What Is The Most Juice You Will Give On A Baseball Bet?

[Jefferey13]

teams with -200 or higer 2013 season

75-45 (0.89, 62.5%)	avg line: -230.2 / 199.2	on / against: -$2,905 / +$1,515	ROI: -10.5% / +12.6%
51-69 (-0.61, 42.5%)	avg line: -106.8 / -102.0	on / against: -$2,313 / +$1,789	ROI: -17.6% / +13.9%
46-70-4 (-0.18, 39.7%)	avg total: 8.1	over / under: -$3,055 / +$1,860	ROI: -23.4% / +13.9%

Give me a much larger sample size and then compare it to people who bet between -110 and -150. Thanks for posting data.

[Artieaa]

they have won 62.5% of the time but juice will eat you at the end, with 37,5% fading those teams yue would be with a nice 12.6% ROI for the season

just my 2 cents

[Artieaa]

2012 season

155-48 (2.39, 76.4%)	avg line: -224.6 / 190.7	on / against: +$4,716 / -$6,356	ROI: +10.3% / -31.3%
118-85 (0.89, 58.1%)	avg line: -104.6 / -105.3	on / against: +$3,027 / -$3,969	ROI: +13.8% / -17.9%
96-99-8 (0.30, 49.2%)	avg total: 8.3	over / under: -$1,200 / -$720	ROI: -5.4% / -3.2%

so 2012 season was good to lay chalk and 2013 is not so far, so do we take 2012 or previous seasons or we ride the wave at the moment? give a minute will search for -110 and -150

[The Kraken]

[Jefferey13]

2012 season

155-48 (2.39, 76.4%)	avg line: -224.6 / 190.7	on / against: +$4,716 / -$6,356	ROI: +10.3% / -31.3%
118-85 (0.89, 58.1%)	avg line: -104.6 / -105.3	on / against: +$3,027 / -$3,969	ROI: +13.8% / -17.9%
96-99-8 (0.30, 49.2%)	avg total: 8.3	over / under: -$1,200 / -$720	ROI: -5.4% / -3.2%

so 2012 season was good to lay chalk and 2013 is not so far, so do we take 2012 or previous seasons or we ride the wave at the moment? give a minute will search for -110 and -150

Thanks, and my argument isn't that it is smart to always play -200. My point is that there can be value at any line.

[Artieaa]

Thanks, and my argument isn't that it is smart to always play -200. My point is that there can be value at any line.

oh yes I hear you line by itself means nothing you gotta capp, model or whatever you do to find an edge IMO

[Artieaa]

2013 line between -110 and -150

550-480 (0.22, 53.4%)	avg line: -127.8 / 117.8	on / against: -$5,873 / +$1,063	ROI: -4.5% / +1.0%
389-638 (-1.25, 37.9%)	avg line: 153.9 / -167.5	on / against: -$4,700 / -$510	ROI: -4.6% / -0.3%
502-492-33 (0.39, 50.5%)	avg total: 8.1	over / under: -$3,445 / -$6,065	ROI: -3.1% / -5.3%

[Artieaa]

2012

835-681 (0.41, 55.1%)	avg line: -128.2 / 118.2	on / against: -$3,570 / -$3,270	ROI: -1.8% / -2.2%
631-882 (-1.02, 41.7%)	avg line: 149.0 / -162.9	on / against: +$5,051 / -$13,370	ROI: +3.3% / -5.4%
711-730-72 (0.48, 49.3%)	avg total: 8.2	over / under: -$7,915 / -$5,830	ROI: -4.8% / -3.5%

[ZetaPsi808]

teams with -200 or higer 2013 season

75-45 (0.89, 62.5%)	avg line: -230.2 / 199.2	on / against: -$2,905 / +$1,515	ROI: -10.5% / +12.6%
51-69 (-0.61, 42.5%)	avg line: -106.8 / -102.0	on / against: -$2,313 / +$1,789	ROI: -17.6% / +13.9%
46-70-4 (-0.18, 39.7%)	avg total: 8.1	over / under: -$3,055 / +$1,860	ROI: -23.4% / +13.9%

Artieaa,

what site did u find this data from?

cna you post a link, thanks ace

[Jefferey13]

Thanks for the data. Just goes to show over the last two years, taking the -200 fav pays better than taking the -110 to -150.

I still think the more data you find the closer the lines will come together to prove my point. There is money to be made regardless the line. Anyone who swears off a certain line doesn't know how to cap.

[easyliving]

-180

[rake922]

-2500

[Artieaa]

Artieaa,

what site did u find this data from?

cna you post a link, thanks ace

killersports it is a sdql database

[rkelly110]

-222 (1.45) is max for me.

Been playing the ML fave of the day -222 and lower since day one in MLB. 93-38 70%

April 22-7 76%
May 22-10 69%
June 19-14 57%
July 27-8 77%
Aug 3-0 100%

It might go to shit later, but riding the wave now.

[pologq]

i think there is value in any line, especially when you factor in the starter for that day for that favorite. this year any team that plays houston is a decent sized favorite and i am always betting against them -1.5. i dont bet straight up though because i am not comfortable going more than -250.