Iceman's CFL

icemantbi · 07-03-08, 06:09 PM

Adding:

Calgary -2.5, -106 (2 units)

I don't care that the Eskies are at home, this team is in complete dissaray. I saw a much improved Stampeder team take it to the Lions last week, while the Eskies had a tough time getting anything against the Roughies. Also, let's not forget that Eskimos kicker Prefontaine is one of the worst in the league, and he will miss at least one, maybe more, FG's. Seriously, check out the attempt last week, he missed the uprights by a mile. Anyways, the Stamps defence should shut down the Eskies tonight, and their offence will do the rest.

Dashwood Clipper · 07-03-08, 06:11 PM

Best of luck ICE

icemantbi · 07-04-08, 03:26 PM

Record: 0-2, -4.52 units

0-2 last night, what an awful night. First, the Argos stunk up the joint, then we got moosed big time at the end of the Calgary game. Anyways, on to today:

Winnipeg ML, +101 (2 units)

Montreal looked great last week, but that was against a Hamilton team that took countless penalties and really played a lousy game. It's easy too look at the short line and take the Allouettes as a home team at basically a pick'em, but I'm not falling for it. Sure, the Bombers didn't look particularly great against the Argos in week 1, but it seems every team that didn't look great in week 1, looks great in week 2. In any event, this is a good Bombers team. and Montreal still has question marks in my mind. I think the Bombers take care of things tonight.

icemantbi · 07-04-08, 05:19 PM

ADDING:

Saskatchewan/BC over 51.5, -107 (2 units)

icemantbi · 07-10-08, 03:25 PM

Record: 0-4, -8.66 units

Well guys, we had an atrocious 0-4 week 2. This week it's East meets West, let's hope this inter division play reaps some better rewards:

Calgary/Montreal over 55, -114 (2 units)

I guess I should have got this sooner, but I like to wait and think about where my money is going before I make a play. No matter, I think we are going to see somewhere along the lines of 60 points scored in this one. Ricky Ray shredded this Calgary defence last week, putting 31 on the board. Imagine what Cavillo and co. will do tonight. I'm still not sold on the Allouettes defence yet either. They played Hamilton, who shot themselves in the foot with penalties in week one. Then they met the overrated Blue Bombers last week who are struggling to put points on the board (only 16 against Toronto week 1, and 10 last week against the Als). This will be the Allouttes defence sternest test yet, but considering that the Stamps put up 28 and 31 points against the Lions and Eskies respectively, they should get their fare share of points in this one, especially against a defence that hasn't really had a tough test yet.

icemantbi · 07-10-08, 03:36 PM

Edmonton -2.5, -109 (2 units)

The Eskies haven't got much credit, but I have been watching and they have been getting better and better. Apart from a 4th quarter meltdown against Saskatchewan in week 1, this team has played some decent football. I was very impressed with the offence last week, as Ricky Ray was able to dismantle the Calgary defence, lighting up the scoreboard for 31 points. Tonight they face the Argos that have a ton of question marks. Big news out of that lockerroom today is that Bishop is being put on waivers. I can't understand this move to be honest. Joseph hasn't impressed me yet this season at all. He could have a monster game and light it up, but I'd like to see some proof first. In any event, the Argos haven't impressed yet this season, losing outright at home against the Ti-Cats last week and beating the Bombers, who aren't playing well at all. I'll lay the FG and take what I feel is the team showing improvement.

Hollywood · 07-10-08, 05:41 PM

I'm on Edmonton tonight also, but I like the Bishop move because it lets Jospeh know this is his team, and now he won't have to play looking over his shoulder afraid of being pulled. This move actually scares me off my Edmonton play a little, but unfortunately it's already in. Toronto is clearly a much better team, but the home field advantage should be enough for Edmonton to win.

I like the over also. I'm not sure about your statement about the Bombers being overrated, but Montreal has looked good on offense so far. They might have the best WR's in the league this season. They will undoubtedly slow down as the season goes on, but right now they're clicking. The Bombers also scored 24 points last week, not 10. Edmonton also put up 34 on Calgary, not 31. Not bashing at all with those comments, just correcting a few things for ya as I'm sure you knew the correct scores and just got mixed up as you were writing this.

GL tonight and hopefully we can both win as we're on the same plays.

icemantbi · 07-11-08, 03:27 PM

Yeah, you are right Hollywood, got my numbers crossed up. Looking at too many games and too many numbers

Record: 1-5, -8.28 units

Finally got a W with the Eskies last night in that romp over the Argos. The Argos are in complete dissaray,and until they get their QB situation solved, they will be on my fade list. Bad break in the Montreal over also, with Cavillo going down with a finger injury that effected his play. Without him connecting with his receivers, the over had no chance. Will keep an eye on him next week, without Cavillo, the Allouettes won't be going far. On to today:

Winnipeg -2.5, -105 (2 units)

Big news out of the 'Peg is that Milt Stegal will be suiting up tonight. This should give a shot in the arm to the Winnipeg offence. Glenn will have his go-to guy back and should connect for a better offensive performance than we saw in Weeks 1 and 2. BC is going to be without RB Joe Smith, and I cannot trust Jarious Jackson, he is awful. I wonder how many snaps Pierce is going to get, but Jackson will be starting tonight according to the BC Depth Chart. LT Rob Murphy is also questionable tonight for the Leos and losing him will mean alot more pressure on Jackson, which won't help his completion % at all. Look for him to be sacked a few times.

icemantbi · 07-12-08, 10:16 AM

0-1 last night, Winnipeg stunk up the joint. They have some serious issues right now that's for sure. They definitely do not look like the team that everyone pinned to go all the way to the Grey Cup before the season started. On to today:

Saskatchewan/Hamilton under 43, -102 (2 units)

The main cog in Hamilton's offense is Lumsden and he will be getting the ball often. With Crandell out and Durant getting the start, you will be sure to see Wes Cates get alot of runs. This will resemble more of an NFL game, in that running will be more frequent than a usual CFL game. This will keep the clock moving. Also, Sask's defence is the best defence the Ti-Cats have faced all season, and I think the Hamilton offense will have problems breaking through. I expect this to be a close, low scoring game, so I'm going strictly with the under.

icemantbi · 07-17-08, 03:10 PM

Record: 1-7, -12.42 units

As you can see by my record, I've been getting my ass handed to me so far. Really need to start turning things around here this week.

Calgary -9.5, -106 (2 units)

9.5 is alot of points, but then again Lumsden being out for Hamilton is going to cause some big problems. Tre Smith is no Lumsden and won't give Hamilton the ground presence they have with Lumsden. That leaves Printers and the inexperienced Hamilton receiving corps, but Calgary's got a great pass rush defence and that's going to cause Printers a ton of problems. I see Calgary opening up a can of whoop ass tonight and they should cruise to a double digit win. But, if they don't, I'll set myself up with this:

7 point teaser: Calgary -2.5, BC -2, -120 (2 units)

This one is pretty self explanatory here. As I stated above, I see a double digit win for the Stamps, but in case it goes wrong (like in the last couple of weeks for me) I have a nice backup. Calgary should definitely win and cover the 2.5 points. Winnipeg is in complete shambles and they look really awful, plus tomorrow is the big Bob Ackles ceremony, so I don't see BC losing at home, not against the Bombers.

icemantbi · 07-18-08, 01:50 PM

Great start to the weekend. Exactly what I needed. Calgary played lights out yesterday, and Hamilton's defence is atrocious.

I'm letting my teaser ride tonight. If I can get Winnipeg catching 10 points, I might consider middling, but right now I'm very comfortable with my BC -2 tonight.

icemantbi · 07-19-08, 12:50 PM

Record: 3-7, -8.42 units

Teaser hit last night, makes me 2-0 so far this weekend. Starting to claw back units from the books, hoping for a clean sweep rest of the weekend, let's keep the roll going tonight.

Saskatchewan/Montreal under 50, -102 (2 units)

Weather reports tonight for Regina look awful. Calling for thundershowers, that means plenty of rain, and in a passing league like the CFL, that means many drops and 2 and outs. Combine this with the fact we have two good defensive teams squaring off should equate to lots of punts and an under. Also, will Calvillo be 100%? He was awful after suffering that finger injury last weekend. The Roughies will be looking for Cates to rush the ball, and seeing how Montreal was able handle Lumsden in week 1, I'm confident they will handle Cates. Montreal's offense is primarily pass, and with the weather looking the way it is and Cavillo's hand probably not completely healed, it's going to be a long night for the Al's on offence. All combined, I don't see this game breaking 45 points tonight.

icemantbi · 07-20-08, 01:51 PM

Well, last night might be the last CFL under I play. Under looked great after 1st quarter, looked ok at the half, then the 2nd half came and they make it a scorefest. On to today:

Edmonton +4.5, -113 (2 units)

I see alot of people on the Argos, I will not put a penny on Toronto until they show me they can put together a solid effort. I don't care that it was close last week between the 2 teams at the half, the final score is what counts, and the fact is the Argos self-destructed. The Eskies are getting no respect at all, I think they have a great shot to take this game outright, the points are a gift IMHO. Argos shouldn't be laying points to anyone. And home field means nothing if you look at that angle, I've been to Argos games, you can hear a pin drop in the Rogers Centre. I'll keep fading the Argos here.

dwaechte · 07-20-08, 02:48 PM

Good luck iceman, I strongly agree with the play and everything you said in the breakdown.

icemantbi · 07-20-08, 06:53 PM

Well, we got the cover by the hairs of our chinny chin chin, but a win is a win, and a 3-1 week 4 is what I needed this week after the last 2 lousy weeks.

icemantbi · 07-24-08, 03:33 PM

Record: 4-8, -8.46 units

Coming off a great 3-1 week 4, exactly what I needed. Hope I can continue in week 5, and take back some more from the books.

Calgary -6, -102 (2 units)

Calgary has the best offense in the league right now, and I don't see Winnipeg able to stop them. Winnipeg's defence is dinged up and the loss of Barin Simpson will really hurt the Bombers defence, and I don't see how they are going to be able to contain Burris and his corps of wide receivers. Coach Huffnagel has done a terrific job with this Calgary offence, and he will be aware of the mismatches in the Winnipeg secondary. Willie Amos won't be able to handle Kenyon Rambo, and Marlborough will get smoked by Nick Lewis. On offence, the Bombers have proved very anemic. With only 10 first downs against BC last weekend, they will continue to struggle to move the chains tonight. Dinwiddie gets the call insted of the terrible Glenn but Calgary's plan will be to attack him and this will result in Dinwiddie throwing some bad balls and getting picked off a few times. Winless Winnipeg is a desperate team, and that makes them dangerous, but I just don't see how Winnipeg will be able to hang in this game. The only reason last weeks game against BC was close until late in the 4th quarter was because Jarious Jackson didn't play well for 3 quarters. Burris has yet to have a bad game, and if continues to play as well as he has in the first few weeks this year, it's going to be a long night for the Blue Bombers.

icemantbi · 07-25-08, 03:43 PM

0-1 last night, in what was Calgarys worst game of the season, without question. No pass rush whatsoever, they gave Dinwiddie all day long to pass, and Calgary's DB's got burned on every single play. Don't let the score fool you, Calgary just shit the bed big time last night. Let's move on.

Edmonton/Hamilton over 53, -109 (2 units)

Overs have been the theme since week 1. This theme should continue in this game. With Lumsden back for Hamilton tonight, their offense gets their main threat back. Edmonton has some problems defensively, especially stopping the run, and this is going to give Lumsden a good amount of yardage tonight that should lead to some scores. On the other side of the ball, we have the Eskimos, ranked 2nd in offense in the league, scoring an average of 31.2 points per game. They should be able to get some scoring against a porous Hamilton defence that allows an average of 30.5 points per game. I see this game getting in the upper 50's easily, possibly even more.

icemantbi · 07-25-08, 04:19 PM

Adding:

3 team, 10 point teaser:

Edmonton/Hamilton over 43, Montreal +16, Montreal/BC over 43, -130 (2 units)

I don't play many 3 team teasers, but I really like this play. Hamilton/Edmonton should get over 43 with ease. The Alouettes have proved they can score, they are the 3rd ranked offense in the league. Only when AC went down with that finger against Calgary did they fail to get over 30 points this year on offense. There is no way that BC will beat Montreal by more than 16 points. Montreal ****ed up big time against the Roughies in the last 3 minutes of last weeks game, even if they **** it up tonight, they still won't lose by more than 16. Jarious Jackson doesn't play well at home for some reason, he's better on the road. Maybe he's like Bret Favre and doesn't like the dome? In any event, this is a really nice teaser.

icemantbi · 07-25-08, 08:56 PM

ADDING:
7pt teaser

Montreal +13, over 46, -120 (4 units)

icemantbi · 07-26-08, 08:45 AM

'll admit it, I chased last night after that horrid offensive performance in the Edmonton/Hamilton game. The Alouettes and the over came through with ease, brought me to even last night.

Going to be away all weekend, so I'll post my play now for Sunday:

Saskatchewan -5.5, -108 (2 units)

I'll keep fading the Argos here. Sask at home will be just too much for the Argos to handle. Sask at home is averaging 37.5 points per game, and the Argos on the road are giving up 31.5 points per game. Argos have had problems all year against good defences, and Sask will be the toughest one they will face, with Sask allowing just 23 points per game. Conversley, the Argos can't score on the road, scoring a measly 25.5 points per game. Everything points to an easy Roughie win on Sunday.

icemantbi · 07-31-08, 03:27 PM

Record: 6-11, -9.28 units

A shitty week last week, dropped a unit on CFL. Good thing I chased on the Als and over, that cut my losses substantially. And another win by the hook in the Saskatchewan game, glad I had them at 5.5 and not 6, or 6.5 like some had. On to week 6.

7 point teaser:

Montreal -3, B.C./Edmonton under 61, -120 (2 units)

Really like this teaser. Montreal just dominates Hamilton at home. They haven't won a game in Montreal since 2001, that's eight games! What's even worse for the Ti-Cats, Printers won't get the start. Instead it will be backup QB Richie Williams getting behind centre. The problem Hamilton will have in this game is that they are unable to put up points on the board. Now, Montreal is suffering some key injuries in their secondary, most notably safety Proulx and CB Estelle. But Hamilton coach Taffee is one of the more dumb coaches in the league, and whether he can take advantage of this is to be seen. Hamilton though has their own injuries in their secondary though as Jakyne Bradley will be missed. Hamilton will also be missing WR Tony Miles. However, I'm not laying the big points, so I'm teasing this with Edmonton under, write up on that game below.

Edmonton under 54, -102 (2 units)

About the second game, major injuries on offence in both teams are going to make points hard to come by. Geroy Simon is out for BC, and that is their main cog in their offence. For Edmonton, Jason Tucker is out. These are 2 of the top 5 receivers in the CFL that are out tonight. With Simon out for BC, the Lions are going to be forced to run the ball more, he only has Clermont, who is terribly slow, and Paris Jackson. Edmonton has a good attacking defence, we saw how well they blitzed hamilton last week, expect the same today when Jackson has to pass. BC is looking to play 4 quarters of solid D tonight, which they have done on the road. BC is #1 in the league in INT's and sacks, that tells you they can play solid defence, especially against an Edmonton team missing their best receiver in Tucker. Another thing to add is that this game will be played on grass, which is a slower field than the Astro-Turf found in the other stadiums in the league. To sum up, the loss of 2 of the best receivers in the league, coupled with 2 good defences, I can't see many points in this game. It's going to be a battle of Field position and possession, and many FG's.

betplom · 07-31-08, 05:42 PM

Solid write-ups, you make some strong arguments for the under in the BC/EDM game.

I think I'll play that if Montreal comes through in the first game.

icemantbi · 08-01-08, 04:16 PM

Hope you didn't play it Betplom, this league is geared to go over, the DB's are just brutal in this league, they can't cover anyone.

1-1 yesterday, cashing the teaser but losing the straight under. We are making this league more difficult really. Every game seems to go over, so that's what I'm sticking to now. No more unders for me, and going to play alot of teasers now.

7 pt teaser

Winnipeg +10.5, over 45, -120 (2 units)

No brainer when it comes to the over here. All of them are getting to 50 points. The DB's in this league are just brutal. WR's are getting open all the time, getting 20 yards of space. Even BC, which supposedly has the best secondary in the league gives up wide open receivers. I really like Winnipeg teased, I still don't trust the Argos at all. Dinwiddie looked good last week, and the 'Peg looked more composed and confident. Toronto has still not done anything to warrant laying points on. They could win, but I don't see them covering 10.5 points in any event. Seems like teams tend to keep it close, or come back in the 4th quarter to **** the spreads.

Dashwood Clipper · 08-01-08, 05:03 PM

I wish you luck and agree, even though I lean Toronto, I cant back them, even at home. I do however like the under 52, at -102 its a solid value. I like the 1st half under 27, but the juice is at -120. Just dont know how to approach it.

Dashwood Clipper · 08-01-08, 05:48 PM

Taking the chalk, first half under 27 at -120. Once in the last 10 meetings between these teams has the first half score exceeded 27 points, which was October 16 2005, when these teams combined to score 29 first half points. Since then the highest combined total has been 22.

Marigold HD · 08-02-08, 01:50 AM

I like your posts Iceantbi.......nice reads and insights

icemantbi · 08-02-08, 05:58 PM

No offensive performance last night, killed the teaser. The under is not the norm though. Big play for me tonight:

7 pt teaser

Calgary pk, Over 47.5, -120 (4 units)

I really like this play. This is a bad spot for the undefeated Roughies on the road. I think they get their first loss of the year here. They will be facing the most potent offense in the league. Also, lots of points will be put up here, at least 50.

Brady2Moss · 08-02-08, 06:32 PM

I got the over aswell

icemantbi · 08-02-08, 10:51 PM

I can't believe that Calgary couldn't beat an injury riddled Saskatchewan team. Calgary's offence woke up much to late in this game.

For any followers of my thread, this week was it for me in CFL. I'm done, this league is just uncappable. College foots and NFL (regular season, I don't bet preseason) are just a month away. I'm not throwing any more money on this league.