Who's the best Capper on this Thread?

jedikarl · 08-06-11, 03:20 PM

it changes year on year for example kroyrunner won beat the prick with some amazing high 70& across the 2009 yet in 2010 he was trending at 29% before disappering

BetWeather · 08-06-11, 09:08 PM

ME !
I won 3 walmart cards last year .

Bosseman22 · 08-06-11, 09:39 PM

try the pick exchange i'm not a member but they track plays and compare them against other people who are similar so you can make decisions based on that

Bosseman22 · 08-06-11, 09:54 PM

I'm always in top 40

FJ_islander · 08-07-11, 11:17 AM

It is really hard to name a name here but every so often you would see people getting hot here and they turn cold as well. You need to check in every day and look up for yourself. Decide who you would want to trail and follow them when they are hot.

GunShard · 08-07-11, 05:58 PM

My important rules for gambling:

#1. Money management is extremely important. Use a money management system and stick with it religiously. Give yourself a limit per week and know when to quit. You should be using 1% of your bankroll for each bet.

#2 Bet because you can win. Never bet for the action or just because it's your favorite team. Be selective. Pick your spots and wait for the right opportunity.

#3. Pay attention to the lines all the way to the end of the week, try to make profit off the line. Always shop for the best line, Always! You should have an account in multiple books.

#4. Know that you are making profits off of other gamblers, you are not making profit off of the casinos and bookers. That's why they adjust the lines accordingly.

#5. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession.

#6. Patience & Discipline is the key. Develop these skills.

#7. Know when to fade the public.

#8. I personally would avoid playing pre season, due to imbalanced teams and teams who are just experimenting. The first few weeks of the NFL regular season is a guessing game.

#9. Pay attention to injuries to important players, it can effect the outcome of a game.

Here are rules I took from someone on the internet:

1. Establish a base line for the game to determine value when a line is more or less than your number. You can do this by using power ratings and weekly adjustment charts to update each team's power rating weekly.

2. Situational handicapping- look for things like revenge, maybe a player is shooting his mouth off, key injuries. Note; linemakers are sharp and generally build the line to compensate for the injury, it's when the public overbets the injury to look at playing the otherside.

3.Statistical handicapping- does a team have a top ranked rushing or passing game going against a low ranked defense. Turnovers?

4. Fundemental handicapping- are their any strong trends or coaching advantages. How well do they play on the road? What is their red zone %, are they able to run the clock out with a lead, etc...

yahoonino · 08-07-11, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by GunShard

My important rules for gambling:

#1. Money management is extremely important. Use a money management system and stick with it religiously. Give yourself a limit per week and know when to quit. You should be using 1% of your bankroll for each bet.

#2 Bet because you can win. Never bet for the action or just because it's your favorite team. Be selective. Pick your spots and wait for the right opportunity.

#3. Pay attention to the lines all the way to the end of the week, try to make profit off the line. Always shop for the best line, Always! You should have an account in multiple books.

#4. Know that you are making profits off of other gamblers, you are not making profit off of the casinos and bookers. That's why they adjust the lines accordingly.

#5. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession.

#6. Patience & Discipline is the key. Develop these skills.

#7. Know when to fade the public.

#8. I personally would avoid playing pre season, due to imbalanced teams and teams who are just experimenting. The first few weeks of the NFL regular season is a guessing game.

#9. Pay attention to injuries to important players, it can effect the outcome of a game.

Here are rules I took from someone on the internet:

1. Establish a base line for the game to determine value when a line is more or less than your number. You can do this by using power ratings and weekly adjustment charts to update each team's power rating weekly.

2. Situational handicapping- look for things like revenge, maybe a player is shooting his mouth off, key injuries. Note; linemakers are sharp and generally build the line to compensate for the injury, it's when the public overbets the injury to look at playing the otherside.

3.Statistical handicapping- does a team have a top ranked rushing or passing game going against a low ranked defense. Turnovers?

4. Fundemental handicapping- are their any strong trends or coaching advantages. How well do they play on the road? What is their red zone %, are they able to run the clock out with a lead, etc...

very good

GunShard · 08-07-11, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by yahoonino

very good

I'm glad you liked it.

More people need to read that advice, especially rookies who are new to handicapping.

odog11 · 08-08-11, 12:43 PM

Originally posted by GunShard

My important rules for gambling: #1. Money management is extremely important. Use a money management system and stick with it religiously. Give yourself a limit per week and know when to quit. You should be using 1% of your bankroll for each bet. #2 Bet because you can win. Never bet for the action or just because it's your favorite team. Be selective. Pick your spots and wait for the right opportunity. #3. Pay attention to the lines all the way to the end of the week, try to make profit off the line. Always shop for the best line, Always! You should have an account in multiple books. #4. Know that you are making profits off of other gamblers, you are not making profit off of the casinos and bookers. That's why they adjust the lines accordingly. #5. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession. #6. Patience & Discipline is the key. Develop these skills. #7. Know when to fade the public. #8. I personally would avoid playing pre season, due to imbalanced teams and teams who are just experimenting. The first few weeks of the NFL regular season is a guessing game. #9. Pay attention to injuries to important players, it can effect the outcome of a game. Here are rules I took from someone on the internet: 1. Establish a base line for the game to determine value when a line is more or less than your number. You can do this by using power ratings and weekly adjustment charts to update each team's power rating weekly. 2. Situational handicapping- look for things like revenge, maybe a player is shooting his mouth off, key injuries. Note; linemakers are sharp and generally build the line to compensate for the injury, it's when the public overbets the injury to look at playing the otherside. 3.Statistical handicapping- does a team have a top ranked rushing or passing game going against a low ranked defense. Turnovers? 4. Fundemental handicapping- are their any strong trends or coaching advantages. How well do they play on the road? What is their red zone %, are they able to run the clock out with a lead, etc...

Excellent write up and the only point I in theory disagree with is not betting pre-season. I would think that if you follow a couple of teams closely and check their track record you should be able to find situations where a team, or even certain players, in a game will be far more motivated then their opponent. I have noticed this with the Patriots and have played them a couple of times and one, and conversely seen a real goose egg coming before a game starts. Going to try to try my hand a little at it again this year and maybe get some help from others that are following certain teams closely.

Ice House · 08-08-11, 03:36 PM

that is the million dollar question. Who on this forum is a good capper. ...?You don't really see many threads where a guy comes in post his picks on a weekly/daily basis and have it last for long.

What usually happens is as soon as a poster post a losing pick people flock to the thread and bash the guy and make personal attacks until the poster decides not to share his picks anymore. Too much negativity on SBR forums. And then there are other threads where so much BS my rooster is bigger than yours that is it is nearly impossible to find the picks