[4TH AND STUPID]

11-5 2006
9-7 2007
10-6 2008
8-8 2009
11-5 2010





listed above is the win-loss record (understated since it counts a PUSH as a loss) over the last 5 years in the NFL playing OVER/UNDER in week 1 of NFL preseason


every year week 1 of nfl preseason has over/under lines understated with serious value on the over.


give it a shot.... put 100 dollars or 1 unit on every single game in week 1 on the OVER at -110.




good luck

[dfresh]

GL but this is not your normal offseason.

[KKoz9]

Have to disagree, if you have to bet on these dog games then any blanket general rule like that is very shaky.

I would always lean toward the under, especially the first two games. Backups play the majority of the games and the offenses are usually plodding, boring, basic, and ineffective.

If anything, I think targeting in on games with new coaches, coaches that historically care about winning preseason games more (and have stated so) like Belichik, Shanahan, etc. or teams that have EXPERIENCED, capable backup QBs (Det, Dallas, Philly, Pitt, NYG, Cle, Oak, SD, STL) is a better strategy.

[warriorfan707]

preseason games tend to go under you meymon

[MLnflhandicapper]

Wow

[SpreadSniper]

with the lack of training camp, OTA's and the overall struggles players have had to endure throughout the lockout, I would imagine that offenses will be pretty horrible across the board this weekend. Lots of guys are still not in football shape, timing is off and a lot of the rookies haven't even had a chance to learn the playbook.

It's a lot easier for a defense to get back in the swing of things, they just run around trying to stop the guy who has the ball.... Offenses are much more indepth, involved and susceptible to "time off".

This is going to be some of the ugliest football we have seen in a long time me thinks.

[warriorfan707]

defenses will struggle too though

[4TH AND STUPID]

preseason games tend to go under you meymon

lol @ the b1tches doubting this thread.


3-1 so far tonight on OVERS.



and im 3-0 on sides as well


this is what u call a fukin clinic

[Rich Boy]

lol @ the b1tches doubting this thread. 3-1 so far tonight on OVERS. and im 3-0 on sides as well this is what u call a fukin clinic

Wow, thats an amazing smaple size

You sir are a GOD, congrats on destroying the books.

[4TH AND STUPID]

Wow, thats an amazing smaple size

You sir are a GOD, congrats on destroying the books.

the total sample size is only 16 games moron, therefore a 3-1 start is pretty good..




im sorry you dont understand simple math nor can you read. typical attributes of hating degenerate posters like you, mad after a days worth of solid losing

[Shafted69]

Not bad of a start here and thanks for the post.

Hope you go 15-1 and put all the books out of business.

[samdapatriotsfan]

Nice sh1t 4th. I am gonna hop on the over for a couple of the Friday games as well. GL!!!

[Skidcom]

Kinda wish I had read this post earlier. Maybe I'll switch to Overs GL

[BIGDAY]

Good luck bro.

[Glitch]

nice call

[Frostware]

ya that's a good start for sure. Wish I read it yesterday.

[KKoz9]

3-1 = +1.9 units

it will even out or down through 16 games

[wantitall4moi]

well all the nay sayers who think it is a coin flip can now safely bet the unders since they should be dominant for the rest of the week right?

Its like a guy who has a 'system' that he says is 20-6 and then shows part way through it is 5-0. Guys just make fun rather than doing what they contend would be 'smart' and bet for it to deviate back to the mean.

so funny how guys that use math as an example dont have a frigging clue as to how it works.

[rfr3sh]

hope you do well tonight I'm not betting preseason though

[a4u2fear]

Why take a dumb luck chance at overs when there are obvious unders?

[22dsnyd22]

11-5 2006 9-7 2007 10-6 2008 8-8 2009 11-5 2010 listed above is the win-loss record (understated since it counts a PUSH as a loss) over the last 5 years in the NFL playing OVER/UNDER in week 1 of NFL preseason every year week 1 of nfl preseason has over/under lines understated with serious value on the over. give it a shot.... put 100 dollars or 1 unit on every single game in week 1 on the OVER at -110. good luck

actually... i have a hunch that books on the contrary customers who make plays based on stats like this... could be wrong though.

[bradleysnyder]

11-5 2006
9-7 2007
10-6 2008
8-8 2009
11-5 2010





listed above is the win-loss record (understated since it counts a PUSH as a loss) over the last 5 years in the NFL playing OVER/UNDER in week 1 of NFL preseason


every year week 1 of nfl preseason has over/under lines understated with serious value on the over.


give it a shot.... put 100 dollars or 1 unit on every single game in week 1 on the OVER at -110.




good luck

i would not call those records destroying unless your betting $10,000 per game

[cant call it]

preseason games tend to go under you meymon

defenses will struggle too though

so which is it, over or under??

[Qtip]

the lack of off season will hurt offenses, Under is the play week 1. Defenses less effected as they don't run on timing.

[JMUplayer]

I like looking at the QB matchups.... esp going against rookie starters or guys that just normallly are horrible but in line for a lot of snaps...

[Superman455]

Thanks for the insight GL with you wagers

[BetWeather]

I like looking at the QB matchups.... esp going against rookie starters or guys that just normallly are horrible but in line for a lot of snaps...

Oh look everyone... somebody with a brain

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

For some reason I don't think you're going to have the same kind of success like last night tonight.

GL however!

[4TH AND STUPID]

i almost feel as if people on this forum don't like to see other people win, even when they share their info and picks with everyone else.


so many fukin haters its rediculous ! this isnt a 'system' or some crazy trend etc.... its a simple fukin thing . i laid it out very striaght forward yet people are still over-analyzing the shit out of it.

so many degenerates here man its jokes.

[4TH AND STUPID]

Why take a dumb luck chance at overs when there are obvious unders?

so what were the 'obvious' unders tonight ?

[SprtsCapnGuru]

i almost feel as if people on this forum don't like to see other people win, even when they share their info and picks with everyone else. so many fukin haters its rediculous ! this isnt a 'system' or some crazy trend etc.... its a simple fukin thing . i laid it out very striaght forward yet people are still over-analyzing the shit out of it. so many degenerates here man its jokes.

Nothing wrong with winning and showing it! Most on this site are haters and call out the losers, but when someone wins they want to justify why it won't continue! Keep doin your thing.

[bobbyk1133]

i almost feel as if people on this forum don't like to see other people win, even when they share their info and picks with everyone else. so many fukin haters its rediculous ! this isnt a 'system' or some crazy trend etc.... its a simple fukin thing . i laid it out very striaght forward yet people are still over-analyzing the shit out of it. so many degenerates here man its jokes.

I agree there are a TON of haters on betting forums. Trolls will always rule the internet. There are also just as many glory-hunters too.

So far your overs are lookin' good. Defenses seem to have no clue wot's going on in the 4th quarter.

[Pete0]

so how is this system doing so far ?

[Pete0]

bump.



so how much did this system make ?? I would like to know.

[4TH AND STUPID]

bump.



so how much did this system make ?? I would like to know.

as much as your mom made last night giving lapdances to old men