CFL Week 16

[dwaechte]

Well a nice 4-1 week 15 has lifted my spirits in regard to CFL plays. 3 of the 4 overs hit, as well as the Edmonton play.


This week brings what I believe to be my strongest play of the year. Often when my system spits out numbers that are this far off the line, I'm suspicious. I double check things to see if somethings wrong, etc... This happened two weeks ago with Edmonton and Hamilton plays, both of which lost. Now, I didn't necessarily go big on those plays because I didn't understand the line. I couldn't figure out why it was so off, so I left well enough alone.

This time around, I have some reasoning for why my number is so off, and the reasoning leads me to believe that SIA's line is off, not mine. I'm probably wrong, and their line is probably accurate, and even if I win the play it'll just be mostly luck. But as sports bettors, we all like to be a little naive at times.

So, my biggest play of the year will be:

3.3* WINNIPEG -6 over Toronto(-110)

The rest of my plays will depend on where Pinny and 5Dimes open up.

YTD: 43-29-1, +16.37

[dwaechte]

I'm a little disappointed that Pinny and 5Dimes both agreed on that Winnipeg line and that it hasn't inched up to 7 yet, but oh well. Most of the line movement comes once the limits are raised anyways.

The rest of the plays for this week:

1.05* Toronto/Winnipeg over 51(-105)
1.57* Edmonton/BC under 56.5(-105)
1.57* Montreal -12.5 over Hamilton(-105)
1.05* Hamilton/Montreal over 57(-105)
1.05* Edmonton +5.5 over BC(-105)

[dwaechte]

Great results so far, and a nice Thanksgiving weekend.

But, in Thanksgiving spirit, since I'm degenerate, I'm throwing .54 units on Calgary -5.5(-108). Cheers.