D2D's NBA, NHL and MLB Daily wagers.......

**bald_guy** · 05-08-13, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by SpreadSniper

L
Ordered a healthy serving @ -106

IDK. I think someone forgot to tell Almargro that he is suppose to win this thing.

**OperatorX** · 05-08-13, 02:15 PM

This is looking rather disastrous.. First I lose with Juan Monaco at -250 and now this.. Cmon Almargro!!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-08-13, 02:18 PM

There went his shot at breaking back. I am not sure how Youzhny has run into two opponents in a row that have basically given him the matches....I mean he is playing better than he did vs Fognini, but still....Almagro may still be stewing about giving the first set away after having it in the bag.

**bald_guy** · 05-08-13, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

There went his shot at breaking back. I am not sure how Youzhny has run into two opponents in a row that have basically given him the matches....I mean he is playing better than he did vs Fognini, but still....Almagro may still be stewing about giving the first set away after having it in the bag.

Well, bet 2/3/4 is gone, but still hope for the main juicy bet. Sure hope he gets it together and pulls it out for us.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-08-13, 02:25 PM

He just blew away another break point....he is pushing him but not playing clutch tennis at all....and all of these break points he is getting to second serves too.....terrible

EDIT....two more chances to break serve if he can hold his own....I hate to say it, but I don't think he gets it done....he has expended a ton of energy in losing these last two games.

**bald_guy** · 05-08-13, 02:35 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

He just blew away another break point....he is pushing him but not playing clutch tennis at all....and all of these break points he is getting to second serves too.....terrible

EDIT....two more chances to break serve if he can hold his own....I hate to say it, but I don't think he gets it done....he has expended a ton of energy in losing these last two games.

I'm looking at the only 4 matches they played together and it appears Youzhny won all 4 of them on Clay, hard and even grass. It appears there must be something in Youzhny play that gives Almagro a hard time over 7 years, despite the higher ranking.

EDIT:
Sadly he has now beat him all 5 times. Rough start for the day for sure. Hopefully the NHL and NBA games (and for those the follow the MLB) will go better for us.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-08-13, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by bald_guy

I'm looking at the only 4 matches they played together and it appears Youzhny won all 4 of them on Clay, hard and even grass. It appears there must be something in Youzhny play that gives Almagro a hard time over 7 years, despite the higher ranking.

Yes.....was talked about in my original post....0-4, but the last time on clay (and the only time on clay) was in 2011 and they are both VERY different players. Obviously it is very easy to go back as hindsight is 20/20....

EDIT: And Almagro gives up and gets blasted for the loss. At least he could have tried to hold his own serve there....

Tough to start a day down a G-note....

**drnkyourmlkshk** · 05-08-13, 02:57 PM

Hey D2D i have looked over your thread going back 3-5 days. Are you running a chase system in MLB? Your on KC, Toronto, Sf everyday and it doesnt look like your concerned with beating the closer? Im sorry if this was stated somewhere else as I havent followed the thread from the beginning. Heres to a good rest of the week

**bald_guy** · 05-08-13, 03:05 PM

Well, this might sound dumb, but in a way, I think its good we have days where we give up some money. I honestly think we would run into trouble with the books if everyday or most everyday was a winning day. The books are not into people funding there account with 200-300 dollars and pulling out 10K with any regularity. Its a business to make money, not an ATM.

Bets where we pay some good juice and fail looks good for our accounts book wise. Least I feel this way anyway. So I'm glad you are human instead of a flawless perfect machine.

**OperatorX** · 05-08-13, 04:26 PM

However, I'd really prefer if it was just an ATM

**l3randonf** · 05-08-13, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by bald_guy

Well, this might sound dumb, but in a way, I think its good we have days where we give up some money. I honestly think we would run into trouble with the books if everyday or most everyday was a winning day. The books are not into people funding there account with 200-300 dollars and pulling out 10K with any regularity. Its a business to make money, not an ATM.

Bets where we pay some good juice and fail looks good for our accounts book wise. Least I feel this way anyway. So I'm glad you are human instead of a flawless perfect machine.

How bad are the limits that books place on winning accounts? 5dimes as an example?

**bald_guy** · 05-09-13, 12:19 AM

Originally posted by l3randonf

How bad are the limits that books place on winning accounts? 5dimes as an example?

There is a entire section dedicated to talking about the books. I have no clue on the question, was just saying in general I feel some losses may be a good thing in disguise for long term success.

Welp, not the best day/night, but we did post wins in NHL, MLB (if the right pitcher started each game). Look forward to the picks tomorrow.

**hopper** · 05-09-13, 12:40 AM

BOL for todays games! Lets start winning

**OldSchoolPro** · 05-09-13, 09:45 AM

Morning, All:

Hockey Thought For The Day: "This Penguin team better get it together quick and switch goalies if they need to, otherwise why did they bother to spend all that money to re-assemble the 2003 NHL All-Stars?" (Heard on K-PIT, Pittsburgh sports radio)

- OSP

**bald_guy** · 05-09-13, 09:53 AM

Originally posted by OldSchoolPro

Morning, All:

Hockey Thought For The Day: "This Penguin team better get it together quick and switch goalies if they need to, otherwise why did they bother to spend all that money to re-assemble the 2003 NHL All-Stars?" (Heard on K-PIT, Pittsburgh sports radio)

- OSP

My Iphone told me yesterday (app called theScore) that Vokoun will start tonight.

**bostonphoenix** · 05-09-13, 10:30 AM

I go to dailyfaceoff to see who starts in net.

But I believe Vokoun gets net tonight.

**OperatorX** · 05-09-13, 10:40 AM

Bit quiet in here today! Shake it off, lets start with (Bartolo Colon & S Kazmir must start) OAK Athletics @ -125

**Minnesota Niice** · 05-09-13, 11:04 AM

Originally posted by OperatorX

Bit quiet in here today! Shake it off, lets start with (Bartolo Colon & S Kazmir must start) OAK Athletics @ -125

100% disagree.. Cleveland has won 9 of their last 10, while beating the A's the last 3. The A's are missing Coco Crisp (which is why they got out to such a hot start anyway) and the power bat Chris Young. Bartolo Colon has withstood the test of time but he throws, and this is an actual stat, 90 percent fastballs. I get the location, location, location, but he'll get those C cup titties lit up just like hes used to. 8 ER's his last 11 innings of work. I understand Kazmir has been injury prone his whole career and is also getting past his better days, but the years he has been around he has been in contention for strikeout leader almost every year. I like the Indians chances here at at a dog. I'm not going to be the one betting against a team 9-1 in their last 10.. GL

**Bostongambler** · 05-09-13, 11:05 AM

Hey X, I don't think anyone comes in here to see ur plays.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-09-13, 11:21 AM

Hey guys. Typical day yesterday and we ran around even aside from the ATP plays (that was tough!!!).

Picks will be up a bit late today, but just to let you know there will be a reduction in plays and $ amounts until I get back on the rails. I was pressing yesterday and paid big juice and lost and I won't start pressing to get anything back. The last 3 days have put me $2500 from reaching my next plateau where I would increase my bet-sizing so there is no need to press.

I am not sure how I wasn't on the Heat last night....gun shy after game 1 I guess, but I cannot let that affect me.

Oh well, lets start the grind all over!!

**OldSchoolPro** · 05-09-13, 11:30 AM

You're Right, Boston, But

Say Boston:

I totally agree with you, when I first saw the comment of Operator X, my reaction was the same as yours.

Against that, it was kinda quiet in here.

Also, it is really quite amazing to bet on the A's and sweat their games pitch - by - pitch.

I read Moneyball a few years back (haven't seen the flick yet) and I became conscious that the A's (and Billy Beane) came up with a totally new way of playing baseball (while over the previous 100 years the approach to baseball strategy had changed about as often as the rules of chess).

As I understood/stand it, the A's came up with a strategy that leveraged long at-bats.

Work the count in the first inning of the first game of the series, and by the third game you've depleted the bullpen of your opponent.

Talk about your butterfly effect!

It is really inspiring to see them do this - the exact opposite of teams like the Marlins, where the batters draw very few walks.

Anyway, I agree with you that Operator X has no reason to come in here with his own picks, but with a few thousand of us sitting around world-wide waiting for D2D to shovel his car out from under the snow (just kidding - I realize it's May) or whatever he's doing up there, X actually did all of us a service by coming in with his play, since it's an interesting side.

I would agree that he definitely shouldn't make a practice of it (unless he's going to average 60% winners or better when he does, obviously - then D2D will start tailing him!).

Moneyball Rules!

- OSP

PS: I believe that was part of the Red Sox success around 8 years ago, Theo Epstein came from the A's organization and became the Sox GM just before they won the World Series. Just sayin' ...

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-09-13, 11:36 AM

Moneyball = a good read

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 05-09-13, 11:48 AM

Good flick, too!

**SpreadSniper** · 05-09-13, 11:49 AM

back at er pal

**Gio21** · 05-09-13, 12:29 PM

Let's get back on that grind D2D!

**Bostongambler** · 05-09-13, 12:55 PM

I enjoyed watching Jaws at the movies. Scareyyyyyy!!! U will never go back in the water again. Shower included.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-09-13, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by drnkyourmlkshk

Hey D2D i have looked over your thread going back 3-5 days. Are you running a chase system in MLB? Your on KC, Toronto, Sf everyday and it doesnt look like your concerned with beating the closer? Im sorry if this was stated somewhere else as I havent followed the thread from the beginning. Heres to a good rest of the week

Nope.

I am trying to identify teams that are just coming off of bad runs, that have good value and that are going to go on a heater. That obv doesn't apply to all bets. In MLB I am starting to show some good progress and I am thinking that by mid-year I will be all over it.

I am still a work on progress here, lol.

**thes0vereign** · 05-09-13, 03:41 PM

So, how many games does it take for Ottawa to knock out Montreal sans Carey Price? I'm going with one.

**funguys_2005** · 05-09-13, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Nope.

I am trying to identify teams that are just coming off of bad runs, that have good value and that are going to go on a heater. That obv doesn't apply to all bets. In MLB I am starting to show some good progress and I am thinking that by mid-year I will be all over it.

I am still a work on progress here, lol.

If anyone has time I suggest they keep track (or even go back a month or so) and post D2D's record per each sport. Hopefully we will see a nice progression in MLB throughout the year as well as all sports. I know Coreos did this before and the hockey numbers were insane, but maybe if we all pitch in and whoever has time that day updates it and we throw them a few points here in there. D2D does enough keeping track of the whole picture.

Just a thought.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-09-13, 04:20 PM

OK guys, sorry this was the first time I got to my computer all day.....a couple of ballgames have gone off, one looks ok and the other one looks pretty bad....anyway should even out.

Also included are some early games for tomorrow.

178883919-1	5/9/13 12:50pm	$142.00	$100.00	Pending	5/9/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 36 Pittsburgh Penguins (1st 60 min) -½ -142* <small>vs</small> New York Islanders (1st 60 min)
178883919-2	5/9/13 12:50pm	$159.00	$100.00	Pending	5/9/13 9:35pm NHL Hockey 38 Chicago Blackhawks (1st 60 min) -½ -159* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Wild (1st 60 min)

178883840-1	5/9/13 12:49pm	$122.00	$100.00	Pending	5/9/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 34 Montreal Canadiens -122* <small>vs</small> Ottawa Senators

178883752-1	5/9/13 12:47pm	$50.00	$52.50	Pending	5/9/13 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 911 Minnesota Twins/Boston Red Sox Over 9½ +105* (K Correia - R must Start J Lackey - R must Start)
178883752-2	5/9/13 12:47pm	$116.00	$100.00	Pending	5/9/13 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 913 Toronto Blue Jays/Tampa Bay Rays Over 7 -116* (R Dickey - R must Start D Price - L must Start)
178883752-3	5/9/13 12:47pm	$100.00	$105.00	Pending	5/9/13 3:10pm Reduced Baseball 917 New York Yankees/Colorado Rockies Over 9 +105* (C Sabathia - L must Start J Francis - L must Start)
178883752-4	5/9/13 12:47pm	$109.00	$100.00	Pending	5/9/13 4:05pm Reduced Baseball 919 Detroit Tigers/Washington Nationals Over 7½ -109* (D Fister - R must Start D Haren - R must Start)

178883609-1	5/9/13 12:44pm	$290.00	$100.00	Pending	5/10/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 717 Miami Heat -290* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls
178883609-2	5/9/13 12:44pm	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	5/10/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 717 Miami Heat/Chicago Bulls Under 187½ -105*
178883609-3	5/9/13 12:44pm	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	5/10/13 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 719 San Antonio Spurs +2½ -105* <small>vs</small> Golden State Warriors
178883609-4	5/9/13 12:44pm	$216.00	$200.00	Pending	5/10/13 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 719 San Antonio Spurs/Golden State Warriors Over 203½ -108*
178883609-5	5/9/13 12:44pm	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	5/11/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 723 New York Knicks/Indiana Pacers Under 184 -105*

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-09-13, 04:21 PM

Also, here is an update on all of our series bets....the Blackhawks could close this one out tonight, so hopefully they do it in regulation!!

178727318-3	5/8/13 12:05pm	$100.00	$100.00	Pending	5/11/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 875 Indiana Pacers (Series) +100* <small>vs</small> New York Knicks (Series)

178591890-1	5/7/13 4:33pm	$100.00	$97.97	Pending	3 Team Parlay
				Pending	5/7/13 7:05pm NBA Basketball 875 Indiana Pacers (Series) -155* <small>vs</small> New York Knicks (Series)
				Pending	5/8/13 9:35pm NBA Basketball 872 San Antonio Spurs (Series) -1100* <small>vs</small> Golden State Warriors (Series)
				Pending	5/8/13 7:05pm NBA Basketball 874 Miami Heat (Series) -970* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls (Series)

178570268-4	5/7/13 9:57am	$50.00	$100.00	Pending	5/7/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 864 Montreal Canadiens (Series) +200* <small>vs</small> Ottawa Senators (Series)

178570208-5	5/7/13 9:55am	$100.00	$145.00	Pending	5/7/13 9:35pm Reduced Basketball 877 Memphis Grizzlies (Series) +145* <small>vs</small> Oklahoma City Thunder (Series)

178080940-3	5/4/13 12:26pm	$102.00	$100.00	Pending	5/4/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 856 Anaheim Ducks (Series) -102* <small>vs</small> Detroit Red Wings (Series)

177602291-2	5/1/13 10:25am	$215.00	$100.00	Pending	5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -215* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs (Series)

177338298-1	4/30/13 2:41pm	$400.00	$100.00	Pending	5/1/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 860 Pittsburgh Penguins (Series) -400* <small>vs</small> New York Islanders (Series)
177338298-2	4/30/13 2:41pm	$100.00	$100.00	Pending	5/2/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 866 Washington Capitals (Series) +100* <small>vs</small> New York Rangers (Series)

177331987-3	4/30/13 1:04pm	$710.00	$200.00	Pending	4/30/13 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 852 Chicago Blackhawks (Series) -355* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Wild (Series)

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-09-13, 04:27 PM

And just for fun I am adding a 7 game parlay, with 2 open spots left for the weekend.

178906243-1	5/9/13 5:26pm	$50.00	$387.13	Open	7 Team Parlay
				Pending	5/10/13 8:05pm NBA Basketball 717 Miami Heat -300* <small>vs</small> Chicago Bulls
				Pending	5/10/13 10:35pm NBA Basketball 719 San Antonio Spurs +125* <small>vs</small> Golden State Warriors
				Pending	5/9/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 36 Pittsburgh Penguins (1st 60 min) -½ -145* <small>vs</small> New York Islanders (1st 60 min)
				Pending	5/9/13 9:35pm NHL Hockey 38 Chicago Blackhawks (1st 60 min) -½ -159* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Wild (1st 60 min)
				Pending	5/10/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -1700* <small>vs</small> Toronto Maple Leafs (Series)

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-09-13, 06:05 PM

Adding $50 KC ml and $50 KC -1.5

Get it in if you can!

**hopper** · 05-09-13, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Adding $50 KC ml and $50 KC -1.5

Get it in if you can!

What is KC?

**tto827** · 05-09-13, 06:28 PM

^^Assuming Kansas City Royals