Okay so.. I follow boxing. I do a good job analyzing, picking them.
(Jan 24)Mosley vs Margarito.. very unknown here. Too many X factors. Reports coming in say that Margarito is struggling to shed weight. Mosley struggled against Mayorga at times in his last fight.
I do think Mosley is NOT Cotto in that he will try to box him, or will be constantly overwhelmed by Margarito's pressure. He's a bigger fighter than Cotto and has fought at 154. Mosley has never been knocked out, and I don't think he will be here either.
I suggest you take the Mosley Points Handicap (+22 at 5dimes) - it has been dropping the past few weeks from 24 to 22. No way Margarito wins this fight 9 rounds to 3 (3 judges 117-110 = 21 points). Mosley is too active, he won't allow himself to be overwhelmed - that is the key element here. He might've been outboxed against a peak Cotto, but Margarito is slower. Cotto allowed himself to be cornered because he was the smaller man with a decent, but unspectacular chin. Mosley has a brilliant chin, and liked to stand and trade and stand his ground. He won't allowed to be bossed around like Cotto was. Margarito can't be allowed to get into rhythm - and Mosley is no doubt studying those Clottey vs Margo tapes as I type.
I think it will be a closer fight than everyone thinks. That's why you can get the over 10.5 at somewhat generous odds, that's why you can get such a large points handicap. Never underestimate fighter's last chances, because this is Mosley last chance.
(Jan 24)Mosley vs Margarito.. very unknown here. Too many X factors. Reports coming in say that Margarito is struggling to shed weight. Mosley struggled against Mayorga at times in his last fight.
I do think Mosley is NOT Cotto in that he will try to box him, or will be constantly overwhelmed by Margarito's pressure. He's a bigger fighter than Cotto and has fought at 154. Mosley has never been knocked out, and I don't think he will be here either.
I suggest you take the Mosley Points Handicap (+22 at 5dimes) - it has been dropping the past few weeks from 24 to 22. No way Margarito wins this fight 9 rounds to 3 (3 judges 117-110 = 21 points). Mosley is too active, he won't allow himself to be overwhelmed - that is the key element here. He might've been outboxed against a peak Cotto, but Margarito is slower. Cotto allowed himself to be cornered because he was the smaller man with a decent, but unspectacular chin. Mosley has a brilliant chin, and liked to stand and trade and stand his ground. He won't allowed to be bossed around like Cotto was. Margarito can't be allowed to get into rhythm - and Mosley is no doubt studying those Clottey vs Margo tapes as I type.
I think it will be a closer fight than everyone thinks. That's why you can get the over 10.5 at somewhat generous odds, that's why you can get such a large points handicap. Never underestimate fighter's last chances, because this is Mosley last chance.