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I figured the tie was the difference and it must work differently then ML usually does for most sports. I hate to admit this, but I didn't even realize the USA has a professional soccer league.
I know it is HUGE overseas but they call it football. Live and Learn. Thanks for taking the time to explain the difference. Go LA!!
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Booom!!!!Comment -
Sadly the Oklahoma City Thunder/Memphis Grizzlies game wasn't too kind to us. Hopefully the Pens, Indiana and LA soccer will work out better.
Edit:
Sadly LA soccer didn't work out.
Well, its up to the Pens now to save the night. Hopefully, Baseball is doing good for the people following it.
Edit:
Indiana did in fact work out better!! And Pens did work out, but been better if they pulled out a regulation win. I'm surprised I didn't chose the ML regulation instead of the -.5. O well, least got series bet win also.
Least got enough back to make it thru a couple more storms. If Pens didn't win, might had to hang it up for a while.Last edited by bald_guy; 05-11-13, 10:00 PM.Comment -
I honestly cannot believe what just happened in the Tampa Bay Rays game....
Up 6-2 in the top of the 7th....
Helleckson walks the leadoff hitter after having him 0-2....when it got to 3-2 I tolds my buddy that the next pitch would be the most important pitch of the game...he thought I was crazy....and Helleckson walked him.
Then with one out he allows a soft single....not his fault.
Now with two outs the Padres get a crappy little infield single.....so bases loaded and 2 outs....
NOW....this is where my problem arises....Helleckson has given you 6 2/3 innings and a great outing IMO. He is not looking as strong and his control is clearly not as good.....BUT Maddon allows him to stay in the game against a hitter with a .222 average, no home runs and only one RBI on the year.....
Helleckson again gets to 0-2 and then throws up a couple of balls.....and at 3-2 Jesus Guzman (never heard of him, right?) jacks a Grand Slam.....predictable? Yes. Avoidable? Absolutely.
This is on Maddon....all of it. I understand 'trusting' your pitchers, but here he went too far....I coached/managed at a pretty high level, and I won't pretend to know everything....but this is just brutal. Now he brings in Jamie Wright into a WAY crappy scenario and he has once again loaded the bases....ALL WITH TWO OUTS!!!!!!!
Disgusting
EDIT: Jamey Wright has now walked 3 consecutive batters and walked in a run....Comment -
longoria with the walk off....glad i tailedComment -
Fuk yeah pens! Congrats on the Pos and the seriesComment -
OTT-PITT, can't wait!!!Comment -
Ok, here is the summary for yesterday and today, all together....
Last two days:
14-13
+ 33.50
Totals (87 documented days):
633-532-31
+ $ 11,146.85
Play of the Day (POD):
1-0
+ $200
Total:
35 - 17
+ $5204.93
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OK, first off I have closed out our 7 game parlay with the last two picks:
178906243-1 5/9/13 5:26pm $50.00 $896.58 Pending 7 Team Parlay Win 5/10/13 8:05pm NBA Basketball 717 Miami Heat -300* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls Win 5/10/13 10:35pm NBA Basketball 719 San Antonio Spurs +125* <small>vs</small> Golden State Warriors Win 5/9/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 36 Pittsburgh Penguins (1st 60 min) -½ -145* <small>vs</small> New York Islanders (1st 60 min) Win 5/9/13 9:35pm NHL Hockey 38 Chicago Blackhawks (1st 60 min) -½ -159* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Wild (1st 60 min) Pending 5/10/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -1700* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs (Series) 5/12/13 3:37am Pending 5/13/13 7:00pm NBA Basketball 727 Miami Heat -380* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls 5/12/13 3:37am Pending 5/12/13 10:05pm NHL Hockey 78 Anaheim Ducks -140* <small>vs</small> Detroit Red Wings Comment -
POD for tomorrow is the Bruins, including OT. Also, here are some plays for tomorrow:
179300271-1 5/12/13 3:43am $125.00 $100.00 Pending 5/12/13 10:00am ATP Tennis 4 R.Nadal Games Won -4½ -125* <small>vs</small> S.Wawrinka Games Won 179300271-2 5/12/13 3:43am $130.00 $100.00 Pending 5/12/13 8:15am ATP Tennis 119 K.Anderson Games Won -3 -130* <small>vs</small> J.Melzer Games Won 179300271-3 5/12/13 3:43am $125.00 $100.00 Pending 5/12/13 7:00am ATP Tennis 123 D.Istomin Games Won +3 -125* <small>vs</small> J.Isner Games Won 179300271-4 5/12/13 3:43am $52.50 $50.00 Pending 5/12/13 8:15am ATP Tennis 184 R.Gasquet Games Won -4½ -105* <small>vs</small> S.Querrey Games Won 179300154-1 5/12/13 3:34am $100.00 $127.00 Pending 5/12/13 4:35pm Reduced Hockey 69 Washington Capitals +127* <small>vs</small> New York Rangers 179300154-2 5/12/13 3:34am $260.00 $200.00 Pending 5/12/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 73 Boston Bruins -130* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs 179300135-1 5/12/13 3:33am $50.00 $95.00 Pending 5/12/13 1:10pm Reduced Baseball 953 Pittsburgh Pirates +190* <small>vs</small> New York Mets (J Gomez - R must Start M Harvey - R must Start) 179300135-2 5/12/13 3:33am $62.50 $50.00 Pending 5/12/13 1:10pm Reduced Baseball 953 Pittsburgh Pirates/New York Mets Over 6½ -125* (J Gomez - R must Start M Harvey - R must Start) 179300135-3 5/12/13 3:33am $52.50 $50.00 Pending 5/12/13 4:10pm Reduced Baseball 961 Miami Marlins/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 7½ -105* (T Koehler - R must Start C Capuano must Start) 179300135-4 5/12/13 3:33am $50.00 $90.50 Pending 5/12/13 1:35pm Reduced Baseball 967 Toronto Blue Jays +181* <small>vs</small> Boston Red Sox (C Jenkins - R must Start R Dempster - R must Start) 179300135-5 5/12/13 3:33am $55.00 $50.00 Pending 5/12/13 1:35pm Reduced Baseball 967 Toronto Blue Jays/Boston Red Sox Over 9 -110* (C Jenkins - R must Start R Dempster - R must Start) 179300135-6 5/12/13 3:33am $114.00 $100.00 Pending 5/12/13 2:10pm Reduced Baseball 970 Kansas City Royals -114* <small>vs</small> New York Yankees (H Kuroda - R must Start E Santana - R must Start) 179300135-7 5/12/13 3:33am $57.50 $50.00 Pending 5/12/13 8:05pm Reduced Baseball 978 Chicago White Sox -115* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Angels (C Wilson - L must Start C Sale - L must Start) 179300029-1 5/12/13 3:27am $108.00 $100.00 Pending 5/12/13 3:30pm Reduced Basketball 725 San Antonio Spurs -1 -108* <small>vs</small> Golden State Warriors Comment -
And here is a refresher of our series bets:
178727318-3 5/8/13 12:05pm $100.00 $100.00 Pending 5/11/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 875 Indiana Pacers (Series) +100* <small>vs</small> New York Knicks (Series) 178591890-1 5/7/13 4:33pm $100.00 $97.97 Pending 3 Team Parlay Pending 5/7/13 7:05pm NBA Basketball 875 Indiana Pacers (Series) -155* <small>vs</small> New York Knicks (Series) Pending 5/8/13 9:35pm NBA Basketball 872 San Antonio Spurs (Series) -1100* <small>vs</small> Golden State Warriors (Series) Pending 5/8/13 7:05pm NBA Basketball 874 Miami Heat (Series) -970* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls (Series) 178570208-5 5/7/13 9:55am $100.00 $145.00 Pending 5/7/13 9:35pm Reduced Basketball 877 Memphis Grizzlies (Series) +145* <small>vs</small> Oklahoma City Thunder (Series) 178080940-3 5/4/13 12:26pm $102.00 $100.00 Pending 5/4/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 856 Anaheim Ducks (Series) -102* <small>vs</small> Detroit Red Wings (Series) 177602291-2 5/1/13 10:25am $215.00 $100.00 Pending 5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -215* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs (Series) 177338298-2 4/30/13 2:41pm $100.00 $100.00 Pending 5/2/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 866 Washington Capitals (Series) +100* <small>vs</small> New York Rangers (Series) 178906502-1 5/9/13 5:30pm $50.00 $69.57 Pending 5 Team Parlay Win 5/9/13 9:35pm NHL Hockey 852 Chicago Blackhawks (Series) -3500* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Wild (Series) Win 5/9/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 860 Pittsburgh Penguins (Series) -290* <small>vs</small> New York Islanders (Series) Win 5/10/13 10:05pm NHL Hockey 853 Los Angeles Kings (Series) -360* <small>vs</small> St. Louis Blues (Series) Pending 5/10/13 8:05pm NHL Hockey 856 Anaheim Ducks (Series) -360* <small>vs</small> Detroit Red Wings (Series) Pending 5/10/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -1700* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs (Series) Comment -
how the fck i missed that 800 dollar parlay
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I am a little disappointed that I didnèt take any Istomin action at +180.....against Isner he was very close to a pick em, but I was also happy to be grabbing +3 games.....probably should have gone 50% on the +3 and 50% on the +180....he certainly didnt dominate the match, but he did win it and looked good in doing so.
D2DComment -
Sorry Hopper, I told D2D when he started it I loved that one, I am a little worried about Miami but CHI running on fumes at this point and I just follow D2D blindly in Hockey as I don't cap it.
On a side note the only other person I have seen as good as D2D the last 3 months is JD Warriors 5 in the service plays forum. He hit about 60% in NCAA and must be at 70% for the NBA playoffs and takes a lot of props which is always fun. I have been here long enough for people to know I m not a schill, just trying to put money in peoples pockets.
Keep up the good work D2D, you are still he hardest working man on SBR!Comment -
Thanks man.....I am not sure about the hardest working, but it is much appreciated. I would wager (ha) that there are a load of people that spend more time looking into trends and historical data then I do....I find that there is a point where people overanalyze data, and that you need to have a nice balance of recent history, trends and more than anything, the psychological side of things to make good decisions.
As I have said many times....we can all talk ourselves onto either side, especially with the more data we read. The key is to see the important things, then make a decision and stick with it.
An another note, I hope everyone got on the ATP again today (wagers were posted last night)....a nice start to a Sunday for us at 4-0, and 7-1 since the Almagro debacle (I will not make that mistake again).
179300271-1 5/12/13 3:43am $125.00 $100.00 $225.00 Win 5/12/13 10:00am ATP Tennis 4 R.Nadal Games Won -4½ -125* <small>vs</small> S.Wawrinka Games Won 179300271-2 5/12/13 3:43am $130.00 $100.00 $230.00 Win 5/12/13 8:15am ATP Tennis 119 K.Anderson Games Won -3 -130* <small>vs</small> J.Melzer Games Won 179300271-3 5/12/13 3:43am $125.00 $100.00 $225.00 Win 5/12/13 7:00am ATP Tennis 123 D.Istomin Games Won +3 -125* <small>vs</small> J.Isner Games Won 179300271-4 5/12/13 3:43am $52.50 $50.00 $102.50 Win 5/12/13 8:15am ATP Tennis 184 R.Gasquet Games Won -4½ -105* <small>vs</small> S.Querrey Games Won
All of these wins were truly easy and we didn't break a sweat in any of them....Comment -
Great job in the ATP today!! I only was able to get in on the last 2 due to sleep, but graded all 4 and see you got a sweep. None had much juice on them either, very nice. Congrats and thanks a lot.Comment -
Thanks for the ATP picks D2D! I tailed them all and had a little parlay with the 3 faves winning and Isner to win at least 1 set, because I was confident in your picks. BOL today!Comment -
yeah great work again on Tennis, fine if you don't want to take the hardest working Mantra I am definitely giving you the Best Tennis Handicapper Trophy, you have to be at worst 70%...unreal...
Plus I totally agree how you cap more with recent trends and psychological side, I posted a few days ago how I am the same and why it took me so long to be able to make a profit in baseball. Playing everyday and pitching in my opinion make it more difficult to cap using psychology.Comment -
...you can say that again!
A great way to start the day...4-0 on tennis...and a great quotation from the only hi-volume/hi-yield SPG (sports-play generator) i know.
You unfortunately haven't been getting visited by these little guys nearly as often as you deserved...cuz you make so damn many picks...from now on...for D2D...these guys represent a SPORT-SPECIFIC SWEEP...capiche?
Here comes the tennis contingent now!
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Thanks man, yeah, ATP has been VERY good to me....there are soooo many dogs out there that have HUGE value. My favourite plays are where I can get games with a guy that I think should be the clear favourite. I think there is a tendancy for the books to assign way too high a value on the favourites, but of course the public is really who controls things. I bet the books make a killing from the public on tennis....I don't think I will ever drop anything on another big favourite (except on the games line of course).
Anyway, adding two small MLB plays:
179326309-1 5/12/13 12:08pm $52.50 $50.00 Pending 5/12/13 1:10pm Reduced Baseball 953 Pittsburgh Pirates/New York Mets Over 7 -105* (J Gomez - R must Start M Harvey - R must Start) 179326309-2 5/12/13 12:08pm $50.00 $50.00 Pending 5/12/13 2:15pm Reduced Baseball 957 Colorado Rockies/St Louis Cardinals Over 7½ +100* (J De La Rosa - L must Start J Garcia - L must Start)
ALSO, you are bang on with MLB....no psychological advantages here. I have been trending very well this last 6 days now in ball mostly due to a change in the way I am looking at things. Current trends, streaks, etc are the mnost important factors, along with identifying the teams that are just plain old undervalued (KC and Pirates for example)....Comment -
Lol, thanks FG!! I was wondering how long it would take me to have a 14-0 or 16-0 day to see those little fockers. Hopefully we can see a bunch more of them in the future!!...you can say that again!
A great way to start the day...4-0 on tennis...and a great quotation from the only hi-volume/hi-yield SPG (sports-play generator) i know.
You unfortunately haven't been getting visited by these little guys nearly as often as you deserved...cuz you make so damn many picks...from now on...for D2D...these guys represent a SPORT-SPECIFIC SWEEP...capiche?
Here comes the tennis contingent now!
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With you on all the hockey, as well as the Royals, White Sox, and Pirates, haven't gone against you at all yet today, but might have to take GS small later (and you know what that means, might as well already pay out your Spurs bet)
Wondering what your thoughts are on the Mariners tonight? Saunders has been absolutely lights out at home (2 earned runs in 22.1 innings, 3 total surrendered) and he is plus money?Comment -
Yeah Value in MLB is huge. Most people don't realize if yo bet a -125 favorite everyday over 162 games if you go 90-72 you break even and very few MLB teams win 90 games every year.Comment -
It is interesting, but unfortunately Saunders just can't be trusted IMO against the A's. The problem is that the A's are just too patient and will wait for Saunders to get himself into trouble. You also need to take into account that 2 of his 3 starts at home were against light hitting teams (Houston and Baltimore).With you on all the hockey, as well as the Royals, White Sox, and Pirates, haven't gone against you at all yet today, but might have to take GS small later (and you know what that means, might as well already pay out your Spurs bet)
Wondering what your thoughts are on the Mariners tonight? Saunders has been absolutely lights out at home (2 earned runs in 22.1 innings, 3 total surrendered) and he is plus money?
I understand the logic in your thinking....but for me this is NO PLAY.Comment -
I should have stipulated that I was speaking about the Orioles on the road. I am not sure how their splits work, and maybe I am wrong on this, but I haven't seen them scoring a lot outside of Camden Yards. Lol, not that it matters, but I think Saunders home record is a little skewed...the guy has been a gas can and has a negative strike/walk ratio and against the A's that could mean a death sentence.Comment -
Good stuff D2D, my drunk ass missed the tennis action. Amazing how almost all the lines of your MLB picks have moved in the right direction. I see you're going against my fantasy stud Matt Harvey, GL today bud!Comment -
Adding:
179334448-1 5/12/13 1:00pm $61.50 $50.00 Pending 5/12/13 1:05pm MLB Baseball 965 Cleveland Indians/Detroit Tigers Over 8½ -123* (Z McAllister - R must Start R Porcello - R must Start) Comment -
Tito...you along with Nino, BBN, and D2D are on my "E.F. Hutton" list...if u'r too young to know what that means, ask somebody old enough to shave...(same thing goes for saying D2D is the "James Brown" of SBR...a restatement of the last sentence of Funguy's post #1626 above)...or ask OldSchoolPro to translate some of these "ancient" metaphors (recognized by people who actually remember the last time the Detroit Tigers won the world series)
anyhow, i digress...Tito, you definitely sold me on the Mariners tonight with your concise one-sentence argument...soon as I submit this post, I'm off shopping for it...and a week ago, you posted a comparison of Indiana as a bigger, better version of the Celtics and sold me on them vs the Knicks...normally takes more than a few sentences to persuade me, but you have a knack for hitting the nail on the head--or at least stating things in ways that resonate with me
you're posts are the second best reason to hit this thread, and that's sayin' a lot, pal
__________
Edit: just saw Donuts weighing in (neutral) on the play...glad he didn't veto it...I don't like to be on the clearly "other side" of him, or Benny or Nino or Dugger, or you...unless I have a DAMN good reason!Last edited by fitguy67; 05-12-13, 01:32 PM.Comment -
Lol, James Brown...great.
And as Smokey Robinson would have said 'I second that emotion' when it comes to Tito (well, I guess it would be 'I second that motion', but I digress.
It is funny....Tito is actually better on this thread then he was on his own!! I am actually a lucky guy....so little hating on this thread and a couple of dozen solid contributors....Comment
