Hitting 57 out of 100 games discussion

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  • raiders72001
    Senior Member
    • 08-10-05
    • 11126

    #1
    Hitting 57 out of 100 games discussion
    GL Razz- You are cheating going up to -120. It's easily obtainable at -120 but -110 or less is very tough.
  • Terris
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-23-05
    • 299

    #2
    yeah sure hes cheating...here are your nice little pills raiders. At least hes posting something interesting, something you didnt manage to do with your 400 posts lol.
    Oh btw, i was thinking fav bets are losers anyway? Me thinks you dont know your own stuff too well haha...
    Comment
    • rm18
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-20-05
      • 22291

      #3
      Although I guess I might be one of the ones making supposedly outlandish claims, I agree that is cheating, you need to hit 55% to break even at -120.
      Comment
      • raiders72001
        Senior Member
        • 08-10-05
        • 11126

        #4
        Terris- You are really slow. It's much easier to hit a higher percentage at a line of -120 than -110.
        Comment
        • Terris
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-23-05
          • 299

          #5
          Originally posted by raiders72001
          Terris- You are really slow. It's much easier to hit a higher percentage at a line of -120 than -110.
          really? genius you are...but he will hit +120 too. Its just to have more options, so it wont take forever to play those 100 games.
          Is that clear enough for you? lol...
          Comment
          • raiders72001
            Senior Member
            • 08-10-05
            • 11126

            #6
            Terris- You should work on your reading comprehension. He's not going to play +120 games. If he played -110 or less it would be impressive. -120 is easy.
            Comment
            • Terris
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-23-05
              • 299

              #7
              yeah sure, everything someone else is doing is easy. Only what the great raiders tells us is sooo amazing and the whole truth. I think you must be the biggest ego on this board, good thing its only the net, and noone has to give a shit about you lol
              Comment
              • raiders72001
                Senior Member
                • 08-10-05
                • 11126

                #8
                Terris- What if a guy played all -200 lines and hit 57%. Don't you see the difference in the claim at -110 compared to -200. I said that you cannot hit 57% using equal lines -110/+110 or -104/+104. Use a binomial distribution chart. It will show you how hard it is to win at a rate of 57% over 100 trials.
                Comment
                • EBone
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 1787

                  #9
                  If my math is correct, even if he played all 100 games @ -120, 55% yields a winner of 1 unit. The thread is called "Razz's 57 out of 100". He has built in a 2 game fudge factor just to make sure. I think the rules he has laid out are more than fair.

                  I didn't say it but its a given......good luck to you, Razz. We'll be rootin for you.

                  E
                  Comment
                  • Illusion
                    Restricted User
                    • 08-09-05
                    • 25166

                    #10
                    Do you guys care if I split this thread?
                    Comment
                    • raiders72001
                      Senior Member
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 11126

                      #11
                      Feel free to delete all my stuff since I crapped up Razz's thread.
                      Comment
                      • Razz
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-22-05
                        • 5632

                        #12
                        Meaning what exactly?
                        Comment
                        • EBone
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 1787

                          #13
                          Raiders,

                          I guess this is what I'm trying to say:

                          100 games @ -110 @ 57% (assuming each game bet is one unit) yields 9.7 units.

                          100 games @ -120 @ 57% (assuming each game bet is one unit) yields 5.4 units.

                          My personal opinion is that: I think its tough either way. I'm certainly no pro but if I could hit 57% on a consistent basis in every sport I bet.......I would be a professional gambler and wouldn't have to be working for the man 8 to 5. $1K per unit....that would be pretty sweet.

                          Sorry, Razz. I guess I should have taken this message to another thread. I just want to state that I think 57% is tough in football no matter how you slice it.

                          E
                          Comment
                          • EBone
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 1787

                            #14
                            Split away, Illusion. I shouldn't have posted that last message in this thread.

                            E
                            Comment
                            • Terris
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-23-05
                              • 299

                              #15
                              please illusion...sorry for all the useless posts, you could delete mine too.
                              Comment
                              • Illusion
                                Restricted User
                                • 08-09-05
                                • 25166

                                #16
                                Alright, let's keep this going. This is an interesting topic.
                                Comment
                                • raiders72001
                                  Senior Member
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 11126

                                  #17
                                  My personal opinion is that: I think its tough either way. I'm certainly no pro but if I could hit 57% on a consistent basis in every sport I bet.......I would be a professional gambler and wouldn't have to be working for the man 8 to 5. $1K per unit....that would be pretty sweet.
                                  This is the whole point. Great post.
                                  Comment
                                  • raiders72001
                                    Senior Member
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 11126

                                    #18
                                    As EBone just showed you could make great money at 57%. If you play at reduced shops -104 and -105 you can make a fortune at 54%.
                                    Comment
                                    • EBone
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 1787

                                      #19
                                      Could not agree more with that post......in the olden days, every street bookie was @ -110 on sides and some had -120 on totals. Now, if you were winning during those days, the times now would yield you some serious jack........


                                      E
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                                      • raiders72001
                                        Senior Member
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 11126

                                        #20
                                        and baseball lines were 20 cents
                                        Comment
                                        • Razz
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-22-05
                                          • 5632

                                          #21
                                          Are you satisfied with what I said about only playing 5 or so games that are more than -110, raiders? Honestly, I think everything more than balances out with the large amount of Even to -105 games I will be playing.

                                          OK, I'm going to bed. Good luck with whoever everyone takes tomorrow, as long as its not the Red Sox.
                                          Comment
                                          • raiders72001
                                            Senior Member
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 11126

                                            #22
                                            Razz- Good luck with your plays. Big Saturday and Sunday with foots and Bos/NYY baseball.
                                            Comment
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