Ok, so the Seattle game is going EXACTLY how I didnt want. Tough luck Bank
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I blame that Brooklyn fagggot mush, should have known
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sf+17.5 +115 liveComment -
this isn't looking good for me.Comment -
banker help me out with some picks this week, this cards a bitch in my opinion....
mush got his pick in yet? feel confident in fading him, lolComment -
havnt heard, he usually doesnt call in till like 10/11 am, i will post if he calls any in....im not huge fan of week 17, teams that need it dont do it, so hard to cap motivation on teams that are done or already locked in...
trying to get some totals knocked out but not many on card i like, id consider nyg/phi over but think we gonna be dealing with pretty significant wind in that one,,,if i can get 49 on dal/skins i will be playing over as square as it may be, only way i wont be on that over is if chi and min both lose and skins would be in whether they win or not which may change things but i have both those teams scoring well into the mid to upper 20's and put this in the 52-57 range..
lambs/sea total is tricky, obviously seachickens been running thru teams lately but i think rams defense matches up pretty well and i know they not going up there to lay down, they handled kapernick and sf not long ago and wilson doing a lot of the things he is, granted with less mistakes and more efficiently but think they well versed in the zone read things and rams dont get beat deep real often, think this gm gonna be a grind it out gm where the total (and possibly spread) is jacked up a good 4 points based off sea recent performances, not trying to discount them as they prob playing as good a fb as anyone right now,,obviously wilson is doing way more in the offense and playing better than he was the 1st meeting but on that same note rams run d has vastly improved since that 1st gm with Brockers stepping into the middle (obviously ap gashed them a few weeks back but who isnt ap gashing?)..been getting bet up and i would love to get 44 but even 43 i think will do, might be 1st half under instead as if stl gets down Bradford has been putting up points late,,,have to decide which is better between the 2 but think this a gm rams struggle to get to 16 (tops) while and this could be a big IF, if bradford doesnt turn the ball over putting sea in easy scoring position i think they get held in check to a more reasonable number like 24..this a big gm for stl, they are playing to end the yr above .500, go undefeated in the nfc west, and i expect max effort as they continue building for the future and i just dont think they get steamrolled here, whether they cover i dunno, i have it close, figure 13-16 for rams and 23-27 for sea, which is why id really like a 43 or higher in case they both get to my high end...
far as sides i have a pretty strong lean to indy ml (maybe points but thnk if they can stay close they will win),,,one of those gms where indy has nothing to gain and hou has everything to lose (as in not only the 1 seed but drop all the way down to the 3 seed and have to play in the wc round ), chuck strong gonna be back on sideline for 1st time and i just dont think indy gonna roll over and die in this gm when they have a opportunity not only to stick it to a div rival but gain confidence that they can play with the big boys, hou is def vulnerable and the pressure is solely on them in this gm, think luck bounces back against this hou secondary that has had some rough moments and get caught off guard here as they walking into a emotional buzz-saw...2 biggest issues is im kinda surprised colts are a popular dog here and more importantly i need to know freeny and mathis are playing but think anything over +240 is worth a play...
another dog im kinda warming up to and im sure not nearly as popular is phi, again im prob gonna say screw the points and go with another emotional gut feel, Ried saved vicks ass when no one wanted to touch him out of prison and i would suspect that vick would like nothing more than to take him out with 1 last win while also auditioning to the numerous teams that could really use a qb, think we see the vick of old for 1 gm where he goes out and makes plays all over the field, even with the expected strong winds vick has a cannon and between him and eli i trust his ball to be able to get where it needs to be...this yr has turned out to be the gmen typical year after SB where they seem indifferent and the drive just isnt there and not sure why it gonna magically appear for this basically meaningless gm (im sure they not mathmatically out, maybe they are, i dunno, i do know they not getting in playoffs and be pretty fitting for them to go out and lay one more egg to end the season), think another adv to the strong winds is while i dont think it debatable if either of the 2 qbs can throw thru it it vick so hopefully when phi lazy corners inevitably blow a assignment or 3 eli wont be able to deliver the ball (also helps phi pass rush been much stronger of late) while gmen suspect secondary pays for their errors....
if hou loses (not only would that be great), i would def start considering pats/phins over...this all i could come up with real quick like, 1st time im looking at the card, im open to suggestions but for most part ive always been a firm believer week 17 is not a week to go nuts on (of coarse it was week 14 and 15 that really got me
so maybe we can come up with a solid card...im open for suggestions..
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Colts +7, Bengals ML & Bills -3.5 all seem right to me. In the GB-MIN game, I feel like there's a lot of money saddling the -3/+3.5, shooting for the push/win middle. I also think the Lions have the opportunity to end the season on a high note by playing spoiler to the Bears hopes, and the Panthers can pull themselves up to 2nd in the division with a win over the Saints. Not sure how I feel about either team actually pulling it off.
A good day to tread lightly I think.Comment -
i have no interest in that bungal/balty gm, i dont think either cares at all.... gotta take the colts, il prob play the ml as well, something tells me even tho they could be in chill mode they in chuck strong mode and go out and knock hou off the 1 seed, which would be a great thing for my bungal future cause i wouldnt even hedge vs hou in the wc gm...wouldnt shock me at all if det beat chi, just not a fan of betting that group of poorly coached clowns... i hate totals this high but if i play the panther/aints gm id play over 54....i was thinking if we had a nice snowstorm in buffalo i was gonna let total drop and smack the over but someone who says he going to gm says they calling for minimal snow so that kinda ruins that.. only other things i got is philly (figure give them one last chance to screw me, lol), but nyg a mess, cant get pressure, secondary trash, vick has the better arm in the wind and i think vick would like to not only have a resume performance but also send out the guy who saved his ass a winner...maybe under in sea and if skins/dal is do or die good chance i play the over....gl skComment -
morning Bank. lean Saints and over (maybe Saints TT over 29'?), Bears, Rams/Seahawks over. sounds as if i may need to reevaluate that Rams total. Saints + Bears ML parlay pays pretty nice plus money, around +140.
i do like Bengals but don't think i'll play them, and i do think that they're playing for something today. they are not a great team and will not be making much noise in the playoffs. this is final home game of season against hated division rival. they are young team building their confidence compared to more experienced Ravens who can actually "save" themselves for playoffs. i've read multiple places that Marvin Lewis is treating this as a game that they need, and he's just dumb enough not to know the difference. also, Ravens are Charmin soft.Comment -
you guys selling me on bungals,,,even tho i dont like you telling me that they not going anywhere in playoffs! that shit for future! what would be perfect is if the cancer kids knock hou down to the 3 seed cause i think cincy can go to hou and win a gm, then it have to be hedge city for next round against den or pats... i just dont trust the bears, i have no use for det but they should have beat chi in chi as their dline dominated that gm and only reason det didnt win was cause of what was it 4 red zone fumbles? and they still had a chance at end...cant do bears...id go str8 over in big easy, i have more confidence in scam than that pussy freeman....maybe im way off on the stl/sea total (everyone keeps telling me it too low), but i swear i think 43 the ceiling so if you like grab it at 42.5, i honestly think it more like a 38 total just inflated cause of sea recent play, and again im not knocking that at all they been great but besides the fact that just cant keep up stylistically rams should be able to make this ugly..Comment -
don't let me sell you on Bengals. i probably won't play them. i do think that the team and the fans are thinking of this as sort of a playoff game since it's against hated Ravens and Bengals have no shot at hosting a playoff game.
i am more than okay passing on Rams total if you're on the under. you know your team and i'm not looking to play every game on the board - just a few winners.
you're scaring be about Bears, which is as much a Lions fade as anything. i think Bears will win and Lions will quit, but your point about pass rush vs Cutler is a good one.Comment -
trust me if i had any faith in det not being the poorly coached, undisciplined bums ive been calling them for the last 2 years i would be all over them,,but like i tried telling someone last week when they were taking det vs atl and trying to justify with stats i think the numbers that sum det up best are their yards per point for and against they at the bottom of the league which says it all about them, they can move the ball on anyone but they are just stupid, always a costly turnover, untimely penalty, puts their d in bad spots, its a fukkin shame they have a dipshit for a HC cause id have that team in the playoffs....it very possible they continue doing those very things that get them beat, chi does a better job than anyone on megatron, and lions are as incompetent in the red zone as the bears defense is good (the only reason bears won the 1st gm), i just remember that gm @ soldier field really well and det dline controlled that gm on that shit surface, now we talking about the same group in the dome on a fast track...bears should win but i have this rule about betting bears against teams that can rush the passer..chi saving grace may be that det doesnt run for shit, that the pretty simple basic recipe for handling the bears, pass rush and power run gm..Comment -
pimp this:
Sports Insights @SportsInsights
#NFL #Ravens - Ray Rice, Undisclosed, Out - is out Sunday (12/30) at CincinnatiComment -
nice...also heard to expect taylor to be taking a lot of snaps in that gm..Comment -
how do you like Texans/Colts over 47/Colts TT over 20'? starting to like that one.
also, really like Panthers/Saints over and will likely be on that one. sick numbers in the three meetings since Newton went to Carolina.Comment -
yea loving the aints/scam over,,even tho i hate totals that high i think 58 seems more right...only thing bout hou/indy over is indy d seems to play better at home and with their head coach back i really expect a huge effort from them..colts tt ov 20' for sure...already on indy +7 and considering ml...Comment -
Also on Bengals -2.5, no RR even though he is under used anyway. Not super confident on the play but like them at home for less than a FG. I am on 8 overs today, lol. Lot of good match ups for points this week. 1 unit play each
Hou/Ind O46.5
Balt/Cin O41 (this is a LOW total)
NO/Car O54
Pack/Min O46
Jax/Tenn O41
Phi/Giats O46
Dal/Was O49
Writing them out I want to take back 1 or 2, but I still think this hits 6 of 8.
Good Luck AllComment -
Said 8 because I missed ATL/TB O45.5 ATL will put points up quickly before pull some key peopleComment -
i wanted to be on phi/nyg over bad but there calling for pretty heavy wind there... lean opposite in gb/min but not playing it...think that jax/ten one might be a hidden gem where the shit teams come out scoring...agree with aints and im jst waiting to make sure that skins have as much to play for as dal before i bet that one,,if min and chi lose then skins are in as wildcard even if they lose, obviously they would rather get a home gm but still not sure ill like as much if they have a spot secured but think both teams end up in mid to high 20s, i made it like 52-55 so gotta agree as long as the wind stays down..Comment -
okay, officially on Bengals at -3 along with Colts TT over 20' and Panthers/Saints over 54. talked myself into it.Comment -
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I added Titans -4. I like the home team between these two scrub teams, Johnson should have a big day and I will give a big nod to Tenn at the QB position as well.Comment -
Wow Line jumped to 5.5, I guess my $100 bet put Vegas in an uproar, lolComment -
thanks! okay, gonna bug you for a minute for your thoughts on my pool. leading by point heading into final week. pick six sides ATS at lines set Monday, and designate one game as 3x key pick. hitting the key pick is, well, key. anywho, i have narrowed my choices down to 7-8 sides but having a little trouble finalizing. lines are way off because of W17 and pool sets lines at start of week.
sides (6 of these 8; like Skins and Saints less than others)
Stillers -7'
Bucs +6'
Seahawks -9'
Chargers -6'
Bengals -2'
Vikes +3'
Redskins -3'
Saints -4'
so, if it were 12:55 right now, i'd drop Skins and Saints and probably go with Bengals as my key pick. even though other lines are further off, those are also in games that i think are a lot less predictable. would love to make Bucs +6' my key pick but seems like that could go horribly wrong (same with Chargers and Stillers, really). any thoughts much appreciated.Comment -
Biff, imho i think the Bengals would be my 1st key,
and the Bucs my 2nd out of those games. bolComment -
thanks for sharing your thoughts, pacocn
those are the two that i'm leaning towards, so glad to hear that a sharp cat like yourself agrees. Bengals at home and playing for something (whether they should be or not; i think Lewis will have them motivated and treating this almost like playoff game; a long-mediocre team like that doesn't want to end the season with a home loss to a rival). Bucs aren't playing for anything other than pride (and we know Schiano won't let them quit even when they should), but Falcons don't even have to play for that and it's such a plum line. a lot of Bucs players have to feel as if they're playing for their jobs next year this week.Comment -
bank my brother careful with the saints today. I dropped some moneys on the panthers. Everyone and their mother is on the saints.. theyve been fukking people all season.. I think they end the season on a sour note. Personally think the saints really miss sean payton's play calling in these high scoring shootouts. I didn't go BIG here, just thought id share my opinion. Took the ML small as well. GL BOSSComment -
bungals 4sure key..i mean hard not to take bucs cause of line discrepancy but freeman has played like stir fried shit and bucs d so bad that i could see atl 1st string go hang a quick 21 and let freeman throw picks rest of day...that coach should have worried about coaching his damn team instead of trying to fukk up kickoffs, 1st year jerkoff, they havnt won a gm since that crap...
i think skins win but screw that hook and i really dont know...wish you could use a total cause under in sd outta be money.. so i guess im saying drop skins cause think that hook could be a killer...so yea im on same page, drop aints and skins,,even tho not sure i trust pit or sd..lolComment -
Best of luck to all. Biff hope you close out your pool. I'll be taking it easy today - looking forward to the bowl games this week.Comment -
Mush just called in the bears...shocker..guess im on the punk ass, terribly coached, oh so stupid lions....Comment -
thanks a lot, dude. good to get your thoughts since NFL not my thing and you know your stuff. yeah, think i gotta go with Bengals even though i could get "better" lines on the other games. very good points on Bucs. not crazy about some of the sides where i have better lines than current, but given that i'm in the lead with 2-3 teams that have a realistic chance to beat me. well, gotta figure that those guys will be on Stillers, Bucs and decent chance of Seahawks and Chargers also. part capping, part poker at this point. if i match the cards of the guys trying to catch me, i win. well, important thing is that it's looking like a good line on the Bengals game for my key pick. leggo!Comment
