Romney surging on Intrade - up 7% today!

[SBR_John]

Romney Last Trade : 40.7 + 0.3

If the election was held today Obama would win. The bad news is Obama is slowly sinking.

The good news for the US is the Republicans are going to pick up enough seats in Congress to keep Obama as a lame duck. He has not passed a budget in 3 years. There will be no more tax payer giveaways to green companies/obama donors.

[Fishhead]

]Always in reply to some loser that says I'm on welfare[/B]. Plus it's the truth 85k down the shitter last year.

All RED backers believe if not RED, people live in cardboard boxes and eat Ramon noodles nightly.

It's a tremendous character flaw with them.

[Emily_Haines]

Romney Last Trade : 40.7 + 0.3

If the election was held today Obama would win. The bad news is Obama is slowly sinking.

The good news for the US is the Republicans are going to pick up enough seats in Congress to keep Obama as a lame duck. He has not passed a budget in 3 years. There will be no more tax payer giveaways to green companies/obama donors.

Seemed able to pass Obamacare. Guy could shit gold bars in your back yard and you would still bitch about him.

[DwightShrute]

Seemed able to pass Obamacare. Guy could shit gold bars in your back yard and you would still bitch about him.

if he borrowed the gold bars from China .... probably yes I assume.

[Fishhead]

Romney Last Trade : 40.7 + 0.3

If the election was held today Obama would win. The bad news is Obama is slowly sinking.

The good news for the US is the Republicans are going to pick up enough seats in Congress to keep Obama as a lame duck. He has not passed a budget in 3 years. There will be no more tax payer giveaways to green companies/obama donors.

Keep supporting the Iowa Corn farmer, please use ethonal in all your vehicles and keep eating red meat in abundance.

Thanks

Iowa farmland has doubled in value during the Obama administration, $5700 an acre to $11,400........Obama has the Iowa electoral all but wrapped up.

[eastern2]

Romney a lock ?! Lmfao

Obama up to -218 on pinny now....

[Fishhead]

Romney Last Trade : 40.7 + 0.3

If the election was held today Obama would win. The bad news is Obama is slowly sinking.

The good news for the US is the Republicans are going to pick up enough seats in Congress to keep Obama as a lame duck. He has not passed a budget in 3 years. There will be no more tax payer giveaways to green companies/obama donors.

OBAMA up to -218 at Pinny, it was as low as -180 yesterday.

Wizard, import some Costa Rican coffee and start snorting it, save a few pounds for Opie..........LOL

[SBR_John]

Romney a lock ?! Lmfao

Obama up to -218 on pinny now....

2-1 favs lose all the time. The Dems just borrowed another $15 million to run ads in Ohio where they have already out spent them 2 to 1 there. It is comical that the Dems are broke and borrowing. They don't seem as confident as some folks here.

[Fishhead]

2-1 favs lose all the time. The Dems just borrowed another $15 million to run ads in Ohio where they have already out spent them 2 to 1 there. It is comical that the Dems are broke and borrowing. They don't seem as confident as some folks here.

At what percentage????

[Fishhead]

The big political question in America right now is will Michelle Obama win the 2016 presidential election???

As of today, what would you list these odds at Mr. Walker?

Keep in mind when making these odds, the slim and few choices the RED party has to compete against her come 2016.

[stevenash]

Some people have figured out how to make money without working. You aint there yet and why you support these shitty Republicans. You say that you have it made and brag about all the money you make but the you cry and cry and support the GOP because they will give you a tax break so that you can even keep more of the money you don't need. This in a nut shell is why you and your whole party is a joke.

I like my career, I don't work to live.

I don't need to work to live.

[SBR_John]

2016? I didn't peg you as liberal FH.

How about we do something in the mid term elections assuming Obama wins?

I'll take the Republicans picks up seats and give you +250.

[Emily_Haines]

I like my career, I don't work to live.

I don't need to work to live.

A guy that has to work will always say this.

[Fishhead]

2016? I didn't peg you as liberal FH.

How about we do something in the mid term elections assuming Obama wins?

I'll take the Republicans picks up seats and give you +250.

Johnny, work on your 2012 tax deductions and stop proposing wagers to posters.

Stop working angles

[TC Woods]

Governor Deval Patrick said today that voters in the presidential race should take note of polls showing Republican nominee Mitt Romney trailing far behind President Obama in Massachusetts, the state where he both lives and once served as governor, because it should tell them something.
“He’s a resident of Massachusetts. He will vote in Massachusetts. He governed in Massachusetts. We elected him - and he is trailing 20 to 25 points. What does that tell you?” Patrick said during his monthly appearance on WTKK-FM.

[SBR_John]

Governor Deval Patrick said today that voters in the presidential race should take note of polls showing Republican nominee Mitt Romney trailing far behind President Obama in Massachusetts, the state where he both lives and once served as governor, because it should tell them something.
“He’s a resident of Massachusetts. He will vote in Massachusetts. He governed in Massachusetts. We elected him - and he is trailing 20 to 25 points. What does that tell you?” Patrick said during his monthly appearance on WTKK-FM.

Tells you how weak the President is to trail this guy in the national polls as a sitting president.

[Fishhead]

Governor Deval Patrick said today that voters in the presidential race should take note of polls showing Republican nominee Mitt Romney trailing far behind President Obama in Massachusetts, the state where he both lives and once served as governor, because it should tell them something.
“He’s a resident of Massachusetts. He will vote in Massachusetts. He governed in Massachusetts. We elected him - and he is trailing 20 to 25 points. What does that tell you?” Patrick said during his monthly appearance on WTKK-FM.

It's a valid point.

Not that Nevada needs it(Obama huge fav here now), but yesterday was able to convince 5 ROMNESIA backers to vote for Obama........this was one of the points that I brought to their attention.

My speech was given at the Southpoint Casino in south Las Vegas.

[eastern2]

2-1 favs lose all the time. The Dems just borrowed another $15 million to run ads in Ohio where they have already out spent them 2 to 1 there. It is comical that the Dems are broke and borrowing. They don't seem as confident as some folks here.

So ur pretty confident Romneys gonna right? He's basically like a 6-7 pt underdog if this was a football game and that's pretty steep

[stevenash]

The big political question in America right now is will Michelle Obama win the 2016 presidential election???

As of today, what would you list these odds at Mr. Walker?

Keep in mind when making these odds, the slim and few choices the RED party has to compete against her come 2016.

Hil is the front runner right now for you party, not Michelle.

Every time you open your mouth, you expose your stupidity.
You are like Emily stupid.

[opie1988]

A guy that has to work will always say this.

A jobless brokedikk fukk will always say this.

[Emily_Haines]

Hil is the front runner right now for you party, not Michelle.

Every time you open your mouth, you expose your stupidity.
You are like Emily stupid.

Isn't funny how the guy that works continually calls the guys who don't stupid. Then he acts like he enjoys working and being told what to do.

[SBR_John]

So ur pretty confident Romneys gonna right? He's basically like a 6-7 pt underdog if this was a football game and that's pretty steep

I'm not that confident. My point was 6 point dogs win outright all the time. Also, Romney was a 15 point dog two weeks ago and the line is still dropping. That's some heavy steam. The Dems are not borrowing money and outspending Republicans in Ohio because they are confident its a wrap. They are desperate to stop the slide and that's a telling sign.

[Fishhead]

Johnny, work on your 2012 tax deductions and stop proposing wagers to posters.

Stop working angles

This Walker character keeps offerring side bets in enormous proportions with posters(he wants posters to post up six figures with some of his offers, lol), MEANWHILE...................

His SBR SPORTSBOOK has 300 pts(a "I got flused at SBR t-shirt will cost one 294 pts in the store) limits on the election..................LMFAO.

Heaven forbid the limits could be 3000 and someone could garnish 11 t-shirts with their savvy play.

[SBR_John]

This Walker character keeps offerring side bets in enormous proportions with posters(he wants posters to post up six figures with some of his offers, lol), MEANWHILE...................

His SBR SPORTSBOOK has 300 pts(a "I got flused at SBR t-shirt will cost one 294 pts in the store) limits on the election..................LMFAO.

You actually replied to yourself?

[Fishhead]

You actually replied to yourself?

This is what you should do on your TO DO LIST today.

1. Work on 2012 tax deductions
2. Golf 18 holes
3. Raise limits to 5000 on election in SBR BOOK
4. Hedge off a large portion of your Romnesia wagers
5. Contimplate the fiasco surrounding the JJgold departure.

I make you a +900 underdog to accomplish all five..............................a -599 favorite if I were to omit #3

[stevenash]

Isn't funny how the guy that works continually calls the guys who don't stupid. Then he acts like he enjoys working and being told what to do.

Umm, my hobby is computers, which is also my career, I like what I do for a living, I get compensated handsomely for what I enjoy doing, I also get a 90 percent pension when I retire, and nobody really tells me what to do, I know what I have to do, and I do it pretty much to perfection, which is why I get compensated as well as I do.

How you doing?

Not as well as I am, I know this because you constantly bitch and moan on how life has wronged you.

Once again, normal people don't obsess over nameless, faceless internet posters that sucked out on you with an ace-nine, sorry, bad beats happen, but like I said, normal people just say "nice suck out dude, today is your lucky day' and get over it 90 seconds later.

Normal people don't troll four months later.

You sir, need help, you are not normal.

[Emily_Haines]

Umm, my hobby is computers, which is also my career, I like what I do for a living, I get compensated handsomely for what I enjoy doing, I also get a 90 percent pension when I retire, and nobody really tells me what to do, I know what I have to do, and I do it pretty much to perfection, which is why I get compensated as well as I do.

How you doing?

Not as well as I am, I know this because you constantly bitch and moan on how life has wronged you.

Once again, normal people don't obsess over nameless, faceless internet posters that sucked out on you with an ace-nine, sorry, bad beats happen, but like I said, normal people just say "nice suck out dude, today is your lucky day' and get over it 90 seconds later.

Normal people don't troll four months later.

You sir, need help, you are not normal.

LOL idiot. I'm doing good enough that I don't need to work unlike you.

[Fishhead]

LOL idiot. I'm doing good enough that I don't need to work unlike you.

[Emily_Haines]

How Gamblers -- History's Most Accurate Election Forecasters -- Are Betting on 2012

I don't like uncertainty. The current presidential polls -- Gallup with Romney leading by three percent, CBS with Obama up by two percent, aggregators split on whose nose is ahead -- are a hotbed of uncertainty. Fortunately there are veritable election oracles I can turn to instead: gamblers.

In 2004, Gallup failed to forecast the winner of the popular vote for president -- for the second straight election. Halfway through Election Day 2004, various exit polls showed Kerry with the lead. Meanwhile 91 percent of bettors on Betfair.com had their money on Bush. The betting markets also were correct on the winner in each of the 50 states.

Before the 2008 election, I spoke to Koleman Strumpf, a University of Kansas economics professor who tracks betting trends. "Relative to the polls, the betting markets have to think hard about what they're saying since they are putting their money at stake," he said. "Also polls tend to reflect what people are thinking at a given moment, versus a forecast of what will happen on election day -- post-convention bounces, for instance."

Added Paulick Report editor Ray Paulick, one of America's top horseracing handicappers and a political prediction markets aficionado, "Gamblers have more experience with cheaters. They take voter fraud into their metrics. Polls don't. Nor do polls take into account intangibles like how each state's secretary of state factors in or systems within a state designed to eliminate voters."

In 2008, 90 percent of gamblers correctly forecast an Obama victory. They were also on the money with 48 of 50 states.

Gamblers' success in this arena is nothing new. In presidential races beginning in 1896, the New York Times, Sun, and World provided daily betting quotes. The papers' sources were bookies who had agents at every stump and whistle-stop to gather intel and quantify popular sentiment. Between 1884 and 1940, the bettors erred on just one of sixteen elections, Wilson's 1916 upset of Hughes.

Ironically, polls sent gamblers to the sideline. "Prior to Gallup's introduction in 1936, newspapers had little to report about the election horse race other than the betting markets," Strumpf explains. "When scientific polls came along, newspapers had something to report other than markets they were oftentimes uncomfortable with."
The same discomfort led to states relegating such gamblers to outlaws. The Internet has given rise to new forums, however. As of this writing, betting at the three biggest prediction markets is as follows: Betfair has Obama with a 64 percent chance to win to Romney's 36 percent; Intrade has the president at 58 percent; and the Iowa Electronic Markets have the president at 59 percent. Oddschecker shows bookmakers to be even more bullish on Obama.

Why are the polls and gamblers so far apart?

"The answer highlights one of the main differences between the polls and markets like Intrade," Intrade's exchange operations manager Carl Wolfenden told me. "The polls ask who you're going to vote for -- a question that requires an emotional response. Intrade asks who you think will win -- a rational question that requires someone to look at the facts and real world events, such as polls, debates, speeches, gaffes, scandals and crises. One of these facts is the Electoral College, which isn't accounted for in polls."

Why the big lead for Obama?

"Our markets recognize that Romney probably needs to win Ohio to beat Obama," Wolfenden says. "And so the price for Obama to be reelected has closely tracked his probability of winning Ohio. So while Romney may lead in the polls, and he may have flipped a number of other key states -- such as Florida, Virginia, Colorado -- to his side of the ledger, our markets appear to believe that without Ohio he can't get it done."

Strumpf adds: "I think the big message in this election cycle is that polls are giving conflicting answers, and unless you are willing to look at several state-level polls, it is hard to make sense of it all. The prediction markets like Intrade cut through all this and give us a single number to focus on."

Still, the consensus among gamblers isn't as strong as in the last two elections. At approximately 3-2 odds, is the outcome in this election any more certain than that of a horse race?

"I much prefer this kind of 60-40 probability than I would in a horse race," says Paulick. "In a match race between two horses over a course of one-and-a-quarter miles, a lot of things can go suddenly wrong. The election is more of a marathon, a four-year race. Short of a huge scandal, I can't see an outcome other than Obama's reelection."

[stevenash]

LOL idiot. I'm doing good enough that I don't need to work unlike you.

No you are not, if you did, you wouldn't need to post that you did.

You own your own property? I do.
You married? I am.
You're retirement guaranteed? Mine is.

I don't know you, and I really don't want to, but I would venture to guess my life is worlds better than yours.
Worlds better.

Know why? I don't complain about my life like you do.

[Emily_Haines]

No you are not, if you did, you wouldn't need to post that you did.

You own your own property? I do.
You married? I am.
You're retirement guaranteed? Mine is.

I don't know you, and I really don't want to, but I would venture to guess my life is worlds better than yours.
Worlds better.

Know why? I don't complain about my life like you do.

How barren and empty is your life that you need to continually post on a shitty gambling site how great it is. Almost can't make it up. I didn't know you were married. You can thank your lucky stars for the liberals that you're state allows same sex marriage.

[Pew Pew]

This is what you should do on your TO DO LIST today.

1. Work on 2012 tax deductions
2. Golf 18 holes
3. Raise limits to 5000 on election in SBR BOOK
4. Hedge off a large portion of your Romnesia wagers
5. Contimplate the fiasco surrounding the JJgold departure.

I make you a +900 underdog to accomplish all five..............................a -599 favorite if I were to omit #3

john been dodging this the whole time. john's scared. very scared, so he ignores. have some balls john. show us your confidence in romney by action not talk bruh

[TC Woods]

The middle class has really suffered under Romney's GOP House Republican obstruction / blockage of Obama's economic policy legislation for the last four years!
Not a single piece of significant economic legislation put forth by the President has even been allowed to come to the House floor for a vote due to Republican filibusters----numbering in the 70's during the course of the Presidents term in office, thus far!
To the extent that Obama started to take his own 'Administrative Measures', not requiring Congressional consent, in order to bring some relief to the middle-class and trying to keep the economy moving in the right direction. DOES ANYONE PAY ATTENTION TO THE NEWS ANY MORE?
Now Romney and the GOP have the 'balls' to say it's the Presidents economic policies that are responsible for the suffering middle-class and slow recovery. What a crock of Lies!!!

[DwightShrute]

The middle class has really suffered under Romney's GOP House Republican obstruction / blockage of Obama's economic policy legislation for the last four years!
Not a single piece of significant economic legislation put forth by the President has even been allowed to come to the House floor for a vote due to Republican filibusters----numbering in the 70's during the course of the Presidents term in office, thus far!
To the extent that Obama started to take his own 'Administrative Measures', not requiring Congressional consent, in order to bring some relief to the middle-class and trying to keep the economy moving in the right direction. DOES ANYONE PAY ATTENTION TO THE NEWS ANY MORE?
Now Romney and the GOP have the 'balls' to say it's the Presidents economic policies that are responsible for the suffering middle-class and slow recovery. What a crock of Lies!!!

this post is a crock of lies also. Obama has had every opportunity to move towards the center like Clinton did. Clinton said "screw it" if I am gonna to get anything done I am gonna have to work with the GOP.

King Obama on the other hand, rather do this blame game bullshit hoping someone will buy it. Looks like you did. You aren't the only one. How many budgets does Harry Reid have on his desk? As the Senate leader he doesn't have to bring them to the floor for a vote. He and Obama rather waste 2 or 4 or 6 more years than to do what is best for the country and do their job.

That is why Clinton was a good president and why Obama is one of the worst ever.

[Fishhead]

john been dodging this the whole time. john's scared. very scared, so he ignores. have some balls john. show us your confidence in romney by action not talk bruh

The SBR sportsbook(if operated correctly, which it is not), could have made thousands and thousands of SBR pts on the election............instead, they deal 300 pt limits on a 30 cent line.