4 games jump out at me for Monday, 2 from College ball and 2 from the NBA.
For college I like:
UC Riverside -2.5
I see UC Riverside winning by at least 12, cut it to 8 for being away and I still see a +5.5 advantage... Loyola is winless and UC Riverside currently leads their conference... UC SB blew out loyola and covered as 18.5 point faves (in sb) and sit back in third behind riverside in the conference... Riversides covered both times they've been favored this year and Loyola failed to cover at home to cal davis (who's 6th in riversides conference) as 7.5 dogs (they're only 2.5 dogs to riverside)
I may be missing something but I'm laying the points on the road with the flat out better UC Riverside...
I also like and will play later today..
the Citadel +1.5 (I think it may go to 2, I'll play it at 1 if it starts to drop)
I've played the citadel twice this year (against elon and uncg(very bad team))and both times they covered easily...
I don't think that changes tonight as I put them winning by 3 at a neutral site. Add the home court advantage and I see them rolling by 5+. I'll take them as a dog to cal davis, a team that hasn't played well on the road lately and lost its only game as road favorite straight up...
For the NBA tonight I like the nets +5
I think the game should be around 2.5 so I'll take the 5 with a team that is coming off of 3 losses against a team that is coming off a back to back... add that to the fact that the nets will be seeking revenge for the blowout defeat on the 12th and I see the nets winning outright. I'll take the points for safe measures though!
Finally I like the Knicks +9
I see the knicks losing by 2 or so and see the spread being set around 5-5.5 definitely not as high as 9… Along with my analysis of the game, the numbers trends that support backing the Knicks tonight should be noted...:
-Since the 2002 season, a team off of a road win of 20 points or more has a 31-15 ATS record in December, 67.4%.
-Since the beginning of the 2004 season during the month of December, away dogs have cashed a ticket 54.1% of the time.
-This out of sight trend only entails playing on teams that have won two road games in a row and also playing Over the lined total in that game. In December over the past three years, you would have cashed 15 out of twenty tickets on the winning side, one push, and 17 out of 21 times on the winning total.
As lines change overnight and throughout the day I will decide when/if I want to hop on the total... I'd love for it to drop a point or two and hop on. If it stays though, I'll just put a small play on the over 223...
Hopefully Mondays the day my losing streak ends...
Locked in plays:
NY Knicks +9
NJ Nets +5
UC Riverside -2.5
Plays to lock in later:
Citadel if it falls to 1 or rises to 2
and the 223 of knicks game if it falls/small play as is...
GL
For college I like:
UC Riverside -2.5
I see UC Riverside winning by at least 12, cut it to 8 for being away and I still see a +5.5 advantage... Loyola is winless and UC Riverside currently leads their conference... UC SB blew out loyola and covered as 18.5 point faves (in sb) and sit back in third behind riverside in the conference... Riversides covered both times they've been favored this year and Loyola failed to cover at home to cal davis (who's 6th in riversides conference) as 7.5 dogs (they're only 2.5 dogs to riverside)
I may be missing something but I'm laying the points on the road with the flat out better UC Riverside...
I also like and will play later today..
the Citadel +1.5 (I think it may go to 2, I'll play it at 1 if it starts to drop)
I've played the citadel twice this year (against elon and uncg(very bad team))and both times they covered easily...
I don't think that changes tonight as I put them winning by 3 at a neutral site. Add the home court advantage and I see them rolling by 5+. I'll take them as a dog to cal davis, a team that hasn't played well on the road lately and lost its only game as road favorite straight up...
For the NBA tonight I like the nets +5
I think the game should be around 2.5 so I'll take the 5 with a team that is coming off of 3 losses against a team that is coming off a back to back... add that to the fact that the nets will be seeking revenge for the blowout defeat on the 12th and I see the nets winning outright. I'll take the points for safe measures though!
Finally I like the Knicks +9
I see the knicks losing by 2 or so and see the spread being set around 5-5.5 definitely not as high as 9… Along with my analysis of the game, the numbers trends that support backing the Knicks tonight should be noted...:
-Since the 2002 season, a team off of a road win of 20 points or more has a 31-15 ATS record in December, 67.4%.
-Since the beginning of the 2004 season during the month of December, away dogs have cashed a ticket 54.1% of the time.
-This out of sight trend only entails playing on teams that have won two road games in a row and also playing Over the lined total in that game. In December over the past three years, you would have cashed 15 out of twenty tickets on the winning side, one push, and 17 out of 21 times on the winning total.
As lines change overnight and throughout the day I will decide when/if I want to hop on the total... I'd love for it to drop a point or two and hop on. If it stays though, I'll just put a small play on the over 223...
Hopefully Mondays the day my losing streak ends...
Locked in plays:
NY Knicks +9
NJ Nets +5
UC Riverside -2.5
Plays to lock in later:
Citadel if it falls to 1 or rises to 2
and the 223 of knicks game if it falls/small play as is...
GL