Saints Cowgirls 2nd Half Discussion

[lakerfan420]

Lets do this together and win some cash to make this Thanksgiving Break that much better!

I lean over, lots of points left on the field and lots of clock burning by Dallas. Second half should pick up, Dallas will push the ball and go for the TD instead of field goal like in the 2nd Q.

Thoughts?

[lakerfan420]

20-6 Saints at Half.

[lakerfan420]

pick and 23.5 thoughts guys?

[ink]

dallas pk

[DarkTommy]

Like the over. Saints put up 14 more at least and Dallas is good for 17. Dallas will correct the sloppy first half playing.
Not sure about the side. Would have to lean Dallas...but will probably not play it.

[No coincidences]

I got the under at 54.5 live -- might hedge a little. Depends on where the line goes from here.

[No coincidences]

Cowboys and over are being offered at + money at Pinny.

[DarkTommy]

I took over 23.5 for -115

[lakerfan420]

Cowboys and over are being offered at + money at Pinny.

whats your take on that NC? I honestly think Saints 2nd half would be a good bet. Dallas just doesnt have anything going for them right now. That long 25 play drive took way too much time off the clocks and saints could of at least got a TD in that time.

[No coincidences]

Remember, sharp money was on the under late. I think it closed at 48.

It's 26 now. By taking the over 23.5, you're really rolling the dice IMHO.

[No coincidences]

whats your take on that NC? I honestly think Saints 2nd half would be a good bet. Dallas just doesnt have anything going for them right now. That long 25 play drive took way too much time off the clocks and saints could of at least got a TD in that time.

I'd go Saints and under if I had to, but I'm just going to sit on my under 54.5.

[No coincidences]

Under is 23.5 (-120) at Pinny, while 23.5 (+100) at SportsInteraction.

Gotta love the square books.

[No coincidences]

Dallas ML just went to - from + at Pinny. A reason to consider the Boys.

[lakerfan420]

Dallas ML just went to - from + at Pinny. A reason to consider the Boys.

saw that

[DarkTommy]

Perfect, now my book has under 23.5 for -115! After I took the over for -115. Classic my bad luck. Take the under for sure...it's a lock

[No coincidences]

saw that

Notice how much Saints -0.5 is getting juiced, but the ML is now even.

[Pride]

i dont see how anyone can argue there were lots of points left on the board. saints scored via monstrous mistakes by the girls and both teams hit field goals north of 50.

over is truly a gamble and there are going to be way better picks out there so why bother with an unpredictable halftime wager.

[Barnes01]

Saints and Pats, easiest picks of the week/weekend


Saints win this one by 17-20

[vietstuh]

I'd go Saints and under if I had to, but I'm just going to sit on my under 54.5.

+1. i just put down on saints. i think they're gonna keep pulling away

[Sunde91]

Remember, sharp money was on the under late. I think it closed at 48.

It's 26 now. By taking the over 23.5, you're really rolling the dice IMHO.

Holy fuk are you actually serious?

Let's pretend we know absolutely "sharps" were on under. Please tell me what fuking difference it makes at halftime what side "sharps" were on BEFORE the game and how it's especially more risky to play over at half because of it.

Do "sharps" make one side more likely to hit MID GAME?? You are ungodly stupid.

[lakerfan420]

good luck boys im on the saints and the over.

[No coincidences]

Saints ML for 2H now + money at Pinny.

[No coincidences]

Holy fuk are you actually serious?

Let's pretend we know absolutely "sharps" were on under. Please tell me what fuking difference it makes at halftime what side "sharps" were on BEFORE the game and how it's especially more risky to play over at half because of it.

Do "sharps" make one side more likely to hit MID GAME?? You are ungodly stupid.

We've gone through this before, Sunde.

I'm sorry it's so confusing for you.

Look at the way the total moved before kickoff, then look at what the public was on. Look at the 1H score. Then look at the way the over was being offered at + money 2H.

It's not that complicated to see where the sharp money is. For this 2H, it's Dallas and the under.

[Zenyatta 19-1]

this propels saints to score and over will hit cha ching!!!

[Zenyatta 19-1]

did the sharps see that on coming???? stop reading into things people

[beerman2619]

TOUCHDOWN COWBOYS BIOTCHES!!!!!!!

[DarkTommy]

Thank god for that early/quick Dallas score! That should fire up the Saints and the Cowboys and help me cover this 2H over!

[BelieveTheHype]

on saints for game
was on saints -3 1h

on over 23.5 2h and saints pk 2h

[No coincidences]

Reggie Bush is as overrated as Romo and Palmer.

[Zenyatta 19-1]

i think that bush fumble cements my statement

[beerman2619]

TOUCHDOWN COWBOYS oh oh kids we got a game here

[Half_Glassed]

Wow Cowboys come back - Hurting my Saints -3.5/over 50.5

[Sunde91]

We've gone through this before, Sunde.

I'm sorry it's so confusing for you.

Look at the way the total moved before kickoff, then look at what the public was on. Look at the 1H score. Then look at the way the over was being offered at + money 2H.

It's not that complicated to see where the sharp money is. For this 2H, it's Dallas and the under.

Wow, I really feel bad for you. You fancy yourself as some sort of expert with inisights, but you really just spout nonsensical pseudo-reasoning to make yourself sound sophisticated. What you just said particularly makes no sense whatsoever.

You keep bringing up where the action was BEFORE the game, as if it is of utmost relevance - it is of zero relevance.

You think the 1h score is intrinsically linked to the 2h total - fail. It is most closely derived from a projection based on the PACE of the game total. It doesn't necessarily matter how many points were scored in the 1st half. So if the game total closes at 48, we would expect the total to be right around 24 for 2h, like 24 for 1h, because the PACE is right around 24 points a half. Where did we see it? 23.5.

Where do you think they come up with live in totals (it's basically the same idea with halftime totals)?? Typically, from the closing total of the game plus or minus however far off the score is from the CURRENT pace of the game. So just now the live-in total was at 57.5 in a 43 point game 41 minutes into the game. According to the pace, i.e. points per minute, which is .8, the game should be at 32.8 points (41 minutes x .8). Instead, the game is at 43 points, 10 points ahead of the pace. So for the rest of the game, the pace remains .8, BUT it is still 10 points ahead, so it's 10 points PLUS the remaining score projected from the pace of the game, which is 48 (original total). And what do we find? The total at 57.5, right where it's expected to be.

[No coincidences]

I never said the 1H score is "intrinsically linked" to the 2H score, Sunde. It's taken into consideration, though, just like the pace of the game is taken into consideration.

I just said "consider it" -- didn't say that it was a lock. Just like sharp money isn't a lock, either. It wins more than it loses, but there are no guarantees. But go ahead and keep up these hyperbolic rants if it makes you feel better.

I still think 2H over was a roll of the dice, but Reggie Bush changed all of that. The move from + to - money for Dallas on the ML seems to be working correctly, though.

[Sunde91]

How is pre-game "sharp money" and a 1h score "taken into consideration" to a 2h total that is right on pace?

This is really getting ridiculous.