Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

[BetterBizness]

Its a shitty, shitty day in Edmonton with 40kph/25mph wind gusts... sitting at 11 deg C, 50 deg F... likely a much more carefully played game because of the conditions... have to lean stronger on the under here...

[1bfqrsx79]

Thanks man i appreciate the posts. Should be more people with there plays for the CFL.

[xraygord]

Too bad about that Argo game, but the Bombers are 2-0!! YEEHAW! First time sonce 2003 they had a start like this.

Keep up the great work BB.

[BetterBizness]

Too bad about that Argo game, but the Bombers are 2-0!! YEEHAW! First time sonce 2003 they had a start like this.

Keep up the great work BB.

Thanks Gord for the points, Appreciate it... nice to see Winnipeg picking it up right now... Bombers 2-0, Jets back... as a sports fan man you are in a good place right now...

[BetterBizness]

Saturday , July 9th - 2:00 PM MST (TSN, NFL NETWORK)

Montreal -3.5 @ Saskatchewan O/U 55

Montreal 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
BC 26@Mon 30

Saskatchewan 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Edm 42@Sask 28

This line is crossing over the key number of 3 with mostly a “Bounce back” theory that Saskatchewan lost to a Wild Card Eskimo team in week 1… Badly… But so what? Bad opener, now they play the Champs which they barely lost to in the Grey Cup last year… At home yet…

I think this number is really inflated considering they split their series last year in the regular season in close games… (W1@Sask) Sask 54-51, (W6@Mon) Mon 30-26 … and down to the wire in the Grey Cup (Grey Cup) Mon 21-18.

I really hope this number gets pushed a little more come game time, but I really think that this is in fact, a ML play on the riders at +145 … But for the squeamish, take the +3.5 that is widely available at the current time.

A really slow start by the Riders last week caused them to play catchup, but considering no one knew who the Eskimos were/are, it’s understandable. This week though will be a ton of prep against a team that they are uber familiar with combined with a “Rider Pride” at home that has just lost 10 times in the past 4 years (11 including last week) … QB Durant was 27-37-330 but offset his 2 TD’s with 3 INTs, which was the game changing stat. I don’t expect him to repeat this.

Montreal looked extremely average last week at home, and have a lot more to prove this year after losing their key RB Cobourne to Hamilton. RB Whitaker stepped in nicely last week with a 17-119 performance, but after the Als got their 27-10 lead, they basically got shut down by BC who in most respects should have won the game, or at least pulled it to OT…

It’s a shot, but I’m going to say the Champs get taken down, in a low(er) scoring game.

3x Sask +3.5
1x Sask +145
1x Mon/Sask Under 55

Adding

2x on the Riders +3.5

Total
5x now +3.5

Remember my friends in the US, that this game is on the NFL Network...

[gtboy]

thanks for pick, i like riders + points. i think this is going to be close low scoring game. I Think lol. gl

[Scully]

Bol with the prairie Riders this afternoon BB.

[xraygord]

Thanks Gord for the points, Appreciate it... nice to see Winnipeg picking it up right now... Bombers 2-0, Jets back... as a sports fan man you are in a good place right now...

You said it! The city is just buzzing. NHL is going to be awesome.

[xraygord]

Its a shitty, shitty day in Edmonton with 40kph/25mph wind gusts... sitting at 11 deg C, 50 deg F... likely a much more carefully played game because of the conditions... have to lean stronger on the under here...

How many units did you put down originally on the UNDER. I didn't see it in the write up.

[BetterBizness]

Hamilton @ Edmonton -2 O/U 52.5

Hamilton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Win 24@Ham 16 U52.5

Edmonton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Edm 42@Sask 28 O52.5

Last week right after Hamilton had Winnipeg snatch a win from them, I was convinced that the Cats are the play in week 2. After a huge start from the Esks, they are world beaters, and thus the line is nearly a pickem. Despiute all the momentum, it ugly and rainy the day before game day in Edmonton, and if this translates to tomorrow, this will likely mean an ugly, sloppy game, possibly leading to an under.

Last year they split, (W14@Edm) Edm 37-35, (W15@Ham) Ham 36-11. The one in Edmonton however was a couple of key turnovers early in the game by Hamilton that led to all sorts of offensive momentum by the Esks as QB Ray tossed for 384 yards.

Watching the Cats last week, they were in complete control, except when it mattered, while the Esks played what one may say was completely over their heads, and even over their own expectations. Esks are turning it around no doubt, but Hamilton is basically already there. I’m not going to bet when I am against the Esks, but, I believe Hamilton is the play in some Ugly, Windy conditions keeping the game low. Even if the weather improves, I don’t believe the Esks are going to have 2 conseutive “surprise” offensive games, in particular with the Hamilton Beastly D-Line. On top of this, I really believe this game is a toss up being in Edmonton, despite giving the edge to the Cats.

Thus,

Hamilton +2 (Not betting)
Edm/Ham U 52.5

Sorry didn't put the units down on this game, but I'm going to lay really low even though the conditions are favourable for the under...

1x on Edm/Ham Under 52.5 (Now 53 in most places)

thanks Gord for noticing...

[Dharmonize]

Threw a unit on Sask ml... I know the field goal might make a difference, but I just like + money lines better than the spread It´s payback time... GL with this game, everyone!

[BetterBizness]

well.. looks close at half 17-17... lets hope this keeps up...

[BetterBizness]

Adding 2H play... I just think despite the strong start, things will settle... lets say 1TD per team per quarter would be nice.. or a total suck in...

3x Sask/Mon Under 29

[BetterBizness]

FFS MOntreal... 13 straight pass completions... This is a clinic... It just doesn't stop for them

[Scully]

Calvillo is shredding the Rider secondary bigtime with the wind at his back and did the job with 2third quarter TD's. Durant didn't take any time off the clock on that last possession and consequently they gave it right back to the Als who converted. Saksatchewan is going to have to return the favor in the fourth with the wind at their backs. The Als offense certainly seems downright scary through the first couple of games into the season. BB I'm sure you would much prefer the Riders to get back into this contest in the fourth and forget about the second half under play. However at least that wager provides you with some insurance providing of course Montreal doesn't do any more damage in the final quarter.

[BetterBizness]

Absolutely pouring in Edmonton... maybe a 1H under to add..

[BetterBizness]

Calvillo is shredding the Rider secondary bigtime with the wind at his back and did the job with 2third quarter TD's. Durant didn't take any time off the clock on that last possession and consequently they gave it right back to the Als who converted. Saksatchewan is going to have to return the favor in the fourth with the wind at their backs. The Als offense certainly seems downright scary through the first couple of games into the season. BB I'm sure you would much prefer the Riders to get back into this contest in the fourth and forget about the second half under play. However at least that wager provides you with some insurance providing of course Montreal doesn't do any more damage in the final quarter.

Ya I agree... Really hoping montreal doesn't put up any more points though on this next drive down 14... but that's more a wish upon a star right now... Calvillo is just fn unbelievable... you could put you, me, bluedragon, Dharm, Dennis Green and a bunch of other guys in this thread playing receiver for the Als and he would make us all look like allstars...

[Dharmonize]

Sask not playin´second half?

[BetterBizness]

Good night Saskatchewan... 0-2 for the season... losers...

[BetterBizness]

Useless TD if you can't stop them Riders... 3x Under is shot...

[Scully]

f\*\*k ain't that the truth about Calvillo BB. The guy is, as you said, ridiculously unbelieveable today and I guess last week as well against BC. If it's pouring cats and dogs in Edmonton as you say, then I have to hit the under. Actually I was leaning toward the under in that game before I heard about the nasty weather.

[BetterBizness]

Adding

3x Edm/Ham 1H Under 26.5

[Scully]

Bol with the under BB.

[BetterBizness]

Adding

3x Edm/Ham 1H Under 26.5

Cash it...not going to make it all back from the Raiders...er Riders today but some is good

[Scully]

Congrats on the 1st H winner BB.

[BetterBizness]

Tempting to take the over 26 2h but I'm laying off with my incredible discipline haha

[BetterBizness]

Congrats on the 1st H winner BB.

Saw you unloaded as well scully...well played and worked out as we needed

[Scully]

Yeah and I think the TiCats get things turned around and put a couple of majors on the board as well in this 2nd half. Bol.

[tension]

Nice hit BB! I didn't realise the Sask game was early so I missed it which as lucky I guess

[Dharmonize]

Nice hit on that total!

[xraygord]

Cash it...not going to make it all back from the Raiders...er Riders today but some is good

Nice play, glad I got it in.

Looking forward to next week.

[ManBearPig]

Quiet here...any opinions on the games tomorrow and this weekend?

[itgsports]

Is this the only CFL thread? If I had to I would probably go chalk with Calgary -3 and the Overs 52.5. Haven't paid enough attention to the CFL to feel to great about it though. Any opinions?

[Vince Lombardi]

So what are the plays this weekend? Don't follow CFL but some of you are doing well and thought I might follow along.

[BetterBizness]

Overall Tally

Week 2

Tor@Win = -5.5x
Cal@BC = +16.5x
Mon@Sask = -10.1x
Edm@Sas = +4.0x

Week 2 Total = +4.9
Overall Total = +10.15