There are some money overs this week that math just screams at. So far this year I am 7-4 with totals, and I am looking to add to that 'total' (pun intended) this week.
San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins OVER 45
San Diego = 34.5 PF, 28 PA, Total = 62.5
Miami = 20.7 PF, 21.3 PA, Total = 42
Chargers defense hasn't stopped anyone, and Miami's offense is coming around, I don't see any reason why the two teams can't just keep doing what they have been doing all season, and thats giving up points to the other team. San Diego is giving up 4.5 yards per carry this season, and Ronnie Brown / Ricky Williams combo should run over them, giving Miami room to throw when needed.
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions OVER 44.5
Chicago = 23.5 PF, 20 PA Total = 43.5
Detroit Lions = 19.7 PF, 37.7 PA Total = 57.4
Although the Bears haven't been putting up huge numbers they should against the worst defense in the NFL. Detroit has averaged giving up 37.7 points per game. If Detroit keeps that pace up, all they have to do is score 1 touchdown against the Bears and the over is money.
Tampa Bay @ Denver Broncos OVER 48
Tampa Bay = 25.2 PF, 19.5 PA Total = 44.7
Denver = 33.2 PF, 29.2 PA Total = 62.4
Denver has been money on the over all season, at least I think they have. Scoring 33.2 points per game while giving up 29.2 points per game, they are killing the over averaging a whopping 62.4 points per game this season. Tampa Bay's offense ain't too shabby either scoring 25.2 points per game. Earnest Graham should have a field day and Jay Cutler will continue to throw the hell out the ball.
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I haven't had the same success with my spreads so far this year, but hopefully that will turn around.
Pittsburgh +5 @ Jacksonville
Jacksonville has had some success this year, but they won't against the Steelers this week. Pitt has only allowed 74.0 yards a game on the ground and that's all Jacksonville got. The idea that Jacksonville is the favorite by almost a TD seems a bit off to me. Which means I am also looking at the Pittsburgh moneyline at +230 as well.
New England @ San Francisco +3
Again this one seems like a strange one to me. New England has not played like a team that should be favored anywhere on the road. This line is based on people just betting NE, because thats what some people do. New England has given up 140 yards a game on the ground (alot of that was Ronnie Brown in one week, but still) Frank Gore could have a field day and control the clock. That being said, I did buy an extra .5 point just to be a little more safe.
Washington Redskins +6 @ Philadelphia Eagles
Washington is coming off a huge win IN Dallas, and they might just do the same in Philly. Campbell is playing like an NFL quarterback and Santana Moss could eat up that secondary much like TO did a few weeks ago. A touchdown spread is just too big not to take here. This should be a close game, IF the Eagles win they will have a hard time covering.
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Previous Weeks Threads
San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins OVER 45
San Diego = 34.5 PF, 28 PA, Total = 62.5
Miami = 20.7 PF, 21.3 PA, Total = 42
Chargers defense hasn't stopped anyone, and Miami's offense is coming around, I don't see any reason why the two teams can't just keep doing what they have been doing all season, and thats giving up points to the other team. San Diego is giving up 4.5 yards per carry this season, and Ronnie Brown / Ricky Williams combo should run over them, giving Miami room to throw when needed.
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions OVER 44.5
Chicago = 23.5 PF, 20 PA Total = 43.5
Detroit Lions = 19.7 PF, 37.7 PA Total = 57.4
Although the Bears haven't been putting up huge numbers they should against the worst defense in the NFL. Detroit has averaged giving up 37.7 points per game. If Detroit keeps that pace up, all they have to do is score 1 touchdown against the Bears and the over is money.
Tampa Bay @ Denver Broncos OVER 48
Tampa Bay = 25.2 PF, 19.5 PA Total = 44.7
Denver = 33.2 PF, 29.2 PA Total = 62.4
Denver has been money on the over all season, at least I think they have. Scoring 33.2 points per game while giving up 29.2 points per game, they are killing the over averaging a whopping 62.4 points per game this season. Tampa Bay's offense ain't too shabby either scoring 25.2 points per game. Earnest Graham should have a field day and Jay Cutler will continue to throw the hell out the ball.
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I haven't had the same success with my spreads so far this year, but hopefully that will turn around.
Pittsburgh +5 @ Jacksonville
Jacksonville has had some success this year, but they won't against the Steelers this week. Pitt has only allowed 74.0 yards a game on the ground and that's all Jacksonville got. The idea that Jacksonville is the favorite by almost a TD seems a bit off to me. Which means I am also looking at the Pittsburgh moneyline at +230 as well.
New England @ San Francisco +3
Again this one seems like a strange one to me. New England has not played like a team that should be favored anywhere on the road. This line is based on people just betting NE, because thats what some people do. New England has given up 140 yards a game on the ground (alot of that was Ronnie Brown in one week, but still) Frank Gore could have a field day and control the clock. That being said, I did buy an extra .5 point just to be a little more safe.
Washington Redskins +6 @ Philadelphia Eagles
Washington is coming off a huge win IN Dallas, and they might just do the same in Philly. Campbell is playing like an NFL quarterback and Santana Moss could eat up that secondary much like TO did a few weeks ago. A touchdown spread is just too big not to take here. This should be a close game, IF the Eagles win they will have a hard time covering.
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Previous Weeks Threads
