Robusts' Strong Leans for Week 7

[Robust]

These leans all passed every math (avgs, scoring margins, scoring diff, st. deviations, plus/minus stdev to the avg scores, etc) test put to them. Of course math is only 1 of many things to look at. Weather, lines, injuries, off byes, etc will be reviewed in later this week..

Dallas -6.5 and Under 43.5 (Romo Out, so not accurate, but i like it!)
NO to win, NO +3, Under 44.5
Ind/GB Over 47
Sea/TB Over 38.5
Den to win, Den +3

Any thoughts on these?

Robust

[l7ustin]

I have not done a lot of research on these yet but my knee jerk leans...
I like Dallas to roll the Rams. but overs
NO to win, cover, and unders
Den to win and cover


no leans on the others one way or the other

[Robust]

and here are the rest.. even with a spreadsheet, this takes a while!!!

Ten/KC Under 35.5
Mia/Bal Over 36.5
Chi/Min Over 38
Det/Hou Under 46.5
Cle +7 and Under 42.5
Den/NE Under 47.5

Robust

[Robust]

I have not done a lot of research on these yet but my knee jerk leans...
I like Dallas to roll the Rams. but overs
NO to win, cover, and unders
Den to win and cover


no leans on the others one way or the other

StL scores 12.4 pts avg, with a losing pts scored of 10.8.
The StDev is 5.81
1. This means that Stl will score between 5-16.61 pts in a loss.
2. This means that Stl will score between 6.59-18.21 pts in a win.

Dallas has 31.75 win avg and 24 loss avg. StDev is 6.37
1. This means that Dallas will score 17.63-30.7 pts in a loss.
2. This means that Dallas will score 25.38-38.12 pts in a win.

Results:
Dallas loses 17.63 to 18.21 (the two extremes (can't use 30.7 as this is a StL loss.. lol)) - highly unlikely, but Under by 7.66..
Dallas wins 38.12 to 16.61 (the two upper extremes) highly unlikely as well, but Over by 11.12..

The odds of extremes hitting are VERY unlikely.. but there is a slight edge to the over at about 85% in extreme scoring (didn't do the math to this one.. estimating.. prolly a bit higher). So if both go 85% or more towards the extreme limits (15% chance of this happening), then it goes over..

and without romo, pacman and McBriar .. the under looks VERY good.

I wish you luck!

Robust