interesting NFL ats statistic

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  • GGZOLA
    SBR MVP
    • 06-30-06
    • 1118

    #1
    interesting NFL ats statistic
    I have been studying NFL databases for quite some time since I got my ass handed to me last year. Here are some stats for super bowl winners and runner-ups the following year, since 1984-85 superbowl ended:

    If you bet blind every game against SUPER BOWL LOSER laying -3 or more ats: (bet against runner up getting +3 or more) 136-97 58.3%

    If you bet blind on every game against BOTH winner and loser, when they lay 3 or more: (so you take +3 or more against them, regular season)
    305-250 54.95%

    more stats to follow.
  • the-phenomenal-1
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-27-10
    • 351

    #2
    percents

    50 percents ant good odds its still i toss up according to the stats you listed u got 50 50 chance those stats dont help you at all if it was like 85 percent it be a diffrent story then
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    • Scully
      SBR MVP
      • 09-21-06
      • 1276

      #3
      Interesting stats there GGzola.
      Here's one for you:
      Try checking to see how many times one of the two SB participants missed the playoffs altogether the following season over the course of the past 20 or 25 years.
      Now I'm not sure what the 'made' and 'not made' numbers are but I do know for sure they're very, very solid indicating that one of the two teams fails to qualify for the postseason the very next year after playing in the previous year's Super Bowl. I counted the numbers awhile back and I just forget what they are at this time.
      If you do take a notion to look these numbers up going back over the past 20 or 25 seasons, please post them here in your thread.
      Comment
      • GGZOLA
        SBR MVP
        • 06-30-06
        • 1118

        #4
        I'm gonna produce some more stuff Scully, also have a bunch for college games but working on them, and time is an issue
        As for first poster, not gonna waste my time with a response
        Comment
        • TrapperDapper
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-20-10
          • 502

          #5
          Originally posted by the-phenomenal-1
          50 percents ant good odds its still i toss up according to the stats you listed u got 50 50 chance those stats dont help you at all if it was like 85 percent it be a diffrent story then
          58 and 54 are a good clip though.
          Comment
          • GGZOLA
            SBR MVP
            • 06-30-06
            • 1118

            #6
            check this fellas:

            Since 1993-94 season, the loser of the super bowl, favored by -6 or more in any game during regular season and playoffs, when bet AGAINST, produces 52-29 ATS, thats 64% guys.

            Last year, Indy was runner up, you would go 3-1 betting against them when they were fav'd by 6 or more. I know not many games, but if you bet a nickel a game thats almost 1k profit.

            The super bowl winner, when using same angle the year after, is 91-65 for a 58.3% clip.
            Combined, this method has yielded 143-94 record for 60%.
            It yields an average of 2.33 units a year. its not much but interesting
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