D2D's NBA, NHL and MLB Daily wagers.......

**2daBank** · 05-27-13, 09:42 AM

Originally posted by bostonphoenix

Couple of questions

Pitt v Detroit (+172), Verlander has been shaky of late and Lirano has been solid. With the line as it is, this has to only happen what a clip better than 1-3, i see value in this. Pittsburgh been good of late. Why no play?

I also like the under here, these two offenses have put up runs of late but this will likely be a very low scoring game.

I like SF/Bumgarner so I tend to lean SF's way most of the time. I don't think there is a home field advantage in Oakland, Bumgarner is the better pitcher and SF has the better team, so why Oakland?

The Globe posted the red sox line at -190 for the sox, if thats the real line, don't you have to take Philly who has an actual pitcher going instead of Aceves?

Are you not playing the NHL tonight because of your series bet? I like Detroit in what is basically a must win to stay alive at home. Do you have any thought at all?

Thanks.

that is debatable..

**k2ds** · 05-27-13, 09:52 AM

Is there a POD ?

**Minnesota Niice** · 05-27-13, 09:55 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

that is debatable..

Then put in a debate... No wonder why you have 26 thousand posts

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-27-13, 09:55 AM

Updates so far....Monaco will not cover for us....unfortunately, he came in to do 'just enough' to win the match. He hasn't fought through anything and when he had breaks available he just sloughed them off like he knew he was going to win anyway....our only chance is if Monaco breaks back and loses the third set in a tiebreak and his opponent gives up early in the 4th set.....but that won't happen.

Klizan, after a terrible start has just taken the third set 6-1 and given hiimself a chance to cover the -7 we had him at.....

Monfils is serving like a beast....my thoughts were his last loss to Montanes would be riding hard on him and that with no practice at Roland Garros he would have a tough time adjusting to the different clay.....that may happen throughout the match, but at this point he looks very good.

**bostonphoenix** · 05-27-13, 09:57 AM

NVM the wager was cancelled.

**Kpn** · 05-27-13, 10:05 AM

Originally posted by Minnesota Niice

Then put in a debate... No wonder why you have 26 thousand posts

SF V Oak, I personally am backing San Fran, because I feel they have the pitching edge, however it's going to be a close game. There is a reason the line is fairly close.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-27-13, 10:05 AM

Originally posted by bostonphoenix

Couple of questions

Pitt v Detroit (+172), Verlander has been shaky of late and Lirano has been solid. With the line as it is, this has to only happen what a clip better than 1-3, i see value in this. Pittsburgh been good of late. Why no play?

I also like the under here, these two offenses have put up runs of late but this will likely be a very low scoring game.

I like SF/Bumgarner so I tend to lean SF's way most of the time. I don't think there is a home field advantage in Oakland, Bumgarner is the better pitcher and SF has the better team, so why Oakland?

The Globe posted the red sox line at -190 for the sox, if thats the real line, don't you have to take Philly who has an actual pitcher going instead of Aceves?

Are you not playing the NHL tonight because of your series bet? I like Detroit in what is basically a must win to stay alive at home. Do you have any thought at all?

Thanks.

Well, I did look at the Pirates in this spot...here are my concerns: Verlander is coming off of a bad start, his bad start was on the road and now he is at home, Liriano is an ok pitcher and has looked good so far, but this is against the Tigers and in Detroit. ALSO, this isn't a +200 game (where 1/3 breaks even) it is a +172 game and that means the Pirates have to win more than 39% of the time....and I don't see that happening in this spot...at least not enough to make it a truly good option.

As for the SF/Oakland game......it is a geographical rivalry which means anything can happen because both teams will be playing flat out, SF is not good on the road, Oakland is good at home (and even better historically than they have been so far this year) and I like Oakland here because of the way SF is playing right now (their nice win yesterday won't help them be motivated, it may hurt).

As for the Bosox game, I think you are way off. Aceves has looked like crap so far this year, but does have a 27-14 career win-rate (not all starts) and Cloyd, with his 6 career starts or whatever, MAY be a great pitcher coming down the road, but he is young and he is starting in the great Fenway Park against a team that can get after it. I have graded this a NO PLAY because there is entirely too much uncertainty.

As for the NHL....I have a series bet on Chicago, so I am going to leave it alone....and truth be told I just do not know what will happen tonight.....no freakin' idea.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-27-13, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by bostonphoenix

NVM the wager was cancelled.

What wager was cancelled?

**bostonphoenix** · 05-27-13, 10:08 AM

Thanks.

**tg09** · 05-27-13, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

What wager was cancelled?

Klizan. Russell retired just as klizan was starting to dominate and looked like he might cover.

**Minnesota Niice** · 05-27-13, 10:19 AM

Im really starting to dislike Monfils that clown blew us quite a bit of money last tourney (except for the final) I for sure thought after last weekend of playing out of his ass and lasting so long he would be pretty exhausted. I thought this would be a big let down spot.. Hopefully Berdych works him down, the guy is in incredible shape and has frickin tree trunk legs.. This is looking more like -200 Berdych right now

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-27-13, 10:20 AM

After Klizan won the third set 6-1 the match came off of the board....anyone know what happened? It is TOTAL EFFING BS....Klizan was tracking to win for us, easily and I am guessing that Russell retired.....effing weak.....

Also, Berdych/Monfils is going to be a tough match....very tough.

Lastly, Mathieu just took the 2nd set to tie his match with Nieminen at 1-1, which is looking decent as we have the over 37.5 games.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-27-13, 10:22 AM

Originally posted by tg09

Klizan. Russell retired just as klizan was starting to dominate and looked like he might cover.

Ridiculous....after taking the third set 6-1 all he needed was a 6-3 game to cover and he was set up nicely to do that....oh well.....sh.it happens.

Monfils serve is looking amazing....truly amazing.

**iWin** · 05-27-13, 10:24 AM

Damn, Monfils is coming out real strong this first set.

**$nakes** · 05-27-13, 10:24 AM

Ok just re-uped my MLB tv sub.... Man the ATL Braves loss stung me yesterday. Looking at your picks D2D, I really like the Cinci spot. Could be an over play as well? Leake is 4-2 in nine starts for Cincinnati with seven of those games going Over the total. While Jimenez is 3-3 with a 6.04 ERA in nine starts with five of those games going Over the total. I am on Cinci right now.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-27-13, 10:39 AM

Berdych made a lot of errors in spots where he shouldn't have. In that first set to let Monfils up 8-7 he returned a second serve long....a second serve to the centre of the court where he was only defending....that is about as bad an unforced arror as you can make.

Also, we now need Monaco to win the 4th set 6-2 to win this match....maybe giving up a set will get him focused and on track. He should be crushing here....

**iWin** · 05-27-13, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Berdych made a lot of errors in spots where he shouldn't have. In that first set to let Monfils up 8-7 he returned a second serve long....a second serve to the centre of the court where he was only defending....that is about as bad an unforced arror as you can make.

Also, we now need Monaco to win the 4th set 6-2 to win this match....maybe giving up a set will get him focused and on track. He should be crushing here....

Monfils' serves are extraordinary. Very hard to return.

**alamo** · 05-27-13, 10:46 AM

Thinking of adding to Berdych here at +100... He is not losing here. He will focus and get himself together.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-27-13, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by iWin

Monfils' serves are extraordinary. Very hard to return.

His first serve is, yes....

Berdych is looking like crap now....broken here and Mofils will be up 3-1 right away....Monfils is one of the weakest players out there mentally and his game can fall apart so fast, but I don't think it looks like that will happen. Also, Berlocq was broken by Isner....after Berlocq had break points earlier that he gave away.

EDIT: Monaco match is now out of reach....he is going to be in trouble of losing this match, all because IMO he tool his opponent lightly. The only way we can get it is if Monaco gets back on serve AGAIN, and loses set 4 7-6 and then wins set 5 6-1 or better....so basically no chance.

EDIT #2: Berlocq gives up another break....ugly.

EDIT #3: Nieminen/Mathieu match is now locked up as it will go over 37.5.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 05-27-13, 11:44 AM

Yeah...lol. I almost just have to laugh at this. I know Monfils is playing well, but Berdych is so much better than this. Serving for the set he gets broken....and not even a tough break.....had him 0-40.

Anyway, the good thing is that Berdych shouldn't get tired....if he can somehow get out of there with this set he still has a shot, but the likelyhood of that is not good. I am saying that Monfils wins this set 75% of the time from here (and obviously the match a much higher % of the time in this spot....90? 95?).

**bostonphoenix** · 05-27-13, 11:51 AM

What the hell is going on in this game? Shouldn't he at least be attempting to return serve.

I hope Monaco loses this match. up 6-4, 6-4 he looked good and then he falls apart.

**KingAims** · 05-27-13, 11:54 AM

Berdych looks like he's starting to get this serve right and if we can somehow pull out this set, maybe Monfils will start to lose his composure?

**Grunch** · 05-27-13, 11:58 AM

Is this where Monfils mentally breaks down and we save some big money?

**alamo** · 05-27-13, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by Grunch

Is this where Monfils mentally breaks down and we save some big money?

Absolutely. Berdych mentally tougher. I think Monfils knows he shouldve closed it out in tiebreak and that was his chance. Thomas is not losing from here. Added to it at +200 too

**alamo** · 05-27-13, 12:18 PM

Mats Wilander in commentary has just said he still has Berdych as favourite to win this match which is a good sign

**bostonphoenix** · 05-27-13, 12:25 PM

Originally posted by alamo

Mats Wilander in commentary has just said he still has Berdych as favourite to win this match which is a good sign

He's going to have to steal a serve from Monfils. Lets hope he does do that.

-----

Monfils has played a great game, but for my sake I hope he loses. It's been fun to watch, just hope its not TOO costly.

**alamo** · 05-27-13, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by bostonphoenix

He's going to have to steal a serve from Monfils. Lets hope he does do that.

Not necessarily. If can win this 4th set tie break Monfils will fold. He looks bushed and is starting to tire.

**alamo** · 05-27-13, 12:42 PM

Berdychs class starting to show !

**alamo** · 05-27-13, 12:45 PM

This French crowd have no class. Berdych hitting some incredible shots and the crowd go quiet.

**alamo** · 05-27-13, 12:46 PM

...But Tommy loving the challenge of sickening them

**Minnesota Niice** · 05-27-13, 12:48 PM

Cmooon Bird dick close this out.. What a roller coaster ride this one is

Edit: Janowicz has 49 winner and 29 unforced errors compared to Ramos with 15 winners and 9 unforced errors. This match is definitely in the hands of Janowicz, I believe we are on the right side in this match no matter the outcome.

**bostonphoenix** · 05-27-13, 12:50 PM

...

**grim259** · 05-27-13, 12:54 PM

Phooey, woke up late after my alarm and missed the two early MLB picks, both of which are up atm.

**bald_guy** · 05-27-13, 12:58 PM

I noticed in the past you have did (before I started to follow you) some WTA. What was your reason for stopping, and do you ever plan to do any WTA picks in the future?

**alamo** · 05-27-13, 01:07 PM

Does this court have floodlights...We need this one to go into the late evening ?