A so-called unbiased mediator : Nominated Post

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  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #1
    A so-called unbiased mediator : Nominated Post
    Originally posted by yokspot
    Interesting article. However, the test in question would be little more than one question, by an unbiased tester (I'd say guaranteed if done in Florida), in neutral surroundings - so the hell, fire and brimstone of the article wouldn't apply. What does he have to lose? Zero minus zero is still zero. If he passes (every chance), then assuming he can get through two hours of swift VP, he's practically home and dry for his cash.
    There is no such thing as an unbiased tester. Any polygraph test has two goals: identify false statements, and avoid false positives. The more you chase one, the worse you do on the other. If you are testing potential secret service employees, you might tolerate a 90% false positive rate to eliminate 99.9% of deceivers. The two rates are correlated. The more likely a test is to identify someone actually lying, the more likely you are to incorrectly conclude that an honest person is lying.

    What is a fair false-positive rate if you are 100% innocent, and a failure screws you out of 46k? Even the best tests have a 15-30% false positive rate. If you are owed 46k, you're retarded to give the other side a 15-30% chance of stiffing you.
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