Atlanta vs NE Super Bowl (+420)

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  • 70kgman
    SBR MVP
    • 01-31-10
    • 4354

    #1
    Atlanta vs NE Super Bowl (+420)
    Bet Phoenix and their sister sites have Atlanta at +160 to win NFC, and NE at -155 to win AFC, parlay them two odds together and it only comes out to +327. But for some reason the same book has exact Super bowl match-up: ATL vs. NE at +420. Small limits on it, but great value. I just bet the max on it. Seems like a pretty likely scenario to me too, the two toughest teams in football to beat at home, both with home field advantage throughout the playoffs.
  • k13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-16-10
    • 18107

    #2
    Well you don't need to win both to win one of them.

    That's why the different odds.

    Its not that great of a value. I saw higher odds yesterday. I'll take a shot a one of those props though.
    Comment
    • NittanyLionsFan
      SBR MVP
      • 10-26-10
      • 2857

      #3
      Originally posted by k13
      Well you don't need to win both to win one of them.

      That's why the different odds.

      Its not that great of a value. I saw higher odds yesterday. I'll take a shot a one of those props though.
      What? Yes you do need both of them, those are the exact same bets.
      Comment
      • k13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-16-10
        • 18107

        #4
        Originally posted by NittanyLionsFan
        What? Yes you do need both of them, those are the exact same bets.
        I was more saying you could put a $100 each on nfc and afc and you could win one of them and still profit.

        Not even sure who lets you parlay bets like this, probably some weak books,
        Comment
        • 70kgman
          SBR MVP
          • 01-31-10
          • 4354

          #5
          Originally posted by k13
          I was more saying you could put a $100 each on nfc and afc and you could win one of them and still profit.
          New England is minus 155, not plus. So false.

          And you are missing the point of the thread anyway. I don't want to parlay anything. I am just pointing out that they have odds of +420 on a wager that mathematically should be +327 by their odds for those two teams to win AFC/NFC.
          Comment
          • D3 Mighty Ducks
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-17-09
            • 11939

            #6
            My local book doesn't offer any props like such. Could you give me the price on what if the match up was Steelers vs Packers. Just out of curiosity.

            Thanks, D3.
            Comment
            • 70kgman
              SBR MVP
              • 01-31-10
              • 4354

              #7
              Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
              My local book doesn't offer any props like such. Could you give me the price on what if the match up was Steelers vs Packers. Just out of curiosity.

              Thanks, D3.
              Bet Phoenix has it at +2600
              Comment
              • Gilly86
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-22-10
                • 229

                #8
                Originally posted by 70kgman
                Bet Phoenix has it at +2600
                Wow, sportsbook.com only has it at +1800
                Comment
                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-17-09
                  • 11939

                  #9
                  Originally posted by 70kgman

                  Bet Phoenix has it at +2600
                  Wow, I would definitely sprinkle a little on that with a price like that. My pre-season prediction was Steelers vs Packers and now both teams are in the post-season. I also have a prop on the Packers winning the Super Bowl at +1350 I grabbed back in mid August.

                  Thanks for the reply
                  Comment
                  • jagermeister1
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-06-08
                    • 323

                    #10
                    Sounds like that's worth a shot. They're definitely the two main horses you wanna bet on getting there.
                    Comment
                    • 70kgman
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-31-10
                      • 4354

                      #11
                      Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                      Wow, I would definitely sprinkle a little on that with a price like that.
                      Might not be as great as it looks. If I just parlayed the odds to win AFC/NFC that BP lists for those two teams, it comes to +2630.
                      Comment
                      • D3 Mighty Ducks
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-17-09
                        • 11939

                        #12
                        Originally posted by 70kgman

                        Might not be as great as it looks. If I just parlayed the odds to win AFC/NFC that BP lists for those two teams, it comes to +2630.
                        What are you trying to say by this? +2600 looks good enough value to me. But then again thats just me.
                        Comment
                        • 70kgman
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-31-10
                          • 4354

                          #13
                          Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                          What are you trying to say by this? +2600 looks good enough value to me. But then again thats just me.
                          They have Pitt +320 to win AFC, and +550 for GB to win NFC. Parlay those two together (same thing) and it comes to +2630. A slightly better number than the +2600 they list for exact SB match-up prop.
                          Comment
                          • D3 Mighty Ducks
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-17-09
                            • 11939

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 70kgman

                            They have Pitt +320 to win AFC, and +550 for GB to win NFC. Parlay those two together (same thing) and it comes to +2630. A slightly better number than the +2600 they list for exact SB match-up prop.
                            Yes, I understand that. You did the same when you put the Falcons and Pats "parlayed" and you got them at +327. But your book is offering the prop at +420 for both to make it to the Super Bowl. I understand what you mean by that. So your saying it would make more sense if you think the Steelers/Packers could meet in the SB to take them individually? So Packers to win NFC and Steelers to win AFC. But you aren't able to parlay two props together. So if you put $100 on the Packers at +550 and $100 on Steelers at +320 and they both make it to the SB it would only pay out $870. If you put $100 on the prop it pays out $2600.

                            I'm not quite sure by what you mean.
                            Comment
                            • Erock87
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-24-10
                              • 995

                              #15
                              Pats Falcons seems like decent odds, but that Saints team scares me too.
                              Comment
                              • 70kgman
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-31-10
                                • 4354

                                #16
                                Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                .
                                I guess the only thing I am really trying to say is Bet Phoenix wouldn't be the best place to make that wager. You could probably find better odds somewhere else. Based on the odds BP has to win AFC/NFC for those two teams, +2600 wouldn't be a +Ev wager, like the NE/ATL one for example.
                                Comment
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