NFL Sharp Money Picks

[treytb8]

Sunday Sharps had Bills +8.5, Seahawks +3, Raiders +3, Colts +11, Redskins +4 and under 45.5. That's a 6 and 0 mark follwed up by a 6 and 0 day in college football saturday, (Nevada +15, Tulsa +32.5, Missouri +22, Florida -17.5, Ohio State -15 & Bowling Green +6)

Anyone wondering how these guys predict these games with such precise accuracy? Is the NFL fixed it is crazy to go 12-0 in a weekend.

I've read some books on how to become a sharp and the most important stat is rushing yards per attempt. An example was last night the Colts were 3 yards better per rush attempt over Pittsburgh, which gives Indy a huge advantage.

[loopydude11]

you didnt post any of those

but if it's true than nicely done and post some this week!

[treytb8]

I will bud, This week so far Sharp money on Wake Forest pick against Boston College, and Iowa State +10.5. Will post more

[iwantcougars]

so post this week plays

[treytb8]

I won't know all plays til day of games as the picks come daily I will keep you guys posted no doubt

[treytb8]

Had a huge play on Atlanta Dream(won) tonight sorry I couldn't post just recently got home I will keep you guys updated on picks whenever I get them

[figue]

[treytb8]

Tennessee/Cleveland o 38

[treytb8]

New Mexico State +3, if your book has 2.5 buy the .5 and take it at 3.

[DarkNite]

Thank you for your help! If you can feed the sharp play, then we will learn and see and try to make $.

[rochestertitans]

what is constituting a sharp play... ans y wasnt idaho one last week?

[treytb8]

Idaho was considered a sharp play from what I read but wasn't one of the larger sharp plays. I will list the big sharps play with stars (*) and others without.

[punkbhstl]

Thanks trey. Will be following this thread.

[treytb8]

I will post all of tommorrows plays for you guys as soon as I get a chance.

[treytb8]

The 2 largest sharp plays last week were Nevada(millions wagered on this game line moved from -21 to -15 in one hour) and the Raiders.

[Leo Bello]

Sunday Sharps had Bills +8.5, Seahawks +3, Raiders +3, Colts +11, Redskins +4 and under 45.5. That's a 6 and 0 mark follwed up by a 6 and 0 day in college football saturday, (Nevada +15, Tulsa +32.5, Missouri +22, Florida -17.5, Ohio State -15 & Bowling Green +6)

Anyone wondering how these guys predict these games with such precise accuracy? Is the NFL fixed it is crazy to go 12-0 in a weekend.

I've read some books on how to become a sharp and the most important stat is rushing yards per attempt. An example was last night the Colts were 3 yards better per rush attempt over Pittsburgh, which gives Indy a huge advantage.

If it were only that simple! Those guys (sharps) sometimes bet early in the week only to drive up a line and buy it back later in the week or only 15 minutes before the kickoff, putting you and all of us on "queer" street. That happened with Seattle over 41 last week. The game was bet up to 43, only to have it bought back under 43 right before game time. You're correct with your selections above, but I'll bet you that you got the games after they had started. I'm not criticizing you or being a know-it-all; I am just saying to track on a daily basis your wiseguy plays and see how they turn out. Then wait for some of the reports from the websights or some other place that lets the public know (in hindsight) what the "sharps" played for the week that come out Saturday night or Sunday (for college), and Sunday night or Monday morning (for NFL). All of them, of course, after the fact. Simple logic dictates that if you were moving millions, the more people knew, the worse of a price you would get. Therefore, these selections are either manipulated or held close to the vest and not something that Joe Public is going to uncover. Try what I suggested. I hope I'm wrong, and I hope you pick nothing but winners, but proceed with caution.

[treytb8]

If it were only that simple! Those guys (sharps) sometimes bet early in the week only to drive up a line and buy it back later in the week or only 15 minutes before the kickoff, putting you and all of us on "queer" street. That happened with Seattle over 41 last week. The game was bet up to 43, only to have it bought back under 43 right before game time. You're correct with your selections above, but I'll bet you that you got the games after they had started. I'm not criticizing you or being a know-it-all; I am just saying to track on a daily basis your wiseguy plays and see how they turn out. Then wait for some of the reports from the websights or some other place that lets the public know (in hindsight) what the "sharps" played for the week that come out Saturday night or Sunday (for college), and Sunday night or Monday morning (for NFL). All of them, of course, after the fact. Simple logic dictates that if you were moving millions, the more people knew, the worse of a price you would get. Therefore, these selections are either manipulated or held close to the vest and not something that Joe Public is going to uncover. Try what I suggested. I hope I'm wrong, and I hope you pick nothing but winners, but proceed with caution.

I will have all plays posted before gametime, so check my picks saturday night and sunday night. You are however right on that some are betted up and right before game time brought back down. I try to avoid these games in these instances most of my plays are games that are betted 2.5 to 3 points or more. Check my plays this weekend.

[treytb8]

I will have all plays posted within gametime for followers, follow me this weekend and we'll win 70% or better.

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

BOL to you. Will peek in and see how this plays out!

[figue]

[treytb8]

Houston +1.5

[thelegend67]

New Mexico State +3, if your book has 2.5 buy the .5 and take it at 3. i cannot find this line anywhere. they are, and opened up as favorite.

[rochestertitans]

houston +1.5?? so u think wake wins?

[thelegend67]

Houston +1.5

baseball i presume?

[treytb8]

Yes astros also I meant new Mexico +3. Get on rutgers +2.5 I would play @ 3 just to be safe. Ny giants/Arizona o 43.5. Early baseball mets/reds u 8.5

[rochestertitans]

whats the strongest... I need 4 strong plays by friday for a work ATS parley

[treytb8]

I'll let you know when I find out bud

[treytb8]

Saturday 2 team teaser. *** Georgia -1 & Rutgers +8.5.

[rochestertitans]

what are the best one out of the ones you listed.. i got to get a 4 teamer... so far i got New mex +2, and san jose st +3

[rochestertitans]

how are you determing "sharp money" on wake and new mex

[Romanov]

Sunday Sharps had Bills +8.5, Seahawks +3, Raiders +3, Colts +11, Redskins +4 and under 45.5. That's a 6 and 0 mark follwed up by a 6 and 0 day in college football saturday, (Nevada +15, Tulsa +32.5, Missouri +22, Florida -17.5, Ohio State -15 & Bowling Green +6) Anyone wondering how these guys predict these games with such precise accuracy? Is the NFL fixed it is crazy to go 12-0 in a weekend. I've read some books on how to become a sharp and the most important stat is rushing yards per attempt. An example was last night the Colts were 3 yards better per rush attempt over Pittsburgh, which gives Indy a huge advantage.

WRONG. To correct yourself start here:

http://www.advancednflstats.com/2007/07/what-makes-teams-win-part-1.html

[bobbyk1133]

WRONG. To correct yourself start here: http://www.advancednflstats.com/2007...in-part-1.html

I tend to agree with Romanov. When were these "books" published? The NFL has changed a lot even over the last couple of years. The new rules combined with the copycat style of the league has made it a predominantly passing league. We've seen some of the worst rushing teams go deep in the playoffs and even win the whole thing recently. Teams have also gone away from the "feature back" and adopt a RBBC style, too.

[loopydude11]

Yes astros also I meant new Mexico +3. Get on rutgers +2.5 I would play @ 3 just to be safe. Ny giants/Arizona o 43.5. Early baseball mets/reds u 8.5

the under hit no prob, nice

[treytb8]

You guys are right the books I read are from the 80s but if you guys wanna follow then follow. Bol

[treytb8]

Sorry haven't been one there were plays today on Colorado and the Over, Minnesota, and San Diego sorry I couldn't post all plays earlier. I will tommorrow as I am free all day.