Pitt/Cin Under 41???

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  • bonduforlife
    Restricted User
    • 08-21-10
    • 1222

    #1
    Pitt/Cin Under 41???
    Im looking forward to monday after a pleasant sunday, both teams are coming of disappinting games offensively and i think its going to continue. Pit allowing just 58 yards rushing and 14 points per game. Look for a lot of 3 and outs. Cincy is a bit weak defensively so that concerns me a bit however... The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh. What do you guys think is 41 a bit too much or no??
  • bonduforlife
    Restricted User
    • 08-21-10
    • 1222

    #2
    since no one else has any poinion ill just lock it up. Good Luck to everybody who viewed this thread
    Comment
    • frostno98
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-11-07
      • 9769

      #3
      I've betting under a sh1tload of times this year on night games, and timing has always been off. I rather just stick to the pointspread.
      Comment
      • dollarbill
        SBR MVP
        • 03-22-09
        • 1286

        #4
        Take to Bank

        OVERALL ANALYSIS

        Cincinnati has to be regarding this game as its last stand, so it's reasonable to assume the beleaguered bunch will put forth its best effort against a division opponent on a national stage. That may not be enough, however, against a Pittsburgh team that's superior in several facets and is in no danger of letting down after losing their last contest and being swept by the Bengals a year ago. Cincinnati's going to need a top-level performance from Palmer to come out on top, and it's highly questionable the hit-or-miss quarterback will able to provide one. Using a back-to-basics method built on running the football and playing stout defense, look for the Steelers to avenge one of the losses that kept them out of the postseason last year.
        Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Steelers 20, Bengals 13
        Comment
        • me-first
          SBR MVP
          • 05-01-10
          • 1054

          #5
          good luck..I'm leaning toward the under as well..
          Comment
          • vyomguy
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-08-09
            • 5794

            #6
            unders have been a disaster lately in MNF.
            Comment
            • RoyalBrown
              SBR Rookie
              • 10-13-10
              • 24

              #7
              Don't know but I think the steelers will work a little harder this week on trying to get big ben going. Because the way they played last week was not the best. I like the over on this one.
              Comment
              • Dark Horse
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-14-05
                • 13764

                #8
                Take the under for the 1H.
                Comment
                • shawnjohn5
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-13-10
                  • 836

                  #9
                  This game go's over pretty easily imo, Big Ben and the steelers are a pass first team with him at the helm, and the bengals have a very suspect defense. The Bengals know they are going to have to come out throwing to keep up with the steelers and try and outscore them. Look for a turnover or two by the bengals to set up a couple easy scores from pitt and watch this game fly over the total... Parlaying over and steelers for 2 units and going big 5 units on the steelers locking it in at 6 before it moves to 7 tomorrow.... Steelers 31-20...
                  Comment
                  • fedtpels
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-08-10
                    • 407

                    #10
                    staying away. i would bet the under, but it's MNF
                    Comment
                    • thebestthereis
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-01-09
                      • 11459

                      #11
                      cincy wins or they pull a dallas, the point spread will not matter
                      Comment
                      • BrownTown
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-06-09
                        • 624

                        #12
                        Originally posted by shawnjohn5
                        This game go's over pretty easily imo, Big Ben and the steelers are a pass first team with him at the helm, and the bengals have a very suspect defense. The Bengals know they are going to have to come out throwing to keep up with the steelers and try and outscore them. Look for a turnover or two by the bengals to set up a couple easy scores from pitt and watch this game fly over the total... Parlaying over and steelers for 2 units and going big 5 units on the steelers locking it in at 6 before it moves to 7 tomorrow.... Steelers 31-20...
                        Actually this is the first time since Little Ben's rookie season that they have a solid running game. Check your numbers
                        Comment
                        • thatswhatHEsaid
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-03-10
                          • 369

                          #13
                          good luck with the under
                          Comment
                          • 305GURU
                            Restricted User
                            • 10-04-10
                            • 1038

                            #14
                            Good luck with cincy its a toss up so probably tease it see if noshowcinco can show up
                            Comment
                            • PoweRay
                              Restricted User
                              • 09-07-10
                              • 417

                              #15
                              Thanks for the info. Good luck tonight!
                              Comment
                              • rickbo528
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-22-08
                                • 1842

                                #16
                                Pittsburgh historically plays well at Cincy. Don't have the numbers in front of me but they win a lot at Cincy. So I will take them at -6.
                                Comment
                                • Lockitup1x
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-21-09
                                  • 1010

                                  #17
                                  good luck with your under bud
                                  Comment
                                  • ger25pic25
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 01-19-09
                                    • 373

                                    #18
                                    going with the under here too
                                    Comment
                                    • Vinnybagadonuts
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-30-10
                                      • 390

                                      #19
                                      Don't really agree with the under, but best of luck. As a Steelers fan, I believe the perception is that they can't score, and don't let others score, so the under is the "play."

                                      Unfortunately, the line is prepped for that. Steelers do stop teams from scoring a lot, but that doesn't mean Cincy won't be good for 13-16.

                                      The Bengals, on the other hand, have allowed 23, 24, 39 and 22 in their last four games. None of those teams are anything special (Cleveland, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, and Miami), and yet they all scored over 20 points. I've found over the years that when Cincy starts to lose, the flood gates open.

                                      Those four teams, by the way, the Steelers beat all four this year. I don't see how Cincy is going to be able to ramp up their defense in a week in order to stop the Pittsburgh offense from scoring over 20 points.

                                      In my opinion, Cincy is also prime for some turnovers, either directly leading to scores or short fields. I wouldn't want to be watching in the fourth quarter when the score is 24-13, hoping that no one scores when Cincy is pressing to get back in the game.

                                      Again, just my opinion, but I'd either leave the total alone, or tease it down with Pitt.

                                      BOL
                                      Comment
                                      • scarface2738
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 10-12-10
                                        • 134

                                        #20
                                        I have taken the over in this one.
                                        Comment
                                        • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-17-09
                                          • 11939

                                          #21
                                          Personally like the Over 41 in this one. But i've been fade material this week but not fade material all year. Good luck
                                          Comment
                                          • shawnjohn5
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-13-10
                                            • 836

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BrownTown
                                            Actually this is the first time since Little Ben's rookie season that they have a solid running game. Check your numbers
                                            I never said they didn't have a solid running game but this is definitely a passing team, check your numbers since ben has been back this year. Ben threw 28 times against the saints, 27 times against the dolphins, and 27 times against the Browns, averaging almost 2 tds and 250 yards a game... Don't be surprised when Ben air's it out more than 30 times this game, because the bengals should score some points. Check your stats before you respond to my thread with inaccurate information.
                                            Comment
                                            • PorkChop
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-18-08
                                              • 8193

                                              #23
                                              Over 41
                                              Comment
                                              • dngf
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-25-08
                                                • 5926

                                                #24
                                                I would lean to the over as well, Cincy defense has been giving up too many points, lots of overs on MNF, maybe Pitt teased over?
                                                Comment
                                                • fults400
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-03-10
                                                  • 140

                                                  #25
                                                  I think teasing down to 35 and taking the over is the definite play here.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Blazermaniac
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-30-08
                                                    • 556

                                                    #26
                                                    Total....like I said is a shot in the dark. You can piece all the data you can....defense...offense...past games. Unless you have inside connection to the game plan....it's 50/50.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • handicapper03
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 05-13-10
                                                      • 283

                                                      #27
                                                      I'm taking the over on this one!, GL.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GoldenRichards
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 08-31-08
                                                        • 314

                                                        #28
                                                        I am definitely liking the under
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ManBearPig
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-04-08
                                                          • 2473

                                                          #29
                                                          I just don't know where the points are going to come from in this one. Although Pitt lost last week they still only gave up 20pts and this was against a much more potent offense in the Saints. It seems like everyone has been on CIN each week saying this is the week...this is the week and yet they continue to disappoint. I just can't see that changing this week as Pitt is looking to get back on the winning track from last weeks loss and will be focused to shut down the Bengals. I think Cincy can cover but I don't see them getting more than 14 or 17 pts...I see a 24-14 type game. Keep in mind though, that this is the NFL and anything can happen on Monday night...especially when you got the TOcho show in town at home.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Zeusdog
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 02-17-09
                                                            • 4

                                                            #30
                                                            I would not play any under on MNF or Sunday night. This year overs have been hitting. I would bet 1 unit on the over and if it missed I would double that to 2 unit the next week. This entire year, I have not had to go over the 2 unit level. Last week the Sunday under hit, look what happened last night the over came in. For a number of years, no matter what teams are playing the over is the best play.

                                                            Also, last year, how many people played the over in every New Orleans game and cashed no matter who they were playing.

                                                            If you stick to the rational, you will make money on overs on Sunday and Monday night.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • duwork
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-24-10
                                                              • 382

                                                              #31
                                                              [COLOR=#000000 !important]I guess my hesitation with tonight's game lies in not knowing which Cincy team will show up. Rather than play a side I'm still unsure of, I've decided to play the Pitt team total over 23.5. I see Pitt having no trouble putting up this many points, regardless of how Cincy is playing. If Cincy is playing poorly, Pitt will blow them out, and if Cincy is playing well, Pitt will keep up. Cincy should effectively pass the ball against the Pitt secondary, but might have a bit of trouble with the rush. On the other hand, Pitt should have no trouble getting into the Cincy red zone 5-6 times. I see this game going the opposite of the extremely low-scoring defensive dual we typically see between these two teams (if Cincy decides to show up), and 45-50 points be put up. I say Pitt takes the game 27-24. My play: Pitt over 23.5.[/COLOR]
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bipolar
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 04-25-10
                                                                • 252

                                                                #32
                                                                da,m this a tough one, might lay off
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bonduforlife
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-21-10
                                                                  • 1222

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thanks for replying fellows , i will be sticking with under and BOL to everyone on your plays.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Plu$Money
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 10-28-08
                                                                    • 395

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I'm liking the under as well.. 70% on over and line has dropped.. Always a good sign
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • woody78
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-18-08
                                                                      • 502

                                                                      #35
                                                                      See this going over. Cincy will score 17-20 and Pitt should win outright, so that in itself will get the game over.
                                                                      Comment
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