Quntiple Revenge NCAA game this Sat that should be -29.5 is -14.

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  • SBR_John
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-12-05
    • 16471

    #1
    Quntiple Revenge NCAA game this Sat that should be -29.5 is -14.
    Stats, brats and door matts... throw them aLLLL out and get your money down on the 1/2 priced chalk favorites and the #2 team in the country the Texas Longhorns.

    There will be a lot of frustration taken out on the sooners and I predict this will get ugly and the Texas starters will play the entire game. This will be a statement game and 14 is barely a good 1st half line. Loadem up
  • EBone
    SBR MVP
    • 08-10-05
    • 1787

    #2
    Hop aboard the steam engine......choo, choo!!!!!!

    E
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    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      I am takng the over whnever it is posted
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      • darkghost
        SBR MVP
        • 09-19-05
        • 1721

        #4
        I got on this early. Me and my friend were just discussing this very game. He told me the line wouldn't be higher than seven so I gave him 8.5 & he took the bait.

        I agree with u John. This game is five years of frustration ready to be shoved down the Sooners throats. Like I said before even Mack Brown can't lose w/ this team til they meet USC that is...
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        • Senator7
          SBR MVP
          • 08-20-05
          • 1559

          #5
          I was really surprised that Wisconsin only opened as 6 point favorites at Northwestern. I was expecting a lay of at least 2 TDs there. I'm going to take a serious look at that one in the next day or so. Its been bet up to -7, but the Badgers should have been at least 14 point favorites, road game or not.

          Senator 7
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          • SBR_John
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-12-05
            • 16471

            #6
            Bookies know all about the Big ten home field edge and thats why road favorites get shaded down. NW didnt look bad against Penn St, who they should have beaten SU, and Arizona St although ASU pulled away. Havent looked at this one but keep in mind the ole Big Ten home field advantage. NW has knocked off some big names like Michigan at home as big home dogs in the not to distant past.
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            • BuddyBear
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-10-05
              • 7233

              #7
              Wisconsin=Trap game. Don't take any offense, but anyone who plays UW next weekend is a sucker. This is one of those games where you either lay off or play NW. I'll play NW no doubt. NW will probably win straight up in my opinion. In my research this summer on Big Ten homedogs, NW is by far the best of all 11 teams and it's not even close. NW might be one of the strongest plays on the board this week. I'll wait till it hits +7.5 or +8.
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              • Senator7
                SBR MVP
                • 08-20-05
                • 1559

                #8
                I don't take any offense Buddy because they're all just teams to me and I don't play favorites. I haven't played on or against the Badgers yet this season, but I do think they're much better than people think. This line really stuck out and that's why I brought it up for discussion. My numbers have the Badgers winning by 14-17 points and I was expecting an opening line of at least 10. I'll probably stay off this one and wait to see what happens.

                Senator 7
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                • darkghost
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-19-05
                  • 1721

                  #9
                  Texas currently -13.5 -105 @ pinnacle. I just bought in for more.
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    I wonder if Pederson is playing??
                    Comment
                    • EBone
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 1787

                      #11
                      Here's my official take on Texas from last week (not that anybody cares but just so I can get it off my chest.....I was at the Texas/Missouri game on Saturday):


                      Texas scored 51 points against a Missouri team that, to be nice, is less than average on defense (I don't know the Missouri personnel but #81 was playing nose tackle for Missouri on Saturday....last time I checked, #81 is normally a TE or WR number). Texas could have easily hung 70 points on Missouri if they would have played mistake free football (Texas fumbled out of bounds and out of the end zone on a run by Charles that would've made it 58 points, Texas missed an extra point as well so that's 59 points). Take away those 3 turnovers and it would've been 70. I walked away from that game saying to myself, "Texas won by 31 and they really didn't play well". They could've been looking ahead to Oklahoma, certainly a plausible theory........but they were ripe for an upset but Missouri was so bad they just weren't up to the task.

                      Conclusion: I am waiting to see how they react this weekend. If they win this weekend, I might bet them every week from here on out. But there is no way on God's green earth do I take Texas this weekend......Until Mack Brown beats Oklahoma, I am still not a believer. We'll see what kind of mettle MB has. OU is way, way down and if Texas can't win by at least 21, Texas will still have the same ol' problem at the top. They are immensely talented but that only goes so far in big games. Yeah, they beat Ohio State but what can you do against OU? The same conversation every year, "on paper, Texas is more talented". Same thing this year. Show me some grit, Mack.....Win THE Big Game this weekend and then we'll talk about your trip to Pasadena.

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                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        Good write up Bone and now you have e thinking to take Oklahoma but only if pederson plays.

                        Mack does tighten up in big games
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                        • SBR_John
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-12-05
                          • 16471

                          #13
                          It was a good write. The last few Tex OU games were extremely close. Yes Stoops out coached Brown and no one outside of Brow's immediate family will argue that. However, to say Texas had better athletes during most that run is wrong. They started the run with what a 63-14 beating and won the National title twice. Texas sure as heck didn’t have the better of the talent those years.

                          I do like the theory of not playing a team that has lost 5 in a row to another team and comes in laying heavy chalk. That’s just good ole sound gambling right there.

                          Still, my handicrapping grit tells me that there is a storm brewing in Big D. that even Bevo is loaded for bear. The X's and O's say that Okla has no offense and was life and death against Tulsa and was just death against TCU.
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                          • EBone
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 1787

                            #14
                            Fair enough, John. Strictly looking at the two teams on paper and considering the motivation that Texas should have that you have illustrated, Texas should win by more than 2 TDS easy. I am just of the opinion that, until Texas beats OU, I'm not playing them. If they kill OU this weekend, then everything I have said becomes moot from where I sit.

                            I will respectively disagree about the talent issue though. I think that every year Mack Brown has been @ Texas, the talent level has, at the very least, been even with Oklahoma.

                            E
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