NFL Betting: Overs & Favorites Pay Off

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  • Chance Harper
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-20-07
    • 788

    #1
    NFL Betting: Overs & Favorites Pay Off
    NFL Betting: Overs & Favorites Pay Off

    Week 3 of the NFL season went to the favorites and the scoreboard operators as the Over cashed at an 11-5 clip, all while New England suffered a regular season loss for the first time since Dec 2006.


    Whoa. Where did all those points come from?

    The over went berserk in Week 3 of the NFL football season, cashing in at a crazy 11-5. Six games hit the 50-point total; the San Diego Chargers and New York Jets wrapped up the slugfest Monday night with a 48-29 Chargers win. Brett Favre threw three touchdown passes, but also a pair of costly picks as the Jets (+9) went 1-for-8 on third-down conversion attempts.

    Philip Rivers heaved three TDs of his own with one interception. As for reports LaDainian Tomlinson (turf toe) would get maybe a dozen carries, he got 26 instead, although Tomlinson only managed 67 yards total. His longest run: five yards.

    Favorites were the other big winners from Week 3. They were a very profitable 10-6 ATS (12-3 SU), with the only road favorite on the schedule, the Dallas Cowboys (-3), looking very sharp in Sunday night’s 27-16 victory over the Green Bay Packers. Dallas has cemented its place as the top team in the NFC and a legitimate Super Bowl favorite at 3-1 on the futures betting odds.

    The next closest team, the AFC’s Indianapolis Colts at 6-1, was on the wrong end of a 23-21 final versus the visiting Jacksonville Jaguars. Josh Scobee drilled a 51-yard field goal with four seconds left on the clock to win the game. Indy continues to have trouble with its patchwork offensive line; the run defense is also just as appalling as it was last year, giving up 121 yards to Fred Taylor and another 107 to Maurice Jones-Drew. Each team is now 1-2 SU and ATS.

    Every game in a 16-game season is crucial, but that Jags-Colts final is going to seem pivotal come December – because the New England Patriots were flattened 38-13 at home by the Miami Dolphins. Joey Porter made good on his promise to steamroll Pats QB Matt Cassel by sacking him three times, while Ronnie Brown ran for four TDs and found Anthony Fasano in the end zone for a fifth. New England is now 2-1 SU and ATS, second in the AFC East to the 3-0 Buffalo Bills (2-1 ATS), who had to come from behind to beat Oakland 24-23 as a 10-point home chalk. Miami is tied with the Jets at 1-2 SU and ATS.

    Is the best team in the AFC the Tennessee Titans? They’re threatening to run away with the AFC South at 3-0 SU and ATS – the only team in the league to stay perfect after three games – after trouncing Houston 31-12 at home. Tennessee (-4½) had the best defense in the league last year; three Matt Schaub interceptions proves the Titans still have what is takes, while QB Kerry Collins fits the drop-back passing style preferred by new co-ordinator Mike Heimerdinger better than the beleaguered Vince Young. I get the sense this QB change has been planned since Norm Chow was fired. Hmmm…

    Houston falls to 0-2 SU and ATS, making the Texans one of three teams to lose all its games while coughing up the cash. The others are the 0-3 Detroit Lions and St. Louis Rams. The Lions (+5) embarrassed themselves in a 31-13 loss to the resurgent San Francisco 49ers at Candlestick; QB Jon Kitna sprained a knee and might have to be replaced by either Dan Orlovsky or Drew Stanton in Week 5 against the Bears. St. Louis (+9) lost 37-13 in Seattle, making the 1-2 SU and ATS Seahawks forget their problems in the NFC West for at least one day.

    Your other ATS winners from Week 3: Atlanta, Washington, Minnesota, Cincinnati, New Orleans, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay and Baltimore, the other perfect team in the NFL at 2-0 SU and ATS. Did somebody say “parity”?
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