SSK's NFL Thread

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  • BetterBizness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-20-06
    • 5737

    #876
    Originally posted by ssk13809
    Man can't wait for Sunday


    Game I am most worried about is Broncos at Cheifs. I know I have KC at -2, but to be honest, that is my biggest worry right now. I bet that way too early, and Broncos ML play has good value.
    Maybe the most human statement you've made in your 1000 posts...
    Comment
    • ssk13809
      SBR MVP
      • 08-25-10
      • 2595

      #877
      Originally posted by The J-Dizzle
      I like your picks but one that I don't like is Seahawks, they havn't been good to me and I think they are worse than their record. With the line going from 6 to 4.5 now my concerns seems right, I think Carolina can be competitive. Seattle hasn't really dominated any team, they have just been dominated. Just don't trust these guys to dominate a Panthers team that showed alot againts Browns. BOL to you though, it's not like I'm putting money on Panthers..

      I'm on Rams-3, Pats-3 and I also have Eagles-3+Chiefs-3. I'm leaning Rodgers over 265 passing yards and I'm also liking Jaguars ML (Titans suck right now?).

      Go Bucs tomorrow
      Yeah I've already expressed concern about Cheifs -3. Good luck on that. I mean, they SHOULD cover, but that is probably the riskiest play I have. I'd rather have Rams or NE -3 over KC -3. I made that bet way too early.

      Seahawks have dominated weak teams all year. Cardinals (twice) and 49ers to name a few. Basically, all the weak teams they have faced. They are good against weak teams at home.
      Comment
      • ssk13809
        SBR MVP
        • 08-25-10
        • 2595

        #878
        Originally posted by drukes1234
        Hey man, what's your LOCK record to date?
        Let me make it short. My LOCK record in my thread is 4-0. Last year I went 7-0 (links posted).

        And not I'm not counting "Chase Locks", as those are not real locks since those are games I only bet because I was down, I wouldn't have bet these games otherwise. Obviously, not a LOCK lol.
        Comment
        • ssk13809
          SBR MVP
          • 08-25-10
          • 2595

          #879
          In case anyone is wondering where I have been lately



          Yesterday morning I went to Boston to visit Bill Bellichek and the Patriots with my LOCK team. We basically told him that you are a LOCK pick of ours and you have to cover. He got the message and he says "It's a LOCK we'll cover". Me and my LOCK team were satisfied.

          We returned to Seattle and told Mike Williams to practice. We need him to play to increase our chances of a cover in Seattle this weekend. He practiced despite being hurt. I'll personally talk to him before Sunday and tell him to play.

          Tonight I make a trip to Arizona with my LOCK to meet with some Rams. We will have a similar meeting to the one we had with the Patriots.




          The bottom-line is, for those on my LOCK picks, you are in good hands. It's not easy to hit all LOCK picks. I have to take the extra steps.
          Comment
          • BetterBizness
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-20-06
            • 5737

            #880
            Originally posted by ssk13809
            In case anyone is wondering where I have been lately



            Yesterday morning I went to Boston to visit Bill Bellichek and the Patriots with my LOCK team. We basically told him that you are a LOCK pick of ours and you have to cover. He got the message and he says "It's a LOCK we'll cover". Me and my LOCK team were satisfied.

            We returned to Seattle and told Mike Williams to practice. We need him to play to increase our chances of a cover in Seattle this weekend. He practiced despite being hurt. I'll personally talk to him before Sunday and tell him to play.

            Tonight I make a trip to Arizona with my LOCK to meet with some Rams. We will have a similar meeting to the one we had with the Patriots.




            The bottom-line is, for those on my LOCK picks, you are in good hands. It's not easy to hit all LOCK picks. I have to take the extra steps.
            I thought that was you.. I was also there with my FADE team (Also noted in previous post)... I was talking to Rex Ryan an co... He is pretty convinced that he will AT LEAST cover the spread... I told him I'd give him ssk's 50 points as well and he has extra incentive now...

            I talked to John Fox, but he is a donkey.... So FADE Team doesn't support Carolina at all...

            FADE Team also found out Kurt Warner maybe starting in Arizona... So we will fly out there tonight and have a look... So they may still fade there... But not convinced yet...
            Comment
            • drukes1234
              SBR Hustler
              • 11-23-10
              • 68

              #881
              Originally posted by ssk13809
              Let me make it short. My LOCK record in my thread is 4-0. Last year I went 7-0 (links posted).

              And not I'm not counting "Chase Locks", as those are not real locks since those are games I only bet because I was down, I wouldn't have bet these games otherwise. Obviously, not a LOCK lol.
              So NE and STL are your LOCKS?
              Comment
              • ssk13809
                SBR MVP
                • 08-25-10
                • 2595

                #882
                Originally posted by drukes1234
                So NE and STL are your LOCKS?
                Originally posted by ssk13809
                Patriots -3 ATS (LOCK)
                Risk 18.8 to Win 15

                Rams -3 ATS (LOCK)
                Risk 18 to Win 15
                Yes
                Comment
                • ssk13809
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-25-10
                  • 2595

                  #883
                  Originally posted by BetterBizness
                  I thought that was you.. I was also there with my FADE team (Also noted in previous post)... I was talking to Rex Ryan an co... He is pretty convinced that he will AT LEAST cover the spread... I told him I'd give him ssk's 50 points as well and he has extra incentive now...

                  I talked to John Fox, but he is a donkey.... So FADE Team doesn't support Carolina at all...

                  FADE Team also found out Kurt Warner maybe starting in Arizona... So we will fly out there tonight and have a look... So they may still fade there... But not convinced yet...

                  Well good luck then. We told Bill some cheating tactics he can use on the Jets again to give him an advantage. You won't see it coming.


                  On to Arizona.
                  Comment
                  • jas19illini
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-27-10
                    • 682

                    #884
                    hey ssk, your thoughts on Rams and Pats both at -3.5 if it doesnt drop to -3?
                    Comment
                    • ssk13809
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-25-10
                      • 2595

                      #885
                      Originally posted by jas19illini
                      hey ssk, your thoughts on Rams and Pats both at -3.5 if it doesnt drop to -3?
                      Buy the half point to make it a LOCK. Otherwise, -3.5 is still an ATS play I would make, but not a LOCK.
                      Comment
                      • Full Time Hobo
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-16-10
                        • 2778

                        #886
                        Originally posted by ssk13809
                        In case anyone is wondering where I have been lately



                        Yesterday morning I went to Boston to visit Bill Bellichek and the Patriots with my LOCK team. We basically told him that you are a LOCK pick of ours and you have to cover. He got the message and he says "It's a LOCK we'll cover". Me and my LOCK team were satisfied.

                        We returned to Seattle and told Mike Williams to practice. We need him to play to increase our chances of a cover in Seattle this weekend. He practiced despite being hurt. I'll personally talk to him before Sunday and tell him to play.

                        Tonight I make a trip to Arizona with my LOCK to meet with some Rams. We will have a similar meeting to the one we had with the Patriots.




                        The bottom-line is, for those on my LOCK picks, you are in good hands. It's not easy to hit all LOCK picks. I have to take the extra steps.



                        Thanks for the laugh.

                        Im eager to see the games tomorrow.
                        Cant wait

                        Good luck this week
                        Comment
                        • ssk13809
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-25-10
                          • 2595

                          #887
                          Originally posted by Full Time Hobo


                          Thanks for the laugh.

                          Im eager to see the games tomorrow.
                          Cant wait

                          Good luck this week
                          It's not really supposed to be funny.


                          But anyways, I especially can't wait for tomorrow, it's either a make it or break it day (with heavy leans on making it). Most my games are in the afternoon. But I'll be tuning in KC and Saints early. Both of them just have to WIN SU. I feel pretty confident they will be able to.



                          What are your plays tomorrow?
                          Comment
                          • ssk13809
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-25-10
                            • 2595

                            #888
                            So let me talk a little about the Seahawks line dropping.


                            Yes that's unfortunate yet ANOTHER bet I made too early. And the line is dropping despite the Public being on Seattle's side. On other word's its your Las Vegas Trap game.

                            Now I've been on the opposite end of these Las Vegas Trap games before, my LOCKS usually overcome Las Vegas, but my normal ATS picks it goes either way. I live in Seattle, and I am still confident and convinced the Seahawks can win this game. Maybe there is some bias here since I'm a Seahawks fan. But I'm telling you, Seahawks will WIN tomorrow. It's a Must-Win for them, at home, come on, how can they lose this?



                            I will see Pete Carroll soon anyways, tell him my concerns.
                            Comment
                            • jas19illini
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-27-10
                              • 682

                              #889
                              Originally posted by ssk13809
                              Buy the half point to make it a LOCK. Otherwise, -3.5 is still an ATS play I would make, but not a LOCK.
                              thank you kind sir.
                              Comment
                              • Full Time Hobo
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-16-10
                                • 2778

                                #890
                                Im guessing your entire staff will be fired if tomorrow is a shit day


                                Anyways i like

                                Cleveland +4 at miami
                                Saints -6 in cinci
                                I was also looking at the over in the buffalo minn game... not too sure about locking it it though.

                                I know you dont play totals but do you think both teams are going to be putting up points?
                                Teasing over in the san diego game with san diego. for 4pm games
                                Comment
                                • ssk13809
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-25-10
                                  • 2595

                                  #891
                                  Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
                                  Im guessing your entire staff will be fired if tomorrow is a shit day


                                  Anyways i like

                                  Cleveland +4 at miami
                                  Saints -6 in cinci
                                  I was also looking at the over in the buffalo minn game... not too sure about locking it it though.

                                  I know you dont play totals but do you think both teams are going to be putting up points?
                                  Teasing over in the san diego game with san diego. for 4pm games
                                  Saints is a good bet

                                  I don't know about totals. Granted I predict scores well, but I just don't even look at totals. Too much luck involved, hard to hit 70%+ long-term.
                                  Comment
                                  • ssk13809
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-25-10
                                    • 2595

                                    #892
                                    Originally posted by jas19illini
                                    thank you kind sir.
                                    So what will you do? Buy half a point or play -3.5 on both
                                    Comment
                                    • jas19illini
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-27-10
                                      • 682

                                      #893
                                      i really like the chargers teased along with the over teased.
                                      Comment
                                      • ssk13809
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-25-10
                                        • 2595

                                        #894
                                        Once again posting my plays every page...just so I don't have to go searching for them and others entering this thread can see


                                        Official Week 13 Play Card




                                        2 Team Teaser (6 points)
                                        Eagles -2
                                        Cheifs -2
                                        Risk 27.5 to Win 25

                                        Patriots -175 ML
                                        Risk 26.2 to Win 15

                                        Patriots -3 ATS (LOCK)
                                        Risk 18.8 to Win 15

                                        Rams -3 ATS (LOCK)
                                        Risk 18 to Win 15

                                        Seahawks -6 ATS

                                        Risk 16.5 to Win 15

                                        Ravens -150 ML
                                        Risk 7.5 to Win 5

                                        3 Team Teaser (6 points)
                                        Saints -0.5
                                        Colts +0.5
                                        Seahawks pk

                                        Risk 25 to Win 45

                                        3 Team ML Parlay
                                        Eagles -375
                                        Chargers -600
                                        Packers -525

                                        Risk 15 to Win 11.4

                                        3 Team ML Parlay
                                        Colts -245
                                        Chiefs -430
                                        Chargers -600

                                        Risk 10 to Win 10.3

                                        4 Team Teaser (6.5 Points)
                                        Rams +3.5
                                        Patriots +3
                                        Ravens +3.5

                                        Packers -3
                                        Risk 10 to Win 25

                                        ATS Parlay
                                        Saints -6.5
                                        Colts -5.5
                                        Seahawks -6
                                        Patriots -3 (-125)
                                        Rams -3 (-130)
                                        Ravens -3

                                        Risk 4 to Win 173.2
                                        Comment
                                        • jas19illini
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-27-10
                                          • 682

                                          #895
                                          Originally posted by ssk13809
                                          So what will you do? Buy half a point or play -3.5 on both
                                          im going to wait and see what the lines do before the games tomorrow. id really like to not have to buy the half pt.
                                          Comment
                                          • Full Time Hobo
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-16-10
                                            • 2778

                                            #896
                                            Originally posted by ssk13809
                                            Saints is a good bet I don't know about totals. Granted I predict scores well, but I just don't even look at totals. Too much luck involved, hard to hit 70%+ long-term.
                                            Gotcha.

                                            SSK what do you think about cleveland in miami?
                                            Miami plays awful at home for some reason and the browns have been doing well.
                                            Comment
                                            • ssk13809
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-25-10
                                              • 2595

                                              #897
                                              Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
                                              Gotcha.

                                              SSK what do you think about cleveland in miami?
                                              Miami plays awful at home for some reason and the browns have been doing well.
                                              I wouldn't bet either. Good cases for both sides. Even hard to choose which side to lean on.

                                              There are far better plays out there imo.
                                              Comment
                                              • ssk13809
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-25-10
                                                • 2595

                                                #898
                                                Anyways guys I'm off to my flight to Arizona.


                                                Good luck to your plays

                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #899
                                                  Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                  Anyways guys I'm off to my flight to Arizona.


                                                  Good luck to your plays

                                                  Have Fun in Zona.. Say Hello to Kurt.. Find out if he's starting... FADE team will get back to me an hour before game time they say...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • franklt
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-02-10
                                                    • 158

                                                    #900
                                                    " Once again posting my plays every page...just so I don't have to go searching for them and others entering this thread can see"

                                                    i APRRECIATE
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Full Time Hobo
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-16-10
                                                      • 2778

                                                      #901
                                                      GAME DAY!
                                                      Good luck SSK
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ssk13809
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-25-10
                                                        • 2595

                                                        #902
                                                        Meeting with Sam Bradford went well last night. He is a fun guy and he should torch Arizona leading the cover. At least thats what he says.

                                                        Now I'll be off to Qwest Field for last minute talks with Pete Carroll and Mike Williams
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ssk13809
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-25-10
                                                          • 2595

                                                          #903
                                                          Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
                                                          GAME DAY!
                                                          Good luck SSK
                                                          Most awaited week


                                                          Let's go! Not much morning games though, but let's just see KC and NO do their thing
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dwang0725
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 09-23-10
                                                            • 330

                                                            #904
                                                            Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                            Meeting with Sam Bradford went well last night. He is a fun guy and he should torch Denver leading the cover. At least thats what he says.

                                                            Now I'll be off to Qwest Field for last minute talks with Pete Carroll and Mike Williams
                                                            But St Louis is playing Arizona.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ssk13809
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-25-10
                                                              • 2595

                                                              #905
                                                              Originally posted by dwang0725
                                                              But St Louis is playing Arizona.
                                                              Obviously I meant Arizona
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ssk13809
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-25-10
                                                                • 2595

                                                                #906
                                                                A close game in KC as expected, but resulting in a win. Good job by GB doing what I expected.

                                                                And excellent executions by Sean Payton and Drew Brees to win the game in Cinncinati.



                                                                But now come the real tests. Go Colts ,Seahawks, Ramsn and the Chargers!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ssk13809
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                                  • 2595

                                                                  #907
                                                                  Great Chargers and Colts both 2 TOs in a quarter and have to overcome deficits of 14-0 and 17-0.

                                                                  This is the bad luck I was worried about. Home teams should not be getting these careless TOs
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Surtainly
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 09-29-10
                                                                    • 39

                                                                    #908
                                                                    bad luck lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ssk13809
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-25-10
                                                                      • 2595

                                                                      #909
                                                                      Wow Colts game was the unluckiest I have ever seen.


                                                                      All those tipped interceptions, going back for TDs and eventually the game winning FG.
                                                                      That FG penalty, even the fumbles weren't going the Colt's way



                                                                      A 70 unit turn around LOSS for me, just on the Colts miracleous loss. I didn't even need the cover. Just the win.




                                                                      Not to mention the safest play of hte day, Chargers losing
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ssk13809
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-25-10
                                                                        • 2595

                                                                        #910
                                                                        So yeah incredibly unlucky game. Manning throws 4 interceptions, most tipped. He was at home, accurate as ever, but just drops and tips really cost them the game. In other words, very unlucky. That was Dallas's main source of points. Interception TDs. Not to mention some key penalties going their way, making the difference between a win or loss. But yeah, it just seemed like Colts just were not getting the calls to go their way.

                                                                        And that literally cost 70 units. There go all the projections out the window. Not even my analysts can predict awful luck.


                                                                        I hit my LOCK again. Easily. But that isn't a surprise. I can always count on that. And I won my other ATS play. Once again, easily.





                                                                        And how about them Chargers.
                                                                        This is the last time I'm taking the "favorite of the day" just because they are the "favorite of the day". This has been twice where that has cost me. They also cost me a lot.
                                                                        Comment
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