It always amuses me that many players are so eager for the NFL to start that they rush to get those bad odds Future bets in.
Like the over/under on total wins. Less than even money, and you're tying your $$$ up all season, 4 months. Don't make much sense to me, unless you have a premonition that a certain team is going to go on stike and not play; or that half of them - Bengals again - will be arrested for a felony.
Ditto for the Div and Conf titles, and Super Bowl futures.
If you add up the numbers all the books offer on these,and translate them to percent numbers (Ganch could help here) you'll come out with someting between -115 to -140.
Sweet deal for the books. Plus they get to use your $$ all season.
That said: Confession Time!
I often - not every season because sometimes I just plain forget - make a SMALL futures bet on two, three teams to win the conf title and the SB.
Fun bets. Beer and taco money.
But on PRICE. I ain't about to send even my snack money into the maws of the books unless I can get price, and a nice payout in Jan or Feb if I win.
Have done it already this year. Didn't shop for odds, have only one book (BoL) hanging over from last years, a few dollars in it. (Man, in today's climate you can't leave your bucks in any book for over a month if you ain't bettin')
I'm actually ahead betting this way. Comfortable so. Because around century's turn I had, one year, St Louis to win the conf and the SB. Remember that, Greatest Show on Turf? Kurt Warner? Nice payoff.
Also had Baltimore preseaason the year they won it all. Two neat hits and a bunch of losers. But the great odds on Rams and Ravens got me in the black on NFL futures, long term. I can bet a few teams each season, tilll mid-century, without another winner,and still be smiling.
OAKLAND - Very nice odds to win both the AFC and the SB. "And," you say, smugly, "they should be!"
Right. Agreed. That's what everyone said about the Rams some 9 years back.
So go tie your money up for 4-5 months on the Colts, Pates, Dallas, Chargers, all the other hotties. I'd rather spend it now on a decent burrito.
Raiders made some neat free agent offseason moves that sshould help.
McFadden, like Peterson last season, could have a huge rookie year. RB is not like most other football positions,where you need a few years to learn proper technique, esp off line, DB, QB and the like. It's a very instinctive postion - you can either do it or you can't.
Now is also Russell's time to shine - he started a few meaningles games season end in '07, and will have a full training camp. He was gangbusters for LSU in college - and no, not just another black QB who runs the ball. H e can throw.
Let's see if he was worth the #1 overall pick in the '07 draft. If so, Raiders can dethrone the Chargers, who are an LT serious injury away from disaster.
NEW ORLEANS: Like the Raiders, make some free-agents signings to bolster a faltering defense,esp in backfield and linebacker And got a great player in the draft,with Trojan DT Ellis.
Fine QB, and now what looks like a much improved D. And not a really strong division. Saints are not at astronomical odds to win conf or SB, but still good enough to tie snack money up on all seasao.
Like the over/under on total wins. Less than even money, and you're tying your $$$ up all season, 4 months. Don't make much sense to me, unless you have a premonition that a certain team is going to go on stike and not play; or that half of them - Bengals again - will be arrested for a felony.
Ditto for the Div and Conf titles, and Super Bowl futures.
If you add up the numbers all the books offer on these,and translate them to percent numbers (Ganch could help here) you'll come out with someting between -115 to -140.
Sweet deal for the books. Plus they get to use your $$ all season.
That said: Confession Time!
I often - not every season because sometimes I just plain forget - make a SMALL futures bet on two, three teams to win the conf title and the SB.
Fun bets. Beer and taco money.
But on PRICE. I ain't about to send even my snack money into the maws of the books unless I can get price, and a nice payout in Jan or Feb if I win.
Have done it already this year. Didn't shop for odds, have only one book (BoL) hanging over from last years, a few dollars in it. (Man, in today's climate you can't leave your bucks in any book for over a month if you ain't bettin')
I'm actually ahead betting this way. Comfortable so. Because around century's turn I had, one year, St Louis to win the conf and the SB. Remember that, Greatest Show on Turf? Kurt Warner? Nice payoff.
Also had Baltimore preseaason the year they won it all. Two neat hits and a bunch of losers. But the great odds on Rams and Ravens got me in the black on NFL futures, long term. I can bet a few teams each season, tilll mid-century, without another winner,and still be smiling.
OAKLAND - Very nice odds to win both the AFC and the SB. "And," you say, smugly, "they should be!"
Right. Agreed. That's what everyone said about the Rams some 9 years back.
So go tie your money up for 4-5 months on the Colts, Pates, Dallas, Chargers, all the other hotties. I'd rather spend it now on a decent burrito.
Raiders made some neat free agent offseason moves that sshould help.
McFadden, like Peterson last season, could have a huge rookie year. RB is not like most other football positions,where you need a few years to learn proper technique, esp off line, DB, QB and the like. It's a very instinctive postion - you can either do it or you can't.
Now is also Russell's time to shine - he started a few meaningles games season end in '07, and will have a full training camp. He was gangbusters for LSU in college - and no, not just another black QB who runs the ball. H e can throw.
Let's see if he was worth the #1 overall pick in the '07 draft. If so, Raiders can dethrone the Chargers, who are an LT serious injury away from disaster.
NEW ORLEANS: Like the Raiders, make some free-agents signings to bolster a faltering defense,esp in backfield and linebacker And got a great player in the draft,with Trojan DT Ellis.
Fine QB, and now what looks like a much improved D. And not a really strong division. Saints are not at astronomical odds to win conf or SB, but still good enough to tie snack money up on all seasao.