NCAAF Beat a closing line for Saturday 9.29

[Louisvillekid1]

GOGOGOGOGOGOGOGOGO!

[Louisvillekid1]

I'll Start USF +15.5...

[Louisvillekid1]

bump

[agharah1]

I took Clemson -11.5 vs boston college. I expect this line to be over 2 tds by kickoff.

[gojetsgomoxies]

ohio state +2.5 @ MSU

[Louisvillekid1]

I took Clemson -11.5 vs boston college. I expect this line to be over 2 tds by kickoff.

Im seeing 10 everywhere ...GL

[Louisvillekid1]

I'll Start USF +15.5...

Just want to be clear I have not locked this is, and its probably going to be my only play this saturday... watching line closely, predicting some RLM here...

[The Seer]

Just want to be clear I have locked this is, and its probably going to be my only play this saturday... watching line closely, predicting some RLM here...

there will be a flood of public money on the seminoles

[Louisvillekid1]

there will be a flood of public money on the seminoles

Yupp would love to get 17 here but I think books want FSU action and might see some RLM

I wouldn't be shocked if FSU National Title hopes die next saturday...

[FindTheLock]

I'd be careful backing USF. They are very bad this season. Daniels is not going to have fun against the seminoles. Raymond James will probably have more FSU fans in the stadium than USF. I think the line will move closer to 17 before it moves toward 14. I think FSU rolls by 4 TD's or more. I went to the rutgers game and daniels doesn't even look to his sides for blitzes. He just runs the play the coach calls in without thinking about what the defense is doing. I was watching his head locked straight forward, and he missed some chances to throw a screen when he had an overload of receivers on the side of the field rutgers was blitzing on. He is not too bright, and he under throws his receivers. The coach isn't all that great either. Rutgers out coached USF in that game.

[Louisvillekid1]

I'd be careful backing USF. They are very bad this season. Daniels is not going to have fun against the seminoles. Raymond James will probably have more FSU fans in the stadium than USF. I think the line will move closer to 17 before it moves toward 14. I think FSU rolls by 4 TD's or more. I went to the rutgers game and daniels doesn't even look to his sides for blitzes. He just runs the play the coach calls in without thinking about what the defense is doing. I was watching his head locked straight forward, and he missed some chances to throw a screen when he had an overload of receivers on the side of the field rutgers was blitzing on. He is not too bright, and he under throws his receivers. The coach isn't all that great either. Rutgers out coached USF in that game.

Good points here... But as a spot play, I'd love to be able to 17 here...

[Urbanwildlife]

Absolutely love FSU here and I locked in for a considerable sum at 16.5. Also really really love the Minnesota line +7 at Iowa.

[buckethead22]

I'm all over houston -4.5. They had a bye week and need a win baaaad. Also Texas Tech -2.5 over Iowa St sounds good to me. Going to hammer those.

[agharah1]

I'm all over houston -4.5. They had a bye week and need a win baaaad. Also Texas Tech -2.5 over Iowa St sounds good to me. Going to hammer those.

TTU opened as a pick'em. Good luck.

[FindTheLock]

I was actually thinking about betting a dime on the noles -15.5 which is a very large bet for me. I just can't picture USF hanging in the game for very long. Do you have any reason why you think USF should be able to win? I don't see them having any advantage. I live in tampa so I follow USF, and they are not the same team without leavitt. Plus they're trying to improve their academic standards, so their recruiting seems to be taking a hit compared to years past. They are trying to get smarter instead of better at football, but they are one of those teams who lose to bad teams and beat good teams; however, I just don't see it happening in this game. Just my opinion though. I was shocked the line was so low to be honest. USF doesn't pose much of a threat because Daniels is one dimensional and he sucks at getting the ball out in front of his receivers. USF does have some good receivers that make daniels look way better than he is, so if they break a couple of big plays then maybe they could cover the 15.5.

[OKsoccer24]

Missou +2.5
West Virginia -12.5
Stanford -7
FSU -16

[Louisvillekid1]

I was actually thinking about betting a dime on the noles -15.5 which is a very large bet for me. I just can't picture USF hanging in the game for very long. Do you have any reason why you think USF should be able to win? I don't see them having any advantage. I live in tampa so I follow USF, and they are not the same team without leavitt. Plus they're trying to improve their academic standards, so their recruiting seems to be taking a hit compared to years past. They are trying to get smarter instead of better at football, but they are one of those teams who lose to bad teams and beat good teams; however, I just don't see it happening in this game. Just my opinion though. I was shocked the line was so low to be honest. USF doesn't pose much of a threat because Daniels is one dimensional and he sucks at getting the ball out in front of his receivers. USF does have some good receivers that make daniels look way better than he is, so if they break a couple of big plays then maybe they could cover the 15.5.

I'll try and get a write up later in the week when I lock in the best #.... but This is USF's super bowl and FSU thinking they just going to roll them. USF underachieving so far this year, I think you get a huge effort in this spot @ home under the lights and maybe get some of those big plays you speak off while catching FSU off guard....

[BuddyBear]

Wisconsin +13

[Urbanwildlife]

Sorry but Wisconsin is pathetic, and I personally would not even take them if the line was +20. Yes they are that bad!

[Noles1992]

Louisville.. They caught us of guard 2 years ago and beat us, not sure that will happen again. Plus half the Tampa stadium will be Noles fans, so not sure if home field will be that relevant.IMO..Gl luck on your play !

I'll try and get a write up later in the week when I lock in the best #.... but This is USF's super bowl and FSU thinking they just going to roll them. USF underachieving so far this year, I think you get a huge effort in this spot @ home under the lights and maybe get some of those big plays you speak off while catching FSU off guard....

[marcojuiceman]

Be very careful South Florida has a D

[CanuckG]

Washington Huskies and Cougars both cover

[survive]

i know this is the game of the year for USF and a let down spot for FSU, but daniels and USF just look so atrocious i dont see why FSU shouldn't win by 21+. as someone mentioned above minnesota +7 looks solid...iowa just not good and the minn backup qb looked good vs cuse saturday

[DStaXX]

Leans
Nebraska -13.5
FSU -16
Clemson -10
Minnesota +7
SJSU -2.5
Texas -2.5

[Pistol_Peter]

I'm all over houston -4.5. They had a bye week and need a win baaaad. Also Texas Tech -2.5 over Iowa St sounds good to me. Going to hammer those.

Be careful with that bet. This is a cross town rival game and since the last 4 years, this game has gone back and forth in the win column. Not too sure what the over is, but I would be more inclined to take that bet. Both teams have no defense.

[RonPaul2008]

It's interesting that almost all the posts are about spreads, but it's easier to beat the closing line significantly on totals.

[easysaid]

Southern Missisipi +10.5
UL Monroe -20 over Tulane
TCU -17 over SMU
Boston College +10

[sneakerhead]

Oregon -29
square city yuuup...

[stevenash]

UCONN homer checking in.
Know this team well.
Nice little 8-5, 7-6 team this year, will go to the Meinke Bowl or something minor in December, but the team isn't built to beat anybody by 3 TD's.

Buffalo +19, big overlay here, UCONN should be -13 not -19.

Buffalo, for the cover

[El Nino]

Im seeing 10 everywhere ...GL

Down to -9.5 lots of $ came in on BC

[Dan Kelly]

ohio state +2.5 @ MSU

OhioSt +3 -120
I bought the hook at Bookmaker.eu

[Dan Kelly]

Sorry but Wisconsin is pathetic, and I personally would not even take them if the line was +20. Yes they are that bad!

I should have started fading Wisconsin when Russell Wilson won the starting job at Seattle

[Louisvillekid1]

Good early discussion in this thread, keep it going

[Philyerglesion76]

As someone new to betting, what do you mean? Are you talking about O/U?

...but it's easier to beat the closing line significantly on totals.

Thanks.

[Louisvillekid1]

As someone new to betting, what do you mean? Are you talking about O/U?



Thanks.

Yes sir, any other questions please ask... Your at the right place, and welcome to the site!