Hibbies thoughts and picks

[hip07039]

New to the forum scene, gonna be posting NFL, NBA, College football and basketball....lets get it

first sunday of my short season

picks i like
1) ATL ml over CAR, I would also like taking the spread if teased but I'm wary of 7 pt spreads all over

2) NO ml over STL, as I said above over 7 pt spreads isn't my style, but ml NO at home is nice, brees and the saints are on point, this will be bush's 2nd game back, pierre thomas got reps in practice and the team is injury ridden no more. STL..rookie qb..sub-par D..this shouldn't be a problem

3) NE -3 over CHI, NE is in what I call the upper-class of the NFL, despite their 9-3 record, CHI is not in the upper-class. They have a very inconsistent offense, and with the addition of Mike Martz at offensive coordinator they have strayed away from Matt Forte and the run, something I value in a football team. The defense is nice, I like the D-line and the linebackers, unfortunately the secondary is what is weak and the passing offense of NE is elite. The pats are on fire, they are clearly the hottest team in the NFL and after coming off a convincing victory against MY JETS they seem unstoppable.

4) GB ml over DET, GB like NE has an elite passing offense, rodgers, driver, jennings, jones, and finley create a sick O that will run havoc over 90% of the league. Again I don't like the large pt spread, and I have been watching DET play tough at home over the past few weeks, I don't like to read too deep into NFL records because there aren't that many teams and any week anything can happen, but I still believe that DET will play GB tough like they have played everyone else. What I like in this game is DET falling apart at the end, and with GB's consistency on O I think DET might fall apart in the third quarter and will be sealed by the middle of the fourth.

*parlay* NE-3, GB ml, ATL ml, NOml

other picks that i like

PIT ml over CIN and/or CIN +8.5 and/or teased higher..this divisional game will be tight and tough, the steelers are banged up, this will make it more of a game.

TB -2 over WAS..lets see if TB is for real, I like -2 pt spread..WAS has locker room issues, Haynesworth is gone, Mcnabb has gone south and has minimal weapons, I like Shanahan but it will take him a few years to turn this franchise around. Josh Freeman is young and athletic, Lagarette Blount is dumb but talented. idk how they get it done, but this shouldn't be a problem for them

SD also might be a good take, espescially with gates coming back and cassell out for the KC..I think they are too inconsistent to gamble on

Vick is always an exciting and consistent bet, although I like Dallas post-wade phillips, they need an off-season with garret to get it together -4 is another friendly spread especially for the high flying eagles..for some reason I also find Dalls just flat out giving up when they get down, don't be suprised to find the eagles puttin it on.

[hip07039]

week 14 results and monday night picks

an average week, if you took the bets separately, we were 6-2. GB really sucked it up and Rodgers going down was unfortunate. Earlier I said that Detroit would play them tough and I was right, but I didn't think that they would play them THAT tough and lets be real, if rodgers stays in the game GB most likely wins, and I would take this pick again if it was next weeks game. The other loss was still a victory but I predicted them to cover the spread and they missed by 1 point, this would be TB, they won 17-16 and were -2, these games are just a part of gambling.

Other than those games, the parlay just missed as well because of GB
NE was the call of the day, and I'm pretty sure from my earlier post I said they were my definite LOCK...
you gotta give me some credit, thats comin from a big JETS fan

...and I don't want to talk about the Jet game..at all!!

the picks for monday night are simple, the G-men get a break with the dome in MIN getting torn up from mother nature, the game will be played on a neutral field, ford field in Detroit, Michigan. This takes away the home field advantage for MIN which is sometimes overlooked when betting on the games...there won't be a vikings horn after every first down and more than half of the fans won't be in attendance. Other than that the G-men are hot, just recently they have been getting it done on the ground and more significantly they are doing it with Brandon Jacobs, if you are unaware Jacobs is 6'4 260-280lbs of pure muscle, he is a load and comes with sub 4.5 speed, when he gets going good things happen. The O looks good, the D is pretty consistent, they will be tough.
On the other hand I am a fan of teams getting better with coaching changes, it worked in DAL and will work in MIN, yet just like what I said before about DAL it will take an off-season and maybe even two MIN who will have to deal with the never-ending Brett Favre saga. Sydney Rice is back but Harvin is banged up, Favre is banged up, the line isn't what it once was...I like AP and the D has been a little sub-par but can spark at any moment.
Overall the game will be closer than most believe, but G-men come out on top, and as long as Eli stays smart and doesn't have his usual 500 yards passing 2TD passes and 4INT the G-men should be fine

**pick** ML g-men, if your feeling risky the points don't even look that bad, I have it at 4.5 now, I like buying .5 to make it 4, but if you can drop it to 3 and are looking to stack cake, put some loot on it and trust ya boy

The next game is the original monday night game BAL and HOU... HOU has a great O and a horrible D, BAL has a good O and a great D..personally I feel that BAL will hold HOU to less points than they are accustomed too and will pretty much have their way with the pourus HOU D..that is my gut feeling and I always hate that I contradict myself, just throwing that out there

This other prediction is good too and its one that I have discussed with others and here is the conclusion. The game could possibly be a shootout with HOU big play O beating BAL D and BAL O just having their way with HOU D..here I would say that the bottom line is to take **BAL ml** but if you are also feeling a little risky buying a half point making the spread 3 wont be that farfetched as well.

After all the talk I like a two team parlay...**NYG ml and BAL ml**

I also want to throw another play out in the field

take BAL pt spread (-3.5) and the under (46), I like a teaser either 6, 7, or 9 points..this gives BAL + points after we talked about them winning ml and an under above 50, thats at least 25 points for each team and against this tough BAL D, coming down the stretch to get into the playoffs, I think Ray Lewis and this all star BAL D will hold Andre Johnson and HOU to three scores or under.