Interesting Trends for NBA Card Today
This is just something I saw a few days ago... when looking at it tonight a few games seem perfect... I haven't capped the games so these picks are purely on the trends, and are currently "possible" plays for me...
First up: Pacers +12.5
Now I'm fairly confident most people see this line and think Celtics roll--15+ points easily... Those people will probably say trends are irrelevant as each team changes from year to year. Looking at the game with an open mind however you can see that:
"Since the beginning of the 2004 season during the month of December, away dogs have cashed a ticket 54.1% of the time."
-I know I know, Celtics at home are unstoppable... however
"Playing on same-season revenge-seeking teams in November, January, February, or March, means you would have a winning record of 55.5%. If you have played the NBA before, you will know that is not a bad record to hang your hat on. Maybe same-season revenge-seeking teams in December get into the holiday spirit as they only cover the point spread 45.5% of the time."
-Celtics are of course going to be seeking revenge and what better of a month to do it (for the pacers sake) than December...
Next up is Portland -6.5 and OVER 194
"This out of sight trend only entails playing on teams that have won two road games in a row and also playing Over the lined total in that game. In December over the past three years, you would have cashed 15 out of twenty tickets on the winning side, one push, and 17 out of 21 times on the winning total."
This trend is somewhat questionable as the trailblazers haven't won 2 games in December on the road (Nov 30 and Dec 2) yet it's close enough for me...
The final trend that caught my eye contradicts the Portland -6.5 trend but is still noteworthy...
Wizards +6.5
"Since the 2002 season, a team off of a road win of 20 points or more has a 31-15 ATS record in December, 67.4%."
These aren't guarantees, locks, or even follow plays but I figured I would bring to light some trends that caught my eye in an article I read the other day... (the away dogs cashing 54% can help sway possible plays perhaps on any game...)
Once I cap the games I'll post my actual plays regarding these trends (If any)...
for now though I love Lakers -7.5 and UNC -9.5 straight, parlayed and Teased to Lakers -3 and UNC -5...
line should rise all day on both games in my mind...
First up: Pacers +12.5
Now I'm fairly confident most people see this line and think Celtics roll--15+ points easily... Those people will probably say trends are irrelevant as each team changes from year to year. Looking at the game with an open mind however you can see that:
"Since the beginning of the 2004 season during the month of December, away dogs have cashed a ticket 54.1% of the time."
-I know I know, Celtics at home are unstoppable... however
"Playing on same-season revenge-seeking teams in November, January, February, or March, means you would have a winning record of 55.5%. If you have played the NBA before, you will know that is not a bad record to hang your hat on. Maybe same-season revenge-seeking teams in December get into the holiday spirit as they only cover the point spread 45.5% of the time."
-Celtics are of course going to be seeking revenge and what better of a month to do it (for the pacers sake) than December...
Next up is Portland -6.5 and OVER 194
"This out of sight trend only entails playing on teams that have won two road games in a row and also playing Over the lined total in that game. In December over the past three years, you would have cashed 15 out of twenty tickets on the winning side, one push, and 17 out of 21 times on the winning total."
This trend is somewhat questionable as the trailblazers haven't won 2 games in December on the road (Nov 30 and Dec 2) yet it's close enough for me...
The final trend that caught my eye contradicts the Portland -6.5 trend but is still noteworthy...
Wizards +6.5
"Since the 2002 season, a team off of a road win of 20 points or more has a 31-15 ATS record in December, 67.4%."
These aren't guarantees, locks, or even follow plays but I figured I would bring to light some trends that caught my eye in an article I read the other day... (the away dogs cashing 54% can help sway possible plays perhaps on any game...)
Once I cap the games I'll post my actual plays regarding these trends (If any)...
for now though I love Lakers -7.5 and UNC -9.5 straight, parlayed and Teased to Lakers -3 and UNC -5...
line should rise all day on both games in my mind...