Hedging Scenario - Advice please

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #1
    Hedging Scenario - Advice please
    Okay so I did a 2 team parlay for

    Seahawks ML -160 over 49ers
    and
    NY Giants +1 at +110 over Panthers

    its $400 to win $958

    now i'm starting to get nervous about the Giants vs Panthers game and it does not help that i'm seeing 95% of bets coming in on the Giants...

    so my thought was to bet $275 on
    Carolina -1 to win $250

    that way worst case scenario i only lose $150 and if Giants win i still win $683

    what do yall think ???
  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #2
    Originally posted by big bear
    okay so i did a 2 team parlay for

    seahawks ml -160 over 49ers
    and
    ny giants +1 at +110 over panthers

    its $400 to win $958

    now i'm starting to get nervous about the giants vs panthers game and it does not help that i'm seeing 95% of bets coming in on the giants...

    So my thought was to bet $275 on
    carolina -1 to win $250

    that way worst case scenario i only lose $150 and if giants win i still win $683

    what do yall think ???
    let it ride pal
    Comment
    • Big Bear
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-01-11
      • 43253

      #3
      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
      let it ride pal
      haha i can only hedge $275 unless i reload
      Comment
      • daneblazer
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-14-08
        • 27861

        #4
        You're having some loss aversion. If you really don't feel good about the game anymore, do it, but I think you hold steady or don't make any more parlays.
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #5
          oh let it ride .. u changed your response . yeah thats tempting i just know i will be pissed if the panthers win and may go on full tilt
          Comment
          • Big Bear
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-01-11
            • 43253

            #6
            Originally posted by daneblazer
            You're having some loss aversion. If you really don't feel good about the game anymore, do it, but I think you hold steady or don't make any more parlays.
            i just wish the game would hurry up and get here. i cant stop thinking about it and i'm going to the game and will be drunk as fukk and being drunk and having lost $400 might make it tough to be in a good mood
            Comment
            • greenhippo
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-15-12
              • 9091

              #7
              Lot of people say never hedge, I say hedge. Would I rather have 0 or 500 or take 250 and not worry? I'll take 250 all day everyday.
              Comment
              • thunderous
                SBR MVP
                • 06-05-12
                • 1870

                #8
                I'd wait until half time and hope Giants are up a Touch down, then take -3 or whatever the panthers line is and hope to cash it both.
                I would never hedge a 2 team parlay...on the other hand if this was a 3 or 4 team parlay (and obviously the last leg) its totally different, I'd hedge without a doubt.
                Comment
                • InTheDrink
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-23-09
                  • 23983

                  #9
                  hedging on a 2 game parlay?
                  Comment
                  • Big Bear
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-01-11
                    • 43253

                    #10
                    Originally posted by InTheDrink
                    hedging on a 2 game parlay?
                    who do you think will win Giants or Panthers?

                    i'm just losing confidence in the Giants as the week goes on
                    Comment
                    • InTheDrink
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-23-09
                      • 23983

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                      who do you think will win Giants or Panthers?

                      i'm just losing confidence in the Giants as the week goes on
                      and youre gaining confidence in the panthers?
                      Comment
                      • Russian Rocket
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-02-12
                        • 43910

                        #12
                        Originally posted by InTheDrink
                        hedging on a 2 game parlay?
                        Drinker you should be thankful that he's not hedging on a straight bet
                        Comment
                        • greenhippo
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-15-12
                          • 9091

                          #13
                          I gained confidence in the over.
                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                            Drinker you should be thankful that he's not hedging on a straight bet
                            Comment
                            • InTheDrink
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-23-09
                              • 23983

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                              Drinker you should be thankful that he's not hedging on a straight bet
                              Nominated
                              Comment
                              • MCherry281
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-09-09
                                • 2318

                                #16
                                Gonna have to let it ride. Next time if you like two games spaced 7 days apart could be a better idea to bet them one at a time.
                                Comment
                                • Sam Odom
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-30-05
                                  • 58063

                                  #17
                                  Don't be afraid to win
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #18
                                    Panthers will win. Now figure out what to do.
                                    Comment
                                    • Big Bear
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 11-01-11
                                      • 43253

                                      #19
                                      what makes u think the pussy cats win?
                                      Comment
                                      • str
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-12-09
                                        • 11786

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                                        Okay so I did a 2 team parlay for

                                        Seahawks ML -160 over 49ers
                                        and
                                        NY Giants +1 at +110 over Panthers

                                        its $400 to win $958

                                        now i'm starting to get nervous about the Giants vs Panthers game and it does not help that i'm seeing 95% of bets coming in on the Giants...

                                        so my thought was to bet $275 on
                                        Carolina -1 to win $250

                                        that way worst case scenario i only lose $150 and if Giants win i still win $683

                                        what do yall think ???
                                        Seeing 95% of bets on the Panthers should make you feel good about your play IMO.
                                        Comment
                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-17-07
                                          • 52143

                                          #21
                                          The Over is the best play in this game, its going to be a shoot out...

                                          Eli probably wins on last drive
                                          Comment
                                          • pattymayo
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 05-19-09
                                            • 10221

                                            #22
                                            why make the parlay in the first place then if you don't have confidence in 1 of the 2 teams involved?
                                            Comment
                                            • BIGSACK
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 06-05-13
                                              • 234

                                              #23
                                              Don't hedge it now that LAKERBOY picks the panthers, think about hedging on a two team parlay? actually u should just stop betting completely now
                                              Comment
                                              • Deol
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-01-11
                                                • 1340

                                                #24
                                                Let it ride or hope NYG scores early and live bet CAR. Why would you hedge a 2 teamer? Basically a coin flip, either win $958 or lose $400, just leave it be.
                                                Comment
                                                • Big Bear
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-01-11
                                                  • 43253

                                                  #25
                                                  Fellas ,

                                                  i tend to over analyze stuff.

                                                  i was drunk when i hit submit parlay.

                                                  The Seahawks part of the bet was the last minute part.

                                                  originally i was going to take the Giants in this game. Been thinking about this game for awhile.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Big Bear
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 11-01-11
                                                    • 43253

                                                    #26
                                                    But now that the first part has hit and i've had time to think about this play some more ...

                                                    And i stream the panthers local radio , they used to be my favorite team. ive never heard the panthers get bashed as bad as they have this week by the local media..

                                                    if they arent fired up this week they have no pulse.

                                                    They are talking about firing ron rivera if they lose this one.

                                                    they are also talking about trading Cam Newton like the Browns traded Richardson...

                                                    i just thought it might be smart to hedge b/c if i lose this bet i'm down to my last $275
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388179

                                                      #27
                                                      Giants are not losing

                                                      Bear your a winner!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • actiondan
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-16-10
                                                        • 3450

                                                        #28
                                                        just parlay Carolina with a week 4 game you like
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Big Bear
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-01-11
                                                          • 43253

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by actiondan
                                                          just parlay Carolina with a week 4 game you like
                                                          haha
                                                          Comment
                                                          • goduke
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-17-10
                                                            • 11580

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                            Panthers will win. Now figure out what to do.
                                                            Have you ever thought a team the public was on could win?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Big Bear
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 11-01-11
                                                              • 43253

                                                              #31
                                                              so i guess i will let it ride unless Cowherd picks
                                                              the Panthers...

                                                              he is due for a win.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Smoke
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-09-09
                                                                • 48111

                                                                #32
                                                                BB we believe in you
                                                                Comment
                                                                • blowseq
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-06-09
                                                                  • 1440

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Don't worry about the public money, books will have the balance on this game. Go with Giants ..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Big Bear
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 11-01-11
                                                                    • 43253

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Both starting safteys for the panthers have been ruled out Quentin michael and Charles Godfrey.

                                                                    And Cowherd picked G-men so i will let it ride fo'sho
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Smoke
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-09-09
                                                                      • 48111

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Good job bruh
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...