4	1/28/14 1:25pm	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	1/28/14 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 511 Washington Wizards/Golden State Warriors Over 206 -105*
225025789-5	1/28/14 1:25pm	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	1/28/14 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 513 Indiana Pacers/Los Angeles Lakers Over 205 -105*
225025789-6	1/28/14 1:25pm	$54.00	$50.00	Pending	1/28/14 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 2 Columbus Blue Jackets -108* <small>vs</small> Ottawa Senators
225025789-7	1/28/14 1:25pm	$141.00	$100.00	Pending	1/28/14 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 11 Washington Capitals -141* <small>vs</small> Buffalo Sabres
225025789-8	1/28/14 1:25pm	$65.00	$50.00	Pending	1/28/14 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 16 Winnipeg Jets -130* <small>vs</small> Nashville Predators
225025789-9	1/28/14 1:25pm	$100.00	$100.00	Pending	1/28/14 9:05pm Reduced Hockey 17 Los Angeles Kings +100* <small>vs</small> Phoenix Coyotes

**Coreos** · 01-28-14, 06:50 PM

Looks like we've got the same NBA plays tonight. Just a little worried ab the Houston game as Harden is out. BOL

**treyg85** · 01-29-14, 07:28 AM

Good call on the grizzlies game I also took the under 204 on spurs/rockets

**Dollars2Donuts** · 01-29-14, 12:50 PM

225183069-1	1/29/14 12:12pm	$51.00	$50.00	Pending	1/29/14 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 701 Orlando Magic +10 -102* <small>vs</small> Toronto Raptors
225183069-2	1/29/14 12:12pm	$160.00	$100.00	Pending	1/29/14 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 704 Miami Heat -160* <small>vs</small> Oklahoma City Thunder
225183069-3	1/29/14 12:12pm	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	1/29/14 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 713 Houston Rockets/Dallas Mavericks Under 211½ -105*
225183069-4	1/29/14 12:12pm	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	1/29/14 9:35pm Reduced Basketball 718 San Antonio Spurs -8 -105* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls
225183069-5	1/29/14 12:12pm	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	1/29/14 9:35pm Reduced Basketball 717 Chicago Bulls/San Antonio Spurs Under 189½ -105*
225183069-6	1/29/14 12:12pm	$53.50	$50.00	Pending	1/29/14 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 721 Washington Wizards/Los Angeles Clippers Under 207 -107*
225183069-7	1/29/14 12:12pm	$175.00	$100.00	Pending	1/29/14 9:35pm Reduced Hockey 53 San Jose Sharks -175* <small>vs</small> Edmonton Oilers

**fitguy67** · 01-29-14, 09:10 PM

gud luk tonight Donuts

**Dollars2Donuts** · 01-29-14, 09:24 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

gud luk tonight Donuts

I need more than luck my friend.....it has been a tough run here the last 8 days.....and a really poor start to tonight.....

Thanks for checking in.

I wish I had access to my computer when MIA went up 22-4.....I would have tripled up on OKC with all of the points they would have been getting live.....so obvious MIA was going to fall apart after that start.

**jjgold** · 01-29-14, 09:47 PM

Donuts a few guys tell me you're into loan sharks is that true??

**fitguy67** · 01-30-14, 12:22 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Donuts a few guys tell me you're into loan sharks is that true??

Whoaahhh...Stay in your lane, pal...stay in your lane!

**treyg85** · 01-30-14, 07:42 AM

Donuts I don't think any of us saw the thunder dominating the heat in Miami. I did go with the over points in that game because I knew it be high scoring though. Hopefully tonight will be better for you

**bald_guy** · 01-30-14, 12:28 PM

Yesterday marked a very important milestone in D2D's recorded history at SBR. We went negative units. With the start at the last week of November netting a positive 35.58 units, I'm a bit shocked, as I'm sure all the D2D nation is.

Will D2D get out of this small hole easily? (that's my bet). Will D2D sink deeper into the hole? Will D2D struggle for a bit, then stand in Victory? Or will D2D take some time off or perhaps disappear forever?

As it is before a Batman commercial, its always interesting to see what will happen. (Course, Batman always gets out of his jam that looks impossible to escape)

**bald_guy** · 01-30-14, 12:36 PM

Seinfeld Effect on NBA

D2D is positive on all sports expect NBA which is down -41.49. I wondered what would happen if the Seinfeld Effect was applied. Using excel 2013 (I'm really loving this suite so far), I did some light conditional statements and filtering to find out.

Results (NBA only):
As picked: 119-139-2 (-41.49)
Seinfeld Effect: 139-119-2 (+2.89).

Last time I ran the numbers a few weeks ago, both results was down units.

I was surprised as I was thinking if u was down so many units, doing the SE you would be that many units up. But do to Juice/Odds that's not the case.

This was just me using excel 2013. Results could be wrong. I just find it interesting to play around with such stats. I think this shows fading a handicapper even if they are struggling a bit, is NOT very profitable.

**fitguy67** · 01-30-14, 03:20 PM

bald_guy...could you run that nba record EX-cluding all totals and negative-handicap plays
(ie. including only ML's and positive-handicaps)...

i'm just curious because ever since i dropped these frustration-loaded plays, i've certainly slept better...and suspect that on balance i've saved my account a few bills as well

**Dollars2Donuts** · 01-30-14, 06:05 PM

Just a few games in the NHL tonight, nothing in the NBA. Tough to swallow that it was been as rough as it has this season.....and now I am doing what I tell everyone NOT to do.....I am overthinking....over-capping as it may be. This year I am analyzing line movement much more than ever, and frankly.....I am going to stop looking at any and all line movement sites. Last year I NEVER took line movement into account.

I will be taking at least a week off in the NBA while I do some work on my own.....the rest of my plays will be posted as usual. If nothing else this has been a humbling week....and last year was so huge for me, this is clearly tough to take.....but at the same time I will use it to learn. I want to celebrate my one year anniversary at SBR with this season in the positive.....that is my first goal. I also have to be cautious for the first time ever....my bankroll is....well, it isn't as healthy as it always has been. I blew off $1200 in the 5dimes casino a couple of weeks back (I don't recall winning a hand)....which is my first tilty action in AGES. As soon as I played the last hand I called them and asked them to disable the casino....lol. Lesson learned.

I have only made three deposits ever....my first at Bodog where I cashed out $7k and my first at 5dimes where I have taken out $12k so far....and my last was $1k at Pinnacle last spring, which hasn't been touched in months and is sitting at $2600. At this point I feel like I need to dial things back until my balance is as healthy as it should be....

Anyway, enough of my life story.....there you have it, I am depressed that my balance is not what I am used to....and here are tonight's game so far....I may add one NHL game later.

D2D

225376913-1	1/30/14 5:53pm	$55.00	$58.85	Pending	1/30/14 9:05pm NHL Hockey 13 San Jose Sharks (1st 60 min) -½ +107* <small>vs</small> Calgary Flames (1st 60 min)

225376846-1	1/30/14 5:53pm	$50.00	$51.00	Pending	1/30/14 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 7 Tampa Bay Lightning +102* <small>vs</small> Ottawa Senators
225376846-2	1/30/14 5:53pm	$50.00	$61.00	Pending	1/30/14 8:35pm Reduced Hockey 9 New Jersey Devils +122* <small>vs</small> Dallas Stars
225376846-3	1/30/14 5:53pm	$50.00	$51.50	Pending	1/30/14 10:35pm Reduced Hockey 19 Pittsburgh Penguins +103* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Kings

**Dollars2Donuts** · 01-30-14, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

bald_guy...could you run that nba record EX-cluding all totals and negative-handicap plays
(ie. including only ML's and positive-handicaps)...

i'm just curious because ever since i dropped these frustration-loaded plays, i've certainly slept better...and suspect that on balance i've saved my account a few bills as well

As to this comment directly, I believe that ML plays have been my worst plays so far....followed by totals and handicap plays....that is just a guess though. The whole NBA has been off for me since the week before Christmas....

**DOM-Ganador** · 01-30-14, 06:18 PM

Respect for what you do Krispee, as only a handfull of dudes on this site ( or the whole world )
post picks , day after day, and keep an accurate record.That being said, don`t give up on NBA, as there is $ to be made in the playoffs.