It's 3:30 am...check in if ur buried and can't sleep

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  • TheCentaur
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-28-11
    • 8108

    #1
    It's 3:30 am...check in if ur buried and can't sleep
    Why were we looking forward to football season?
  • Mriceyman
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-06-11
    • 478

    #2
    lol its Awful
    Comment
    • HawkEye
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-13-10
      • 237

      #3
      Exactly... Yet we always come back and think we have a good shot. It's depressing.
      Comment
      • tony_come
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-31-10
        • 21695

        #4
        Can't sleep
        Comment
        • Deuce
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 01-12-08
          • 29843

          #5
          Not buried.

          Watching tv
          Comment
          • tony_come
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-31-10
            • 21695

            #6
            Watchin porn but not buried
            Comment
            • The Giant
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-21-12
              • 21480

              #7
              I'm on the verge of jumping.
              Comment
              • TheCentaur
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-28-11
                • 8108

                #8
                I think we can get unburied by middling the UL Monroe game on friday. Get em at +7.5 now and lay Baylor at -5 at gametime....then pow Baylor wins by 6 or 7
                Comment
                • jbart28
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-16-11
                  • 3387

                  #9
                  capping baseball and tennis where the lines aren't sharper than an a terrorists box cutter on a jet airliner.

                  College football has some good spots weekly but the NFL has too much parody which leads to high variance.

                  Arizona straight up at NE? ORLY? penetrate me with lube at least. that is like Kentucky losing to Ole Miss at Lexington in college hoops.
                  Comment
                  • TwoWays
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-24-10
                    • 13145

                    #10
                    Originally posted by TheCentaur
                    I think we can get unburied by middling the UL Monroe game on friday. Get em at +7.5 now and lay Baylor at -5 at gametime....then pow Baylor wins by 6 or 7
                    Lol, bad plan man. If you want to middle play live lines. You can in the meanwhile study this international bb game coming up in 2 hours.
                    Comment
                    • TwoWays
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 13145

                      #11
                      Other than that, taking some sleeping pills and overfeed yourself, then go to bed.
                      Comment
                      • TheCentaur
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-28-11
                        • 8108

                        #12
                        Originally posted by The Giant
                        I'm on the verge of jumping.
                        Ur badges suggest u aren't buried though, unless you bet real money differently
                        Comment
                        • TheCentaur
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-28-11
                          • 8108

                          #13
                          Originally posted by TwoWays
                          Lol, bad plan man. If you want to middle play live lines. You can in the meanwhile study this international bb game coming up in 2 hours.
                          Normally I don't try to look for middles but this spread moving down 2 or 3 points by gametime is a lock
                          Comment
                          • The Giant
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-21-12
                            • 21480

                            #14
                            Originally posted by TheCentaur
                            Ur badges suggest u aren't buried though, unless you bet real money differently
                            Most of those badges were pre-football season.

                            Anyway, who lies about losing? I'm hitting about 18% this football season.
                            Comment
                            • TwoWays
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-24-10
                              • 13145

                              #15
                              Originally posted by TheCentaur
                              Normally I don't try to look for middles but this spread moving down 2 or 3 points by gametime is a lock
                              Trust me, you will definitely get a larger margin with in-game betting on this game. No need to sweat over 2-3 points when you can sweat over 14 points or so
                              Comment
                              • TheCentaur
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-28-11
                                • 8108

                                #16
                                Originally posted by The Giant
                                Most of those badges were pre-football season.

                                Anyway, who lies about losing? I'm hitting about 18% this football season.
                                Yikes
                                Comment
                                • TheCentaur
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-28-11
                                  • 8108

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TwoWays
                                  Trust me, you will definitely get a larger margin with in-game betting on this game. No need to sweat over 2-3 points when you can sweat over 14 points or so
                                  Do you use several books for this or one
                                  Comment
                                  • TwoWays
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 13145

                                    #18
                                    No just one book. You could have gotten the Falcon game total at 55 + when they scored early. Then it dropped to the mid to low 40s in the second quarter. Did this game not middle? Same thing happened in the 49er game. If you believe that NFL games and single games on a given day have sharp lines, isn't this the better route?
                                    Comment
                                    • TheCentaur
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 06-28-11
                                      • 8108

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by TwoWays
                                      No just one book. You could have gotten the Falcon game total at 55 + when they scored early. Then it dropped to the mid to low 40s in the second quarter. Did this game not middle? Same thing happened in the 49er game. If you believe that NFL games and single games on a given day have sharp lines, isn't this the better route?
                                      Middling live totals...I'm going to look into this thanks
                                      Comment
                                      • ChalkyDog
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-02-11
                                        • 9598

                                        #20
                                        It's tough, teams coming out unexpected this year - not as easy as last year. Hell, I remember a week when if you simply laid chalk - you won every single wager.

                                        Adjust or bust. Week 4 of CFB, week 3 of NFL - these teams are close to putting exactly who they are on paper for us cappers to analyze.

                                        I know I laid off a lot of action this week, and cleaned up in comparison to last week. In the NFL, I came into this week with the idea of simply live betting the games, as the numbers out there currently aren't representative - gotta see how they play a bit first. Played 3 games pre-game, played many more live.

                                        Best time of the year, gents. Don't blow your load chucking darts in the first couple weeks.
                                        Comment
                                        • AribaAriba
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-03-09
                                          • 2922

                                          #21
                                          u wont win wagering in any sports base on guts and so called analysis LOL if u look at the number and have some sort of models, that will bring you to the promise land.
                                          Comment
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