Nfl: 2012

[Raffaele]

My predictions are largely based upon a mathematical module that I created and use. For each and every game I apply what I think are the relevant factors of said game, resulting in a line. Based upon the discrepancy between my line and the book's line, I bet. Situational factors are also taken into consideration. I bet on every single total and spread last year and picked at 54.46%. Now that I have edited my module and have a better understanding of the business, I intend to make much less plays. I hope you follow me; you will not regret it!

NFL Week 2:

1* Carolina Panthers (+3) -115
1* Miami Dolphins (ML) +120
1* Miami Dolphins/Oakland Raiders: Over (38) -110
1* Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) -105
1* Detroit Lions (+7) -110
1* Atlanta Falcons (-6.5) +125
2* ML Parlay (-125) Patriots/Giants/Bengals

[TMoney33]

GL - I'll be on the Dolphin ML too.

[TMoney33]

Looks like you're having a helluva weekend. Nice work!

[Raffaele]

Looks like you're having a helluva weekend. Nice work!

Thanks! Would have been nice to win my parlay, but I can't complain. Hoping the Lions can make me some more money here. Look for my Week 3 picks friend

[Raffaele]

My predictions are largely based upon a mathematical module that I created and use. For each and every game I apply what I think are the relevant factors of said game, resulting in a line. Based upon the discrepancy between my line and the book's line, I bet. Situational factors are also taken into consideration. I bet on every single total and spread last year and picked at 54.46%. Now that I have edited my module and have a better understanding of the business, I intend to make much less plays. I hope you follow me; you will not regret it!

NFL Week 2:

1* Carolina Panthers (+3) -115
1* Miami Dolphins (ML) +120
1* Miami Dolphins/Oakland Raiders: Over (38) -110
1* Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) -105
1* Detroit Lions (+7) -110
1* Atlanta Falcons (-6.5) +125
2* ML Parlay (-125) Patriots/Giants/Bengals

Brutal losses. Falcons by a half point, Lions by 1 and the Pats get upset by 2.

4-3
-0.07

[Raffaele]

51 not 51.5

One play for now, expect more on Friday:

1* New York Giants/Carolina Panthers: Under 51 (-115)

[Raffaele]

With Nicks out of the picture, I expect the Panthers to focus on and limit Cruz. The Giants will be forced to run the football, which I would have expected them to do regardless to beat up a tired Carolina D. This obviously benefits the under. I don't foresee the Panthers having too much trouble putting up points and would have taken them had I been faster to react to Nicks being out, but I don't see the value now. Good luck!

[Raffaele]

1* Chicago Bears (-7) -110
1* Minnesota Vikings (+7.5) -120
1* New Orleans Saints (-9) +106
1* New England Patriots (ML) +125
2* ML Parlay: Bears/Cowboys/Saints (-110)

[Raffaele]

2* Oakland Raiders (+4.5) -110

[Raffaele]

One play for now, expect more on Friday:

1* New York Giants/Carolina Panthers: Under 51 (-115)

So, going into the week end I am...

5-3
+0.80

[Raffaele]

Live bet: *1 Eagles/Cardinals: Over (39.5) -120

[Raffaele]

1* Chicago Bears (-7) -110
1* Minnesota Vikings (+7.5) -120
1* New Orleans Saints (-9) +106
1* New England Patriots (ML) +125
2* ML Parlay: Bears/Cowboys/Saints (-110)

2* Oakland Raiders (+4.5) -110

Live bet: *1 Eagles/Cardinals: Over (39.5) -120

8-7
0.64

Once again I take a bad beat (Saints) to lose my 2 unit parlay... Last week it was the Patriots missing a FG and now it's the Saints blowing a big lead and losing in OT. I don't regret the live bet. Well, glad to get the anger out of my system. Goddamn Patriots -_-

[Raffaele]

*1 Green Bay Packers (ML) -157
*1 Green Bay Packers/Seattle Seahawks: Under (45.5) +100

[Raffaele]

*1 Green Bay Packers (ML) -157
*1 Green Bay Packers/Seattle Seahawks: Under (45.5) +100

9-8
0.64

Nothing needs to be said

[Raffaele]

1* Cleveland Browns (+14.5) -157

[Raffaele]

1* New York Jets (+4.5) -110
1* New Orleans Saints/Green Bay Packers: Over (53.5) -110
2* Miami Dolphins (+7.5) -150

[Raffaele]

1* Cleveland Browns (+14.5) -157

10-8
0.00

It's a fresh start going into the week end. Let's GO!

[Raffaele]

1* Buffalo Bills (+10.5) -120

[Raffaele]

2* New England Patriots (ML) -200

[Raffaele]

1* New York Jets (+4.5) -110
1* New Orleans Saints/Green Bay Packers: Over (53.5) -110
2* Miami Dolphins (+7.5) -150

1* Buffalo Bills (+10.5) -120

2* New England Patriots (ML) -200

13-10
1.24

[Raffaele]

2* Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) -120

[Raffaele]

2* Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) -120

13-11
0.76

[Raffaele]

2* Pittsburgh Steelers (ML) -170
1* Pittsburgh Steelers/Philadelphia Eagles: Under (44.5) -110
1* San Diego Chargers/New Orleans Saints: Over (53.5) -120
3* New York Jets (+10.5) -140
1* New York Giants (-9.5) +100
2* Tennessee Titans (+7.5) -130
2* Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5) -130
2* Carolina Panthers (ML) -160
4* New Orleans Saints (ML) -200

[Nick_U]

Really liking your thinking this week bud. Im on almost exactly the same picks. Good luck

[Raffaele]

2* Pittsburgh Steelers (ML) -170
1* Pittsburgh Steelers/Philadelphia Eagles: Under (44.5) -110
1* San Diego Chargers/New Orleans Saints: Over (53.5) -120
3* New York Jets (+10.5) -140
1* New York Giants (-9.5) +100
2* Tennessee Titans (+7.5) -130
2* Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5) -130
2* Carolina Panthers (ML) -160
4* New Orleans Saints (ML) -200

19-13
3.30

[Raffaele]

Really liking your thinking this week bud. Im on almost exactly the same picks. Good luck

Thanks Nick, hopefully it was a good week end for you as well!

[Raffaele]

*3 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tennessee Titans: Over (43) -110

I handicapped this game as:

Steelers (-5)
Titans (47)

On the over 43 we beat the KEY numbers 44 and 45 and have a rare 4 point discrepancy between my line and the book's line. I don't see any value on the spread (1 point discrepancy) or the MoneyLine (Far too high for Pitt and slightly too low for Ten).

Pittsburgh: 26
Tennessee: 21

I advise everyone to tail!
BOL

[Raffaele]

*1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) -110
*1 Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over (40) -110
*1 St. Louis Rams @ Miami Dolphins: Under (37.5) +100

Expect a play for MNF but that's it for Thursday & Sunday.

[Raffaele]

*3 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tennessee Titans: Over (43) -110

I handicapped this game as:

Steelers (-5)
Titans (47)

On the over 43 we beat the KEY numbers 44 and 45 and have a rare 4 point discrepancy between my line and the book's line. I don't see any value on the spread (1 point discrepancy) or the MoneyLine (Far too high for Pitt and slightly too low for Ten).

Pittsburgh: 26
Tennessee: 21

I advise everyone to tail!
BOL

20-13
6.03

[Raffaele]

*1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) -110 Win
*1 Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over (40) -110 Win
*1 St. Louis Rams @ Miami Dolphins: Under (37.5) +100 Win

Expect a play for MNF but that's it for Thursday & Sunday.

23-13
8.85

[Raffaele]

*1 San Diego Chargers (ML) -120

Might be able to get a better price here, but I wouldn't be surprised to see RLM on this one tomorrow and have no problem laying -120 in this spot. My line:

Denver Broncos (46.5)
@ San Diego Chargers (-2.5)

Unfortunately I was busy this week and handicapped the game today, missing the under 50 which I would have brought down to 49.5 at +100. Play the Chargers and enjoy the game!

[Raffaele]

I'm 9-1 on the season betting totals and the 1 loss was the sole live bet I made this season. 10-6 ATS and 4-6 MoneyLine.

That's 23-13 for 8.85 units.

Lifetime I have picked ATS/Totals at 54.7%.

I don't have very much money so I bet small, but I'd like to help the bigger betters here destroy the bookies. Week 7 I already see more value than in any other week this season. Follow me and you won't be disappointed.

[Raffaele]

*1 San Diego Chargers (ML) -120

Might be able to get a better price here, but I wouldn't be surprised to see RLM on this one
tomorrow and have no problem laying -120 in this spot. My line:

Denver Broncos (46.5)
@ San Diego Chargers (-2.5)

Unfortunately I was busy this week and handicapped the game today, missing the under 50 which I would have brought down to 49.5 at +100. Play the Chargers and enjoy the game!

Very frustrating loss...

23-14
7.85

[Raffaele]

*1 Minnesota Vikings (-6) -110

[Raffaele]

*1 Minnesota Vikings (-6) -110

24-14
8.76