All units are $100 bets, weekly betting totals are close to $2000-$2500. Only follow if big bank role or using low units.
Miami Dolphins (3-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-4)
Line : Bengals -1
Bet : 0.5u - MIA
Reason : Dolphins are the better team but CIN is gonna be digging deep for a win here. This game could go either way and will probably be decided by a field goal or a late pick 6. Great Value for a teaser bet when choosing the FINS. Slight Lean on MIA
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4) at Dallas Cowboys (1-5)
Line : Cowboys -6.5
Bet : 0u - N/A
Reason : Both these teams just plain stink, JAC stinks cause the the laziest team in the league, the cowboys are just plain killing themselves, this game could fall into the whole good team playing hard for a backup QB or its could be just another Dallas implosion. I wouldn't bet on this game with a gun to my head
Washington Redskins (4-3) at Detroit Lions (1-5)
Line : Lions -3
Bet : 2u - WAS
Reason : WAS is the better team and they are not favored? Vegas baiting the public maybe? I don't think so. DET has won one game this year, and it was a blow out vs. STL. Why is this team Favored?
Buffalo Bills (0-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-2)
Line : Chiefs -7
Bet : 4u - BUF
Reason : The Chiefs are just way to inconsistent to be laying a touchdown with and i highly expect the bills to get there first W and maybe only W of the year here.
Carolina Panthers (1-5) at St. Louis Rams (3-4)
Line : Rams -3
Bet : 1u - Rams
Reason : The Panthers are one of bottom feeding teams in the league and the Rams have been playing great at home i expected this to be a 4.5 or 5 spread so getting great value here.
Green Bay Packers (4-3) at New York Jets (5-1)
Line : Jets -6
Bet : 3u - Jets
Reason : GB is more then hurting right now, and there facing a well rested healthy NYJ, last week they where a foot from loosing to a 41 yr old with tendinitis and 2 fractured bones in his foot, AP ran for 131 yrds. LT behind the jets O-line will gash this game wide open and leave sanchez to convert very short 3rd down situation, if they even get to 3rd down.
Denver Broncos (2-5) vs. San Francisco 49ers (1-6)
Line : 49ers -1.5
Bet : 1u - 49ers
Reason : The broncos have looked pedestrian like most of this season despite Ortons numbers most of which came in garbage time. This game is being played in Wembley, this could very well turn into a mudbath despite the weather saying its suppose to be good ATM. If it Rains or we see a nice 20-30km winds this will be a running game and well the broncos running game consists of Orton scrambling.
Tennessee Titans (5-2) at San Diego Chargers (2-5)
Line : Chargers -3.5
Bet : 4u - Titans
Reason : Young will more then likely start this game, and SD having to prepare for both young and Collins helps the titans, also despite the chargers posting some of the best def and Off numbers in the league there special teams suck. The titans should have no problem rolling of this depressed SD squad
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) at Arizona Cardinals (3-3)
Line: Cardinals -3
Bet : 1u - N/A
Reason : Despite being a Cards fan and really thinking that Max Hall with some coaching and more play time under him belt is the future of the franchise, he just has that QB swagger about him and has determination to make things happen when everyone else doesn't believe in him just like Warner did. I am not touching this game, I like the cards at home but they are a total mess right now. So slight lean on the bucs
Minnesota Vikings (2-4) at New England Patriots (5-1)
Line : Patriots -5.5
Bet : 5u - MIN
Reason : My book doesn't have line on this game yet but from looking around 5.5 / 6 is the norm. I love the vikings here, this line is based on the 41 yr old gunslinger starting and will probably go to -7.5 if jackson is named the starter, but even a cripple farve will be able to torch NE abysmal secondary, add in the fact that moss will be flying wide open more then 50% of this game, and you have a great recipe for a upset.
Seattle Seahawks (4-2) at Oakland Raiders (3-4)
Line : Raiders -2.5
Bet : 1u - SEA
Reason : Oak is 1-12 Straight up and and 3-10 ATS since Dec 2007 after a win, yup you read that right. with that being said this is just a small lean on SEA cause lets all be honest here betting on SEA on the road is like going against one of the NFL golden betting rules.
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-1) at New Orleans Saints (4-3)
Line : Pick.
Bet : 2u - PIT
Reason : Whats up with this spread? must be Superbowl hang over for the Vegas odds makers. Brees at home has a dog (let be honest the superdome is worth 3 pts right) scares me but PIT is rolling and looking better then any other year Ive seen them, they got lucky last week and i doubt there will leave this game to luck.
Houston Texans (4-2) at Indianapolis Colts (4-2)
Line : Colts -5.5
Bet : 2u - HOU
Reason : Yes i know all the things about manning after a bye and the colts loosing to the same team twice in 1 year thing, but lets be honest the Colts are down Clark and Addai. Also WR Reggie Wayne (hamstring) was limited in practice on Saturday and is listed as questionable. WR Austin Collie (hand), WR Pierre Garcon (hamstring), WR Anthony Gonzalez (ankle), CB Jacob Lacey (foot), and CB Jerraud Powers (foot) are all listed as questionable as well. These games are normally tight and have been decided by 10 or less points the last 6 times. Texans Sweep Colts is my predection.
Moneyline Underdog : Texans @ 3.00 (1 Unit)
Moneyline Underdog : Bills @ 3.75 (1 Unit)
Moneyline Underdog : Buccaneers @ 2.45 (1 Unit)
Moneyline Underdog : Titans @ 2.7 (1 Unit)
Small Parlay : Vikings +5.5, Titans +3.5, Bills +7, Jets to win , PIT to win, Texans +5.5 (.5 Units to win 18.08)
Miami Dolphins (3-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-4)
Line : Bengals -1
Bet : 0.5u - MIA
Reason : Dolphins are the better team but CIN is gonna be digging deep for a win here. This game could go either way and will probably be decided by a field goal or a late pick 6. Great Value for a teaser bet when choosing the FINS. Slight Lean on MIA
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4) at Dallas Cowboys (1-5)
Line : Cowboys -6.5
Bet : 0u - N/A
Reason : Both these teams just plain stink, JAC stinks cause the the laziest team in the league, the cowboys are just plain killing themselves, this game could fall into the whole good team playing hard for a backup QB or its could be just another Dallas implosion. I wouldn't bet on this game with a gun to my head
Washington Redskins (4-3) at Detroit Lions (1-5)
Line : Lions -3
Bet : 2u - WAS
Reason : WAS is the better team and they are not favored? Vegas baiting the public maybe? I don't think so. DET has won one game this year, and it was a blow out vs. STL. Why is this team Favored?
Buffalo Bills (0-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-2)
Line : Chiefs -7
Bet : 4u - BUF
Reason : The Chiefs are just way to inconsistent to be laying a touchdown with and i highly expect the bills to get there first W and maybe only W of the year here.
Carolina Panthers (1-5) at St. Louis Rams (3-4)
Line : Rams -3
Bet : 1u - Rams
Reason : The Panthers are one of bottom feeding teams in the league and the Rams have been playing great at home i expected this to be a 4.5 or 5 spread so getting great value here.
Green Bay Packers (4-3) at New York Jets (5-1)
Line : Jets -6
Bet : 3u - Jets
Reason : GB is more then hurting right now, and there facing a well rested healthy NYJ, last week they where a foot from loosing to a 41 yr old with tendinitis and 2 fractured bones in his foot, AP ran for 131 yrds. LT behind the jets O-line will gash this game wide open and leave sanchez to convert very short 3rd down situation, if they even get to 3rd down.
Denver Broncos (2-5) vs. San Francisco 49ers (1-6)
Line : 49ers -1.5
Bet : 1u - 49ers
Reason : The broncos have looked pedestrian like most of this season despite Ortons numbers most of which came in garbage time. This game is being played in Wembley, this could very well turn into a mudbath despite the weather saying its suppose to be good ATM. If it Rains or we see a nice 20-30km winds this will be a running game and well the broncos running game consists of Orton scrambling.
Tennessee Titans (5-2) at San Diego Chargers (2-5)
Line : Chargers -3.5
Bet : 4u - Titans
Reason : Young will more then likely start this game, and SD having to prepare for both young and Collins helps the titans, also despite the chargers posting some of the best def and Off numbers in the league there special teams suck. The titans should have no problem rolling of this depressed SD squad
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) at Arizona Cardinals (3-3)
Line: Cardinals -3
Bet : 1u - N/A
Reason : Despite being a Cards fan and really thinking that Max Hall with some coaching and more play time under him belt is the future of the franchise, he just has that QB swagger about him and has determination to make things happen when everyone else doesn't believe in him just like Warner did. I am not touching this game, I like the cards at home but they are a total mess right now. So slight lean on the bucs
Minnesota Vikings (2-4) at New England Patriots (5-1)
Line : Patriots -5.5
Bet : 5u - MIN
Reason : My book doesn't have line on this game yet but from looking around 5.5 / 6 is the norm. I love the vikings here, this line is based on the 41 yr old gunslinger starting and will probably go to -7.5 if jackson is named the starter, but even a cripple farve will be able to torch NE abysmal secondary, add in the fact that moss will be flying wide open more then 50% of this game, and you have a great recipe for a upset.
Seattle Seahawks (4-2) at Oakland Raiders (3-4)
Line : Raiders -2.5
Bet : 1u - SEA
Reason : Oak is 1-12 Straight up and and 3-10 ATS since Dec 2007 after a win, yup you read that right. with that being said this is just a small lean on SEA cause lets all be honest here betting on SEA on the road is like going against one of the NFL golden betting rules.
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-1) at New Orleans Saints (4-3)
Line : Pick.
Bet : 2u - PIT
Reason : Whats up with this spread? must be Superbowl hang over for the Vegas odds makers. Brees at home has a dog (let be honest the superdome is worth 3 pts right) scares me but PIT is rolling and looking better then any other year Ive seen them, they got lucky last week and i doubt there will leave this game to luck.
Houston Texans (4-2) at Indianapolis Colts (4-2)
Line : Colts -5.5
Bet : 2u - HOU
Reason : Yes i know all the things about manning after a bye and the colts loosing to the same team twice in 1 year thing, but lets be honest the Colts are down Clark and Addai. Also WR Reggie Wayne (hamstring) was limited in practice on Saturday and is listed as questionable. WR Austin Collie (hand), WR Pierre Garcon (hamstring), WR Anthony Gonzalez (ankle), CB Jacob Lacey (foot), and CB Jerraud Powers (foot) are all listed as questionable as well. These games are normally tight and have been decided by 10 or less points the last 6 times. Texans Sweep Colts is my predection.
Moneyline Underdog : Texans @ 3.00 (1 Unit)
Moneyline Underdog : Bills @ 3.75 (1 Unit)
Moneyline Underdog : Buccaneers @ 2.45 (1 Unit)
Moneyline Underdog : Titans @ 2.7 (1 Unit)
Small Parlay : Vikings +5.5, Titans +3.5, Bills +7, Jets to win , PIT to win, Texans +5.5 (.5 Units to win 18.08)