1 EARLY NFLX Play for Friday

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    1 EARLY NFLX Play for Friday
    Falcons -2.5 -103 (Heritage)

    NFLX 2010: 14-13, +1.61

    Last year was my worst preseason since 1999, and I still made a tiny profit.
  • caseyking2
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-06
    • 1261

    #2
    Also liking the Falcons. I'm leaning toward the Seahawks and the Eagles for Thursday night whats your thought on those 2
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      I definitely lean Ravens over Eagles.

      No opinion yet on Seahawks game.
      Comment
      • befus
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-01-09
        • 536

        #4
        Originally posted by LT Profits
        Falcons -2.5 -103 (Heritage)

        NFLX 2010: 14-13, +1.61

        Last year was my worst preseason since 1999, and I still made a tiny profit.
        GL bro.
        Comment
        • bigugly
          SBR MVP
          • 01-04-08
          • 1329

          #5
          I'm on this and will definitely be checking for your preaseason input. Thanks!
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by caseyking2
            Also liking the Falcons. I'm leaning toward the Seahawks and the Eagles for Thursday night whats your thought on those 2
            OK, yes I like the Seahawks.
            Comment
            • Mike Huntertz
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-19-09
              • 11246

              #7
              Thanxs LT, gonna tail both Birds
              Comment
              • DeluxeLiner
                SBR MVP
                • 01-29-08
                • 4132

                #8
                LT can you tell us the reason you like these teams. How you calculated the value? That would be most helpful.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by DeluxeLiner
                  LT can you tell us the reason you like these teams. How you calculated the value? That would be most helpful.
                  This isn't the regular season. so you can't use the normal approach of setting a line and comparing it to the actual line. Preseason is all about motivation and coach's tendencies and finding games where one team cares more about winning that the other team. You will notice that 95% of my preseason plays are underdogs, the Falcons are a unique favorite play because of this...

                  Comment
                  • Broken-Ear Glen
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-31-10
                    • 595

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits

                    This isn't the regular season. so you can't use the normal approach of setting a line and comparing it to the actual line. Preseason is all about motivation and coach's tendencies and finding games where one team cares more about winning that the other team. You will notice that 95% of my preseason plays are underdogs, the Falcons are a unique favorite play because of this...

                    http://www.miamiherald.com/2011/08/0...-dolphins.html
                    Wow nice find. Do you just use 1unit on all bets?
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Broken-Ear Glen
                      Wow nice find. Do you just use 1unit on all bets?
                      If 1 unit = 2.5% of bankroll, then yes.....99% of the time.

                      Once in a great while I may step up to between 3-4%, but a lot of stuff needs to line up for that.
                      Comment
                      • kcburg
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-30-10
                        • 1219

                        #12
                        down to -2 now at Heritage...
                        Comment
                        • Reload
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-23-08
                          • 12258

                          #13
                          Thanks, LT!

                          Guys - be sure to follow LT's preseason selections. Money every year
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by kcburg
                            down to -2 now at Heritage...
                            VERY surprising.

                            Hopefully the people betting Miami are doing so because of Spirano's great preseason record and not because of inside info on Atlanta tanking also
                            Comment
                            • Romanov
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-08-10
                              • 4137

                              #15
                              Lt,

                              Are you on anything tonight?
                              Comment
                              • TTA_President
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-14-10
                                • 1434

                                #16
                                Interesting info
                                Comment
                                • onlooker
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 36572

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TTA_President
                                  Interesting info
                                  This got buried.

                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Romanov
                                    Lt,

                                    Are you on anything tonight?
                                    THURSDAY
                                    Seahawks +3.5 -113 (Hetitage)
                                    Broncos +142 ML (5 Dimes)

                                    FRIDAY
                                    Falcons -2.5 -103 (Heritage)
                                    Comment
                                    • kcburg
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-30-10
                                      • 1219

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      VERY surprising.

                                      Hopefully the people betting Miami are doing so because of Spirano's great preseason record and not because of inside info on Atlanta tanking also

                                      my bad is didn't move off 2.5..damn Chrome.
                                      Comment
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