It's 3:30 am...check in if ur buried and can't sleep
Why were we looking forward to football season?
Mriceyman
SBR Sharp
11-06-11
478
#2
lol its Awful
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HawkEye
SBR High Roller
08-13-10
237
#3
Exactly... Yet we always come back and think we have a good shot. It's depressing.
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tony_come
SBR Posting Legend
03-31-10
21695
#4
Can't sleep
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Deuce
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
01-12-08
29843
#5
Not buried.
Watching tv
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tony_come
SBR Posting Legend
03-31-10
21695
#6
Watchin porn but not buried
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The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#7
I'm on the verge of jumping.
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TheCentaur
SBR Hall of Famer
06-28-11
8108
#8
I think we can get unburied by middling the UL Monroe game on friday. Get em at +7.5 now and lay Baylor at -5 at gametime....then pow Baylor wins by 6 or 7
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jbart28
SBR MVP
04-16-11
3387
#9
capping baseball and tennis where the lines aren't sharper than an a terrorists box cutter on a jet airliner.
College football has some good spots weekly but the NFL has too much parody which leads to high variance.
Arizona straight up at NE? ORLY? penetrate me with lube at least. that is like Kentucky losing to Ole Miss at Lexington in college hoops.
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TwoWays
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-10
13145
#10
Originally posted by TheCentaur
I think we can get unburied by middling the UL Monroe game on friday. Get em at +7.5 now and lay Baylor at -5 at gametime....then pow Baylor wins by 6 or 7
Lol, bad plan man. If you want to middle play live lines. You can in the meanwhile study this international bb game coming up in 2 hours.
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TwoWays
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-10
13145
#11
Other than that, taking some sleeping pills and overfeed yourself, then go to bed.
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TheCentaur
SBR Hall of Famer
06-28-11
8108
#12
Originally posted by The Giant
I'm on the verge of jumping.
Ur badges suggest u aren't buried though, unless you bet real money differently
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TheCentaur
SBR Hall of Famer
06-28-11
8108
#13
Originally posted by TwoWays
Lol, bad plan man. If you want to middle play live lines. You can in the meanwhile study this international bb game coming up in 2 hours.
Normally I don't try to look for middles but this spread moving down 2 or 3 points by gametime is a lock
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The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#14
Originally posted by TheCentaur
Ur badges suggest u aren't buried though, unless you bet real money differently
Most of those badges were pre-football season.
Anyway, who lies about losing? I'm hitting about 18% this football season.
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TwoWays
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-10
13145
#15
Originally posted by TheCentaur
Normally I don't try to look for middles but this spread moving down 2 or 3 points by gametime is a lock
Trust me, you will definitely get a larger margin with in-game betting on this game. No need to sweat over 2-3 points when you can sweat over 14 points or so
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TheCentaur
SBR Hall of Famer
06-28-11
8108
#16
Originally posted by The Giant
Most of those badges were pre-football season.
Anyway, who lies about losing? I'm hitting about 18% this football season.
Yikes
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TheCentaur
SBR Hall of Famer
06-28-11
8108
#17
Originally posted by TwoWays
Trust me, you will definitely get a larger margin with in-game betting on this game. No need to sweat over 2-3 points when you can sweat over 14 points or so
Do you use several books for this or one
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TwoWays
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-10
13145
#18
No just one book. You could have gotten the Falcon game total at 55 + when they scored early. Then it dropped to the mid to low 40s in the second quarter. Did this game not middle? Same thing happened in the 49er game. If you believe that NFL games and single games on a given day have sharp lines, isn't this the better route?
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TheCentaur
SBR Hall of Famer
06-28-11
8108
#19
Originally posted by TwoWays
No just one book. You could have gotten the Falcon game total at 55 + when they scored early. Then it dropped to the mid to low 40s in the second quarter. Did this game not middle? Same thing happened in the 49er game. If you believe that NFL games and single games on a given day have sharp lines, isn't this the better route?
Middling live totals...I'm going to look into this thanks
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ChalkyDog
SBR Hall of Famer
10-02-11
9598
#20
It's tough, teams coming out unexpected this year - not as easy as last year. Hell, I remember a week when if you simply laid chalk - you won every single wager.
Adjust or bust. Week 4 of CFB, week 3 of NFL - these teams are close to putting exactly who they are on paper for us cappers to analyze.
I know I laid off a lot of action this week, and cleaned up in comparison to last week. In the NFL, I came into this week with the idea of simply live betting the games, as the numbers out there currently aren't representative - gotta see how they play a bit first. Played 3 games pre-game, played many more live.
Best time of the year, gents. Don't blow your load chucking darts in the first couple weeks.
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AribaAriba
SBR MVP
04-03-09
2922
#21
u wont win wagering in any sports base on guts and so called analysis LOL if u look at the number and have some sort of models, that will bring you to the promise land.