Well a rough week for me, dropping 2.36 units. The Montreal/Toronto game was the only one I really hit. Didn't prepare as much and the lines were sharper IMO.
Lines are once again fairly sharp this week in my eyes, but I do have two early plays. They're not quite as strong as some of the plays in weeks 7-10 when I got hot, but I do still feel confident in them. This may be it for me as I don't want to throw half units on shitty plays again. Still one game waiting to open though, that being BC/Sask.
Home in caps
1.57* EDMONTON -13(-105) over Hamilton
TiCats coach Charlie Taaffe is gone, as the team have gotten themselves into a real funk. Their early numbers looked good, and enticed me into losing money on them 3 straight weeks. Well, no more of that. This team was pretty darned decent through the first 8 weeks, took a step back but still looked ok against the Bombers, but have looked just dreadful against Toronto and BC the last 2 weeks. The defense, which was never very good, has completely fallen apart, while the offense just hasn't developed the passing game needed to compliment their terrifici running game. They threw 3 different QB's at BC, and nothing worked, because none of the QB's can stretch the field.
Edmonton meanwhile, remains my top ranked team in the CFL despite getting beat by the Stamps last week. Calgary's a good team, and the Eskimos just looked flat, perhaps a little too confident after their defense had done a great job of shutting down the Stamps in the 2nd half of the previous game. I worry about their motivation going against what most people see as the worst team in the league, but fat or not flat, this team hasn't missed a single week with it's passing offense by my count. Ray has shown up every single time, and though they haven't always looked 100% sharp, they've still produced every game.
I expected this game to be around 16 points, and would've played it up to 17. A bad team with a first week coach against an absolutely wrecking crew passing game spells disaster.
1.57* Montreal/CALGARY over 58
The two most potent offenses in the CFL are going head to head. The line of -2.5 is almost dead on what I expected to be Calg -3. Calgary has the edge on defense, fairing pretty well(but not great) against Ray and the Eskimos last week. The Stamps defense has shown some encouraging signs, mainly the play upfront, as they've done a good job getting to the opposing QB. They have a few standouts on defense, but it's not a well rounded group. They still struggle at shutting down more than one of the opps big WR's, and Montreal is going to give them all kinds of problems this week in the secondary.
Offensively, the Stamps have been tremendously inconsistent as far as having the passing offense and the rushing offense going at the same time. If Burris and Reynolds are both clicking behind a solid offensive line, they should be able to put up points at will. But if Reynolds doesn't get going early, I imagine they'll once again abandon the run and focus on attacking with the passing game. Montreal just doesn't have near the talent needed on the defensive end.
YTD: 32-23, +11.79 units
Lines are once again fairly sharp this week in my eyes, but I do have two early plays. They're not quite as strong as some of the plays in weeks 7-10 when I got hot, but I do still feel confident in them. This may be it for me as I don't want to throw half units on shitty plays again. Still one game waiting to open though, that being BC/Sask.
Home in caps
1.57* EDMONTON -13(-105) over Hamilton
TiCats coach Charlie Taaffe is gone, as the team have gotten themselves into a real funk. Their early numbers looked good, and enticed me into losing money on them 3 straight weeks. Well, no more of that. This team was pretty darned decent through the first 8 weeks, took a step back but still looked ok against the Bombers, but have looked just dreadful against Toronto and BC the last 2 weeks. The defense, which was never very good, has completely fallen apart, while the offense just hasn't developed the passing game needed to compliment their terrifici running game. They threw 3 different QB's at BC, and nothing worked, because none of the QB's can stretch the field.
Edmonton meanwhile, remains my top ranked team in the CFL despite getting beat by the Stamps last week. Calgary's a good team, and the Eskimos just looked flat, perhaps a little too confident after their defense had done a great job of shutting down the Stamps in the 2nd half of the previous game. I worry about their motivation going against what most people see as the worst team in the league, but fat or not flat, this team hasn't missed a single week with it's passing offense by my count. Ray has shown up every single time, and though they haven't always looked 100% sharp, they've still produced every game.
I expected this game to be around 16 points, and would've played it up to 17. A bad team with a first week coach against an absolutely wrecking crew passing game spells disaster.
1.57* Montreal/CALGARY over 58
The two most potent offenses in the CFL are going head to head. The line of -2.5 is almost dead on what I expected to be Calg -3. Calgary has the edge on defense, fairing pretty well(but not great) against Ray and the Eskimos last week. The Stamps defense has shown some encouraging signs, mainly the play upfront, as they've done a good job getting to the opposing QB. They have a few standouts on defense, but it's not a well rounded group. They still struggle at shutting down more than one of the opps big WR's, and Montreal is going to give them all kinds of problems this week in the secondary.
Offensively, the Stamps have been tremendously inconsistent as far as having the passing offense and the rushing offense going at the same time. If Burris and Reynolds are both clicking behind a solid offensive line, they should be able to put up points at will. But if Reynolds doesn't get going early, I imagine they'll once again abandon the run and focus on attacking with the passing game. Montreal just doesn't have near the talent needed on the defensive end.
YTD: 32-23, +11.79 units
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