1. #1
    ThaWoj
    hope i dont wake up tomorrow
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    hedge strategy for ~25-1 parlay 3 legs left

    have 3 items left on a 25-1 parlay that i bet a small amount on. perfect on soccer so far and have the phillies (oswalt @ myers-hou), rays (niemman @ britton-bal), and the broncos tonight. all are money lines.

    is there a strategy i should use to hedge this? the phils and rays lines both moved (got chalkier) then what i got them at overnight. i guess the rays scares me the most b/c the line was only -123 last night which is absurdly low considering the rays are one of the best road teams. phils should win and i like the broncos at home but ya never know.

    should i just leave it alone? i think the other team MLs are +163, +132, and +160

  2. #2
    taxer
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    how much does it pay ?

    I would at least bet a unit on each else it was all that work for nothing

  3. #3
    ngates815
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    Quote Originally Posted by taxer View Post
    how much does it pay ? I would at least bet a unit on each else it was all that work for nothing

    If you put 1 unit on each opposing team, if the parlay losses 1 game, you're still down the original bet, + the 2 hedge bets, and you won 1 unit on the hedge.


    The nice thing about it is all 3 games start at seperate times. So if you do hedge, and rays are down 4-1 in the 5th inning and look like shit, don't even bother hedging the philly game, if you think the first game will lose. Save yourself hedging on your original thoughts/bets.

  4. #4
    ThaWoj
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    Quote Originally Posted by taxer View Post
    how much does it pay ?

    I would at least bet a unit on each else it was all that work for nothing
    ~250 or so
    Quote Originally Posted by ngates815 View Post


    If you put 1 unit on each opposing team, if the parlay losses 1 game, you're still down the original bet, + the 2 hedge bets, and you won 1 unit on the hedge.


    The nice thing about it is all 3 games start at seperate times. So if you do hedge, and rays are down 4-1 in the 5th inning and look like shit, don't even bother hedging the philly game, if you think the first game will lose. Save yourself hedging on your original thoughts/bets.
    thats what i was thinking. probably just leave it alone. then if it looks like phils and rays winning easily, question becomes how much to hedge on the raiders if at all

  5. #5
    ThaWoj
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    fukking phillies

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