Green Bay -7.5, unload ladies and gents

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  • chase hardy
    SBR MVP
    • 01-07-10
    • 1324

    #1
    Green Bay -7.5, unload ladies and gents
    What a year, last year public won first 7 weeks of nfl and this year things have came back to real life. This will be my largest wager of the nfl season this year. I have this bet at 3 different books and to be honest this is about 75% of my roll.

    I just dont see New Orleans having a chance in this game . Their play calling is not the same without payton. Green Bay will demolish this secondary of New Orleans. Greg Jennings will have a field day. The saints are not the saints we have come to know and the line tells u that. No use in buying down to 7, Dont see it even being close to the number.

    Bookmaker : 2,200/2000
    5 dimes: 1,100/1000
    Heritage 2,200/2000

    Gl with your wagers this weekend!! Pound the books.

    P.S. I know brock will get sucked into New Orleans.
  • redsoxfreak91
    Restricted User
    • 10-17-11
    • 903

    #2
    saints win by allowing ten more points than green bay allowed
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Packers do not very easy although line stating steady
      Good luck chase
      Comment
      • Pete0
        SBR MVP
        • 04-09-10
        • 3849

        #4
        Interesting pick.

        Good luck and thanks for posting.
        Comment
        • Seaweed
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 01-19-12
          • 26318

          #5
          This is the biggest Square play in the history of Squares
          Comment
          • gauchojake
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 09-17-10
            • 34116

            #6
            5 and a half dimes with a hook. Jeez
            Comment
            • Seaweed
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 01-19-12
              • 26318

              #7
              Chase, i am honest when i tell you this. You will not be happy sunday evening if you stay with this play.

              I had a dream last night that fulfilled my methodology.

              I was watching the Raiders game on CBS when the score update appeared at the bottom reading New Orleans 10 Green Bay 3 1Q. I then had a vision of SBR Players talk with threads being bumped and threads being started accusing Green Bay. I then had a flash to the half time report and Chris Menefee doing the highlights of a 17-10 New Orleans half-time lead. I then woke up smiling. Not sure how the second half finished but that should tell you enough not to take this game.
              Comment
              • Seaweed
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 01-19-12
                • 26318

                #8
                Comment
                • probettor1
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-22-11
                  • 1985

                  #9
                  The Saints are still averaging 27.7 per game, but the Packers are down to a mere 19.0. Rodgers has been sacked more than anyone, going down eight times in the first half Monday to bring that season total to 16.
                  Saits are 0-3 and ready to bleed out.
                  Brees rate this year and last year is better that aaron.
                  Worst of all ATS over a TD

                  I'm not saying you are going to lose but i would pay anything to know your handicapping secrets to bet most of your bankroll in this game. Any way the fact that you are betting 75% of your bankroll is a clear sign of unclear judgment. Good thing is after the wheel spins no number is safe. It could be a good time to visit the shrink after the money management get out of control.


                  But dont sweat it, i'm just a troller, wanna be bettor.
                  Comment
                  • The Seer
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-29-07
                    • 10641

                    #10
                    Don't do it
                    Comment
                    • MoneyLineDawg
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-01-09
                      • 13253

                      #11
                      Seems bad not buying the hook for 75% of your roll
                      Comment
                      • Riceboi
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-03-11
                        • 857

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Seaweed
                        Chase, i am honest when i tell you this. You will not be happy sunday evening if you stay with this play.

                        I had a dream last night that fulfilled my methodology.

                        I was watching the Raiders game on CBS when the score update appeared at the bottom reading New Orleans 10 Green Bay 3 1Q. I then had a vision of SBR Players talk with threads being bumped and threads being started accusing Green Bay. I then had a flash to the half time report and Chris Menefee doing the highlights of a 17-10 New Orleans half-time lead. I then woke up smiling. Not sure how the second half finished but that should tell you enough not to take this game.
                        this seems legit.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Packers win by 28. OK kidding but Pack does win by double-digits. People knocking them for offensive production being down and for Rodgers getting sacked so much are completely ignoring the schedule they have faced so far. This is the week Green Bay busts loose vs. the worst defense in the NFL. Oh and I haven't even touched on how improved the Green Bay defense is this year, teams can't just double-team Mathews any more like they did last year.
                          Comment
                          • Vinnie Paz
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-27-12
                            • 12177

                            #14
                            Agreed pack ROLL
                            TT over whatever for me as well.
                            Comment
                            • chase hardy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-07-10
                              • 1324

                              #15
                              Calling me a square... Public is all over saints. Saints cannot compete in this game.
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by chase hardy
                                Calling me a square... Public is all over saints. Saints cannot compete in this game.
                                Action is basically 50/50, that is not a factor.
                                Comment
                                • chase hardy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-07-10
                                  • 1324

                                  #17
                                  Thanks lt. Good luck this weekend.
                                  Comment
                                  • PocketAA
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 11-01-11
                                    • 63

                                    #18
                                    I think the best bet for this game is the under... Think it's at 53
                                    Comment
                                    • Rich Boy
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-01-09
                                      • 9714

                                      #19
                                      Saints are way more desperate than Pack right now. Brees is hungry, he will dominate.
                                      Comment
                                      • d2bets
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 39995

                                        #20
                                        Saints ML is the play.
                                        Comment
                                        • Seaweed
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 01-19-12
                                          • 26318

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Riceboi
                                          this seems legit.
                                          Thanks
                                          Comment
                                          • Aberyst
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 11-28-11
                                            • 68

                                            #22
                                            pinnacle holding -9 whole week..
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Aberyst
                                              pinnacle holding -9 whole week..
                                              Because teasing Green Bay -7.5 is GOLD.
                                              Comment
                                              • Aberyst
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 11-28-11
                                                • 68

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                Because teasing Green Bay -7.5 is GOLD.
                                                true, I didn´t consider this angle.. barely play teasers.. do we hammer the packers? this really looks like a solid play
                                                I doubt the number will go below 7,5..
                                                Comment
                                                • onlooker
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 36572

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  Packers win by 28. OK kidding but Pack does win by double-digits. People knocking them for offensive production being down and for Rodgers getting sacked so much are completely ignoring the schedule they have faced so far. This is the week Green Bay busts loose vs. the worst defense in the NFL. Oh and I haven't even touched on how improved the Green Bay defense is this year, teams can't just double-team Mathews any more like they did last year.
                                                  The same can be said about their defensive numbers being skewed, just like their offensive numbers. The Packers haven't faced the best offensive teams the first three weeks, and yet they gave up 30 points to the 49ers. Not the most explosive offense in the NFL.

                                                  This game should be back and forth, and no way could I lay 7.5 points with the Packers.

                                                  Good luck, I hope you cash Chase.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • neverstoppers23
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 6302

                                                    #26
                                                    there are better picks on the board. i see this being a close game, both teams great offenses bad defenses.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by onlooker
                                                      The same can be said about their defensive numbers being skewed, just like their offensive numbers. The Packers haven't faced the best offensive teams the first three weeks, and yet they gave up 30 points to the 49ers. Not the most explosive offense in the NFL.

                                                      This game should be back and forth, and no way could I lay 7.5 points with the Packers.

                                                      Good luck, I hope you cash Chase.
                                                      I disagree because their defense was SUPPOSED to be improved this year, they drafted Perry so that Mathews won't get beat up again. So it is not as if the improvement has been surprising. They should make enough stops to cover, it's not like they need to totally shut Saints down because Pack may score 40.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • onlooker
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 08-10-05
                                                        • 36572

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                        I disagree because their defense was SUPPOSED to be improved this year, they drafted Perry so that Mathews won't get beat up again. So it is not as if the improvement has been surprising. They should make enough stops to cover, it's not like they need to totally shut Saints down because Pack may score 40.
                                                        Not saying it isn't improved, it may or may not be, but the numbers are skewed to this point.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • flyboy
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 02-10-12
                                                          • 748

                                                          #29
                                                          I say the best play for this game is no play at all and I live not far from Green Bay.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rumnblack
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 05-21-12
                                                            • 876

                                                            #30
                                                            Saints will play well at some point, even if its not enough to get them to the play-offs, so i'll take the points.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kfranz31
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-09-10
                                                              • 1186

                                                              #31
                                                              i bet the aints three weeks in a row and got dusted and wll not bet against them after losing three straight.... they might jack me again
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Urbanwildlife
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-06-11
                                                                • 5958

                                                                #32
                                                                .....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Stevedore
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-10-10
                                                                  • 1218

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I'm going to have to see it first..Rodgers and GB receivers have looked like garbage this year.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Stevedore
                                                                    I'm going to have to see it first..Rodgers and GB receivers have looked like garbage this year.

                                                                    so out of sink,,,been mentioning this since start of yr, they even looked bad in preseason (not that typically means much), but the interviews i heard Rodgers doing in offseason talking like they dont even need to run kinda sent off flags for me..seems they are trying to transform jordy into the 1 and it just not a role he ready or possibly not capable of filling, i mean most his plays last year were him getting 1 on 1 and running the go route, they really need jennings to retake his spot as the 1 and drawing the attention as he a complete wr as nelson is not,,,i think the one silver lining is they are starting to find ways that cobb could add a extra sick dimension if they get it all figured out,,,maybe they learned their lesson a little in that second half of sea gm as things got a lot easier when they utilized the run gm, as bad as they wanna prove they dont gotta run and as much as this is a passing league you still have to at least have the threat of a ground gm, this would be the week to do just that as aints have been getting blown off the ball...i wouldn't say the sky is falling and on the bright side the d is playing much better this yr so if they actually figure it out offensively which id say is a good bet to happen they may not have the record but could possibly be more dangerous down the line..

                                                                    far as this gm goes who the hell knows, aints defensive personal is avg at best and only time spags had success as a dcord or head coach was when he had a dline full of freaks and pretty sure most guys could have looked good with that nyg front 4... if pack play balanced and/or even run heavy early in this gm i think things will get a lot better for them in a hurry but mccarthy is about as stubborn as reid when it comes to this..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Goat Milk
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                                      • 25850

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by d2bets
                                                                      Saints ML is the play.
                                                                      explain...

                                                                      these types of comments aren't helpful to anyone

                                                                      no point to post these 1 liners.

                                                                      then you come back if you're right

                                                                      and vanish into the shadows if you're not
                                                                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                      Comment
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