LT nothing to say about the public?
It Looks Like the Packers Will Be Favored by Kick-off
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tshaferSBR High Roller
- 06-04-10
- 192
#36Comment -
KGamblerSBR MVP
- 07-09-09
- 2404
#37
You got any more inside info???Comment -
SniperpicksSBR MVP
- 01-14-11
- 4717
#38Falcons under Matt Ryan lost to Arizona and Kurt Warner in the playoffs. I guess he meant .................... no experience winning a playoff gameComment -
hitthew8roomSBR Sharp
- 11-09-09
- 466
#39packers are gonna win, flacons have played a ton of close games against good teamsComment -
raydogSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-07-07
- 6984
#40so let me get this straight , LT...cus its confusing me.... you think that a GB team, who lost on the road to chicago, washington, atlanta, detroit and new england should be favored...on the road, again...against the best home team in the nfc...who already beat them at home once??? put the bottle down Fishhead... you are reading way too much into this line movement also... the books have had an entire week to juggle the line around at 1 and 2 ... Pay more attention to what happened to the line the first hour it opened as opposed to what happened throughout an entire week ... how long you been doing this stuff?Comment -
kingdomSBR Posting Legend
- 07-25-10
- 10099
#41How quiet are all you packer backers gonna be when your dead wrong.you guys are awfully loud right now. Atl wins ml. If I'm wrong, I never hide.Comment -
MonteSBR MVP
- 08-21-10
- 2056
#42Which is a joke, Atlanta should be -3.
Do people realize that the slightly better team plays at home here?!?Comment -
crustymeSBR Posting Legend
- 09-29-10
- 16896
#43last time these teams met last november, turner ran for like 120yds yet they needed a 48yd fg to barely pull it out.
now gb has a running attack plus a hot rodgers. as long as they dont throw to james jones i think they can win outright. lolComment -
rm18SBR Posting Legend
- 09-20-05
- 22291
#44Turner is a slouch now though he has fallen way off since the first gameComment -
tony_comeSBR Posting Legend
- 03-31-10
- 21695
#45I'm letting you guys know
packers winComment -
MonteSBR MVP
- 08-21-10
- 2056
#46oh and LT stop it already...i read in another thread that you would put the Pats ML to -900 or something, because you think they would win 9/10 games...when books like Pinny have it at just -400, and would get HAMMERED if the line would be off by so much.
The wisdom you spread is like toilet paper =pComment -
MBENZSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-07-07
- 5238
#47Packers are getting healthy and hitting their potential at just the right time.Pack/Steelers should make a great SB.Comment -
JaugSBR MVP
- 01-11-09
- 3087
#48Such a fishy line, would expect atlanta to be bigger favorites. Right now, according to line, only thing atlanta got going for them is home field adv.Comment -
mav924SBR Wise Guy
- 12-06-09
- 718
#49Packers ML is a good play. Best I could find is 115 at BetusComment -
slacker00SBR Posting Legend
- 10-06-05
- 12262
#50What's wrong with setting up a fat middle? I see this game as coming down to a FG either way. I've been using teasers all week on the Packers side, but if the line moves across the zero I'm doing the same thing with Atlanta and hoping for a close game with the huge real estate of +-7 on both sides.Comment -
donnyguruSBR High Roller
- 10-14-06
- 231
#51One game of running the ball on Philly without Stuart Bradley doesn't constitute a running attack.Comment -
MikailSBR Posting Legend
- 07-19-09
- 21689
#52Packers for the win.Comment -
Dark HorseSBR Posting Legend
- 12-14-05
- 13764
#53With this type of back-and-forth movement, I'm willing to bet that the public didn't cause the early movement (to -2.5). If sharps were waiting for +3, and the public jumped on GB later in the week, that would also means the wait-outs had to settle for less. So I wouldn't be so willing to read too much into this movement. The general public knows very little about Atlanta.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#55so let me get this straight , LT...cus its confusing me.... you think that a GB team, who lost on the road to chicago, washington, atlanta, detroit and new england should be favored...on the road, again...against the best home team in the nfc...who already beat them at home once??? put the bottle down Fishhead... you are reading way too much into this line movement also... the books have had an entire week to juggle the line around at 1 and 2 ... Pay more attention to what happened to the line the first hour it opened as opposed to what happened throughout an entire week ... how long you been doing this stuff?
As for the initial line movement you are referring to, the biggest key there is that the line never hit 3, which is a strong indication that the books actually invited all that early money on Atlanta and are not that worried about it. And again, whether or not I think the Packers SHOULD be favored at Atlanta is irrelevant because this thread is based on how the line trended so quickly last night.
As for how long I have been doing this, judging by your overreaction, I would say longer than you have been on this earth.Comment -
mighty maronSBR MVP
- 04-20-09
- 4215
#56Thank you for the write up LT.Comment -
Dark HorseSBR Posting Legend
- 12-14-05
- 13764
#57
Not the most objective interpretation. Some books may be so inclined, but most are not in the business of gambling.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#58oh and LT stop it already...i read in another thread that you would put the Pats ML to -900 or something, because you think they would win 9/10 games...when books like Pinny have it at just -400, and would get HAMMERED if the line would be off by so much.
The wisdom you spread is like toilet paper =pComment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#59
Besides, this thread isn't really about the Packers winning (although I think they will) but rather what this line is going to do.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
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Marigold HDSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-03-07
- 5053
#61Go AtlantaComment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#62You don't think they HAD to know they would get flooded with Atlanta money at -1? And the only "gamble" they are making is that game does not land on 1 or 2. They action is probably pretty balanced money wise right now. If the line had gone to 3, it would have indicated that they thought they missed the boat on the opener and wanted GB buybacks.Comment -
Dark HorseSBR Posting Legend
- 12-14-05
- 13764
#63You don't think they HAD to know they would get flooded with Atlanta money at -1? And the only "gamble" they are making is that game does not land on 1 or 2. They action is probably pretty balanced money wise right now. If the line had gone to 3, it would have indicated that they thought they missed the boat on the opener and wanted GB buybacks.
1) early money on ATL. Mostly sharp.
2) sharps waiting for +3.
3) late public money on GB.
4) late sharp money on GB +3 (bought hook).
5) as line starts to move back, sharps that missed the +3 boat joined the public and moved the line back to the opening line.Comment -
magynuckSBR Wise Guy
- 09-17-09
- 891
#65I am not sure I would want balanced action on this game with an exposed 1 and 2....especially with what I would guess big exposure on the teased GB 8.5.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#66This is my rough interpretation:
1) early money on ATL. Mostly sharp.
2) sharps waiting for +3.
3) late public money on GB.
4) late sharp money on GB +3 (bought hook).
5) as line starts to move back, sharps that missed the +3 boat joined the public and moved the line back to the opening line.Comment -
rockhardfisterSBR MVP
- 11-27-08
- 1037
#67Close game it probably comes down to this : Falcons have the #2 rated special teams. Packers the #27Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#68
Then again, Volume is much higher for ATS than teasers in playoffs, where thousands of squares that don't bet all year only bet ATS.Comment -
brxbmbers42Restricted User
- 07-26-10
- 4312
#69never fukkin heard of ya pal. have fun pissing you're money away on GB you fukkin squareComment -
SdotboldSBR MVP
- 12-24-09
- 1444
#70thanks LTComment
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